The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa Istanbul

In this paper we examine the long run and the short run dynamics of stock return and macroeconomic and financial variables like gold prices, oil prices, export volume, import volume and exchange rate. The empirical investigation employed on monthly data between January 1988 to November 2013. The Aut...

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Main Authors: Sevinç Güler, Halime Temel Nalın
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editura ASE Bucuresti 2014-03-01
Series:Romanian Economic Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.rejournal.eu/article/determinants-stock-market-returns-ardl-investigation-borsa-istanbul
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author Sevinç Güler
Halime Temel Nalın
author_facet Sevinç Güler
Halime Temel Nalın
author_sort Sevinç Güler
collection DOAJ
description In this paper we examine the long run and the short run dynamics of stock return and macroeconomic and financial variables like gold prices, oil prices, export volume, import volume and exchange rate. The empirical investigation employed on monthly data between January 1988 to November 2013. The Autoregressive Distrubuted Lag (ARDL) called analytical-cointegration technique is applied to capture the dynamics of short-run and long-run relationship between veriables. According to results we found a long run relationship between stock return and economic factors and existence of significant relationship between import and stock return in long run and short run models
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spelling doaj.art-7d36342075a64cd29bb46da60433d39a2022-12-22T03:07:19ZengEditura ASE BucurestiRomanian Economic Journal1454-42962286-20562014-03-01XVII51324The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa IstanbulSevinç Güler0Halime Temel Nalın1Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey and visiting Scholar, University of Arkansas at Little Rock (UALR), AR, USABulent Ecevit University, Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Zonguldak, TurkeyIn this paper we examine the long run and the short run dynamics of stock return and macroeconomic and financial variables like gold prices, oil prices, export volume, import volume and exchange rate. The empirical investigation employed on monthly data between January 1988 to November 2013. The Autoregressive Distrubuted Lag (ARDL) called analytical-cointegration technique is applied to capture the dynamics of short-run and long-run relationship between veriables. According to results we found a long run relationship between stock return and economic factors and existence of significant relationship between import and stock return in long run and short run modelshttp://www.rejournal.eu/article/determinants-stock-market-returns-ardl-investigation-borsa-istanbulStock ReturnEconomic FactorsARDL
spellingShingle Sevinç Güler
Halime Temel Nalın
The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa Istanbul
Romanian Economic Journal
Stock Return
Economic Factors
ARDL
title The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa Istanbul
title_full The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa Istanbul
title_fullStr The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa Istanbul
title_full_unstemmed The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa Istanbul
title_short The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa Istanbul
title_sort determinants of stock market returns an ardl investigation on borsa istanbul
topic Stock Return
Economic Factors
ARDL
url http://www.rejournal.eu/article/determinants-stock-market-returns-ardl-investigation-borsa-istanbul
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AT halimetemelnalın thedeterminantsofstockmarketreturnsanardlinvestigationonborsaistanbul
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AT halimetemelnalın determinantsofstockmarketreturnsanardlinvestigationonborsaistanbul