Understanding community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: new insights from comparison over time and space

Understanding and monitoring the major influences on SARS-CoV-2 prevalence is essential to inform policy making and devise appropriate packages of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Through evaluating community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection and their spatio-temporal varia...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chaitanya Joshi, Arif Ali, Thomas ÓConnor, Li Chen, Kaveh Jahanshahi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2023-09-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.221001
_version_ 1797687558685065216
author Chaitanya Joshi
Arif Ali
Thomas ÓConnor
Li Chen
Kaveh Jahanshahi
author_facet Chaitanya Joshi
Arif Ali
Thomas ÓConnor
Li Chen
Kaveh Jahanshahi
author_sort Chaitanya Joshi
collection DOAJ
description Understanding and monitoring the major influences on SARS-CoV-2 prevalence is essential to inform policy making and devise appropriate packages of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Through evaluating community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection and their spatio-temporal variations in England, this study aims to provide some insights into the most important risk parameters. We used spatial clusters developed in Jahanshahi and Jin (2021 Transportation 48, 1329–1359 (doi:10.1007/s11116-020-10098-9)) as geographical areas with distinct land use and travel patterns. We also segmented our data by time periods to control for changes in policies or development of the disease over the course of the pandemic. We then used multivariate linear regression to identify influences driving infections within the clusters and to compare the variations of those between the clusters. Our findings demonstrate the key roles that workplace and commuting modes have had on some of the sections of the working population after accounting for several interrelated influences including mobility and vaccination. We found communities of workers in care homes and warehouses and to a lesser extent textile and ready meal industries and those who rely more on public transport for commuting tend to carry a higher risk of infection across all residential area types and time periods.
first_indexed 2024-03-12T01:19:36Z
format Article
id doaj.art-7cd2d23055cb46ffb2c8180a33b9efac
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2054-5703
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-12T01:19:36Z
publishDate 2023-09-01
publisher The Royal Society
record_format Article
series Royal Society Open Science
spelling doaj.art-7cd2d23055cb46ffb2c8180a33b9efac2023-09-13T07:05:23ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032023-09-0110910.1098/rsos.221001Understanding community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: new insights from comparison over time and spaceChaitanya Joshi0Arif Ali1Thomas ÓConnor2Li Chen3Kaveh Jahanshahi4Data Science Campus, Office for National Statistics, Newport, UKData Science Campus, Office for National Statistics, Newport, UKData Science Campus, Office for National Statistics, Newport, UKData Science Campus, Office for National Statistics, Newport, UKData Science Campus, Office for National Statistics, Newport, UKUnderstanding and monitoring the major influences on SARS-CoV-2 prevalence is essential to inform policy making and devise appropriate packages of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Through evaluating community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection and their spatio-temporal variations in England, this study aims to provide some insights into the most important risk parameters. We used spatial clusters developed in Jahanshahi and Jin (2021 Transportation 48, 1329–1359 (doi:10.1007/s11116-020-10098-9)) as geographical areas with distinct land use and travel patterns. We also segmented our data by time periods to control for changes in policies or development of the disease over the course of the pandemic. We then used multivariate linear regression to identify influences driving infections within the clusters and to compare the variations of those between the clusters. Our findings demonstrate the key roles that workplace and commuting modes have had on some of the sections of the working population after accounting for several interrelated influences including mobility and vaccination. We found communities of workers in care homes and warehouses and to a lesser extent textile and ready meal industries and those who rely more on public transport for commuting tend to carry a higher risk of infection across all residential area types and time periods.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.221001communitylevelinfluencesCOVID-19prevalencesEngland
spellingShingle Chaitanya Joshi
Arif Ali
Thomas ÓConnor
Li Chen
Kaveh Jahanshahi
Understanding community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: new insights from comparison over time and space
Royal Society Open Science
community
level
influences
COVID-19
prevalences
England
title Understanding community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: new insights from comparison over time and space
title_full Understanding community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: new insights from comparison over time and space
title_fullStr Understanding community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: new insights from comparison over time and space
title_full_unstemmed Understanding community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: new insights from comparison over time and space
title_short Understanding community level influences on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: new insights from comparison over time and space
title_sort understanding community level influences on the prevalence of sars cov 2 infection in england new insights from comparison over time and space
topic community
level
influences
COVID-19
prevalences
England
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.221001
work_keys_str_mv AT chaitanyajoshi understandingcommunitylevelinfluencesontheprevalenceofsarscov2infectioninenglandnewinsightsfromcomparisonovertimeandspace
AT arifali understandingcommunitylevelinfluencesontheprevalenceofsarscov2infectioninenglandnewinsightsfromcomparisonovertimeandspace
AT thomasoconnor understandingcommunitylevelinfluencesontheprevalenceofsarscov2infectioninenglandnewinsightsfromcomparisonovertimeandspace
AT lichen understandingcommunitylevelinfluencesontheprevalenceofsarscov2infectioninenglandnewinsightsfromcomparisonovertimeandspace
AT kavehjahanshahi understandingcommunitylevelinfluencesontheprevalenceofsarscov2infectioninenglandnewinsightsfromcomparisonovertimeandspace