Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement

Abstract Research on pandemic domestic abuse trends has produced inconsistent findings reflecting differences in definitions, data and method. This study analyses 43,488 domestic abuse crimes recorded by a UK police force. Metrics and analytic approaches are tailored to address key methodological is...

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Main Authors: Sarah Hodgkinson, Anthony Dixon, Eric Halford, Graham Farrell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-06-01
Series:Crime Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-023-00190-7
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author Sarah Hodgkinson
Anthony Dixon
Eric Halford
Graham Farrell
author_facet Sarah Hodgkinson
Anthony Dixon
Eric Halford
Graham Farrell
author_sort Sarah Hodgkinson
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Research on pandemic domestic abuse trends has produced inconsistent findings reflecting differences in definitions, data and method. This study analyses 43,488 domestic abuse crimes recorded by a UK police force. Metrics and analytic approaches are tailored to address key methodological issues in three key ways. First, it was hypothesised that reporting rates changed during lockdown, so natural language processing was used to interrogate untapped free-text information in police records to develop a novel indicator of change in reporting. Second, it was hypothesised that abuse would change differentially for those cohabiting (due to physical proximity) compared to non-cohabitees, which was assessed via a proxy measure. Third, the analytic approaches used were change-point analysis and anomaly detection: these are more independent than regression analysis for present purposes in gauging the timing and duration of significant change. However, the main findings were largely contrary to expectation: (1) domestic abuse did not increase during the first national lockdown in early 2020 but increased across a prolonged post-lockdown period, (2) the post-lockdown increase did not reflect change in reporting by victims, and; (3) the proportion of abuse between cohabiting partners, at around 40 percent of the total, did not increase significantly during or after the lockdown. The implications of these unanticipated findings are discussed.
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spelling doaj.art-7ce6300972b54324b93f96be4fa127662023-06-18T11:08:52ZengBMCCrime Science2193-76802023-06-0112111110.1186/s40163-023-00190-7Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurementSarah Hodgkinson0Anthony Dixon1Eric Halford2Graham Farrell3School of Criminology, University of LeicesterSchool of Law, University of LeedsRabdan AcademySchool of Law, University of LeedsAbstract Research on pandemic domestic abuse trends has produced inconsistent findings reflecting differences in definitions, data and method. This study analyses 43,488 domestic abuse crimes recorded by a UK police force. Metrics and analytic approaches are tailored to address key methodological issues in three key ways. First, it was hypothesised that reporting rates changed during lockdown, so natural language processing was used to interrogate untapped free-text information in police records to develop a novel indicator of change in reporting. Second, it was hypothesised that abuse would change differentially for those cohabiting (due to physical proximity) compared to non-cohabitees, which was assessed via a proxy measure. Third, the analytic approaches used were change-point analysis and anomaly detection: these are more independent than regression analysis for present purposes in gauging the timing and duration of significant change. However, the main findings were largely contrary to expectation: (1) domestic abuse did not increase during the first national lockdown in early 2020 but increased across a prolonged post-lockdown period, (2) the post-lockdown increase did not reflect change in reporting by victims, and; (3) the proportion of abuse between cohabiting partners, at around 40 percent of the total, did not increase significantly during or after the lockdown. The implications of these unanticipated findings are discussed.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-023-00190-7Domestic abuseIntimate partner violenceCoronavirusChange-point analysisAnomaly detectionNLP
spellingShingle Sarah Hodgkinson
Anthony Dixon
Eric Halford
Graham Farrell
Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement
Crime Science
Domestic abuse
Intimate partner violence
Coronavirus
Change-point analysis
Anomaly detection
NLP
title Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement
title_full Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement
title_fullStr Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement
title_full_unstemmed Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement
title_short Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement
title_sort domestic abuse in the covid 19 pandemic measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement
topic Domestic abuse
Intimate partner violence
Coronavirus
Change-point analysis
Anomaly detection
NLP
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-023-00190-7
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