Climate Connectivity of European Forests for Species Range Shifts

Forest connectivity is important for the range shifts and long-term persistence of forest-dependent species, especially in the context of climate change. This study assessed the climate connectivity of European forests for species to track suitable climate conditions as the climate warms. Here, clim...

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Main Authors: Qiyao Han, Greg Keeffe, Sean Cullen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
Series:Forests
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/7/940
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author Qiyao Han
Greg Keeffe
Sean Cullen
author_facet Qiyao Han
Greg Keeffe
Sean Cullen
author_sort Qiyao Han
collection DOAJ
description Forest connectivity is important for the range shifts and long-term persistence of forest-dependent species, especially in the context of climate change. This study assessed the climate connectivity of European forests for species to track suitable climate conditions as the climate warms. Here, climate connectivity was calculated as the temperature difference between each forest patch and the coolest patch that can be reached along temperature gradients. We found that, overall, about 36% of the total forested area in Europe has achieved successful climate connectivity under the moderate emission scenario (SSP245), whereby species range shifts could circumvent the impact of climate warming. The percentage is much lower under the highest emission scenario (SSP585), which is only 12%. To identify forest areas of high importance for climate connectivity, we further evaluated the potential of each forest patch to serve as a stepping stone for species range shifts. Our results showed that about 94% of the European forested area is expected to experience species range shifts. Our study identified sites of high conservation value for improving and sustaining forest connectivity to facilitate climate-driven range shifts and thus could provide information for climate-smart management of European forests.
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spelling doaj.art-7cd42d0fd8094de68d21e0a20b80079c2023-11-22T03:49:58ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072021-07-0112794010.3390/f12070940Climate Connectivity of European Forests for Species Range ShiftsQiyao Han0Greg Keeffe1Sean Cullen2School of Natural and Built Environment, Queen’s University Belfast, Belfast BT7 1NN, UKSchool of Natural and Built Environment, Queen’s University Belfast, Belfast BT7 1NN, UKSchool of Natural and Built Environment, Queen’s University Belfast, Belfast BT7 1NN, UKForest connectivity is important for the range shifts and long-term persistence of forest-dependent species, especially in the context of climate change. This study assessed the climate connectivity of European forests for species to track suitable climate conditions as the climate warms. Here, climate connectivity was calculated as the temperature difference between each forest patch and the coolest patch that can be reached along temperature gradients. We found that, overall, about 36% of the total forested area in Europe has achieved successful climate connectivity under the moderate emission scenario (SSP245), whereby species range shifts could circumvent the impact of climate warming. The percentage is much lower under the highest emission scenario (SSP585), which is only 12%. To identify forest areas of high importance for climate connectivity, we further evaluated the potential of each forest patch to serve as a stepping stone for species range shifts. Our results showed that about 94% of the European forested area is expected to experience species range shifts. Our study identified sites of high conservation value for improving and sustaining forest connectivity to facilitate climate-driven range shifts and thus could provide information for climate-smart management of European forests.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/7/940climate changespecies migrationlandscape connectivityEuropean forestsstepping stone
spellingShingle Qiyao Han
Greg Keeffe
Sean Cullen
Climate Connectivity of European Forests for Species Range Shifts
Forests
climate change
species migration
landscape connectivity
European forests
stepping stone
title Climate Connectivity of European Forests for Species Range Shifts
title_full Climate Connectivity of European Forests for Species Range Shifts
title_fullStr Climate Connectivity of European Forests for Species Range Shifts
title_full_unstemmed Climate Connectivity of European Forests for Species Range Shifts
title_short Climate Connectivity of European Forests for Species Range Shifts
title_sort climate connectivity of european forests for species range shifts
topic climate change
species migration
landscape connectivity
European forests
stepping stone
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/7/940
work_keys_str_mv AT qiyaohan climateconnectivityofeuropeanforestsforspeciesrangeshifts
AT gregkeeffe climateconnectivityofeuropeanforestsforspeciesrangeshifts
AT seancullen climateconnectivityofeuropeanforestsforspeciesrangeshifts