Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Adaptive Annealing Learning Algorithm Based Reinforcement Neural Network

A reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed to improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting (STLF) in this article. The proposed model integrates radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), support vector regression (SVR), and adaptive annealing learning algorithm (AALA). In the proposed...

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Main Authors: Cheng-Ming Lee, Chia-Nan Ko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2016-11-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/9/12/987
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author Cheng-Ming Lee
Chia-Nan Ko
author_facet Cheng-Ming Lee
Chia-Nan Ko
author_sort Cheng-Ming Lee
collection DOAJ
description A reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed to improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting (STLF) in this article. The proposed model integrates radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), support vector regression (SVR), and adaptive annealing learning algorithm (AALA). In the proposed methodology, firstly, the initial structure of RBFNN is determined by using an SVR. Then, an AALA with time-varying learning rates is used to optimize the initial parameters of SVR-RBFNN (AALA-SVR-RBFNN). In order to overcome the stagnation for searching optimal RBFNN, a particle swarm optimization (PSO) is applied to simultaneously find promising learning rates in AALA. Finally, the short-term load demands are predicted by using the optimal RBFNN. The performance of the proposed methodology is verified on the actual load dataset from the Taiwan Power Company (TPC). Simulation results reveal that the proposed AALA-SVR-RBFNN can achieve a better load forecasting precision compared to various RBFNNs.
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spelling doaj.art-7cc174eacfd44aa194fdc48f57ca29182022-12-22T03:45:27ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732016-11-0191298710.3390/en9120987en9120987Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Adaptive Annealing Learning Algorithm Based Reinforcement Neural NetworkCheng-Ming Lee0Chia-Nan Ko1Department of Digital Living Innovation, Nan Kai University of Technology, Tsaotun, Nantou 542, TaiwanDepartment of Automation Engineering, Nan Kai University of Technology, Tsaotun, Nantou 542, TaiwanA reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed to improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting (STLF) in this article. The proposed model integrates radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), support vector regression (SVR), and adaptive annealing learning algorithm (AALA). In the proposed methodology, firstly, the initial structure of RBFNN is determined by using an SVR. Then, an AALA with time-varying learning rates is used to optimize the initial parameters of SVR-RBFNN (AALA-SVR-RBFNN). In order to overcome the stagnation for searching optimal RBFNN, a particle swarm optimization (PSO) is applied to simultaneously find promising learning rates in AALA. Finally, the short-term load demands are predicted by using the optimal RBFNN. The performance of the proposed methodology is verified on the actual load dataset from the Taiwan Power Company (TPC). Simulation results reveal that the proposed AALA-SVR-RBFNN can achieve a better load forecasting precision compared to various RBFNNs.http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/9/12/987short-term load forecastingradial basis function neural networksupport vector regressionparticle swarm optimizationadaptive annealing learning algorithm
spellingShingle Cheng-Ming Lee
Chia-Nan Ko
Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Adaptive Annealing Learning Algorithm Based Reinforcement Neural Network
Energies
short-term load forecasting
radial basis function neural network
support vector regression
particle swarm optimization
adaptive annealing learning algorithm
title Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Adaptive Annealing Learning Algorithm Based Reinforcement Neural Network
title_full Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Adaptive Annealing Learning Algorithm Based Reinforcement Neural Network
title_fullStr Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Adaptive Annealing Learning Algorithm Based Reinforcement Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Adaptive Annealing Learning Algorithm Based Reinforcement Neural Network
title_short Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Adaptive Annealing Learning Algorithm Based Reinforcement Neural Network
title_sort short term load forecasting using adaptive annealing learning algorithm based reinforcement neural network
topic short-term load forecasting
radial basis function neural network
support vector regression
particle swarm optimization
adaptive annealing learning algorithm
url http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/9/12/987
work_keys_str_mv AT chengminglee shorttermloadforecastingusingadaptiveannealinglearningalgorithmbasedreinforcementneuralnetwork
AT chiananko shorttermloadforecastingusingadaptiveannealinglearningalgorithmbasedreinforcementneuralnetwork