Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence

Numerous tests designed to detect realized jumps over a fixed time span have been proposed and extensively studied in the financial econometrics literature. These tests differ from “long time span tests” that detect jumps by examining the magnitude of the jump intensity parameter...

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Main Authors: Mingmian Cheng, Norman R. Swanson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-03-01
Series:Econometrics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/7/1/13
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author Mingmian Cheng
Norman R. Swanson
author_facet Mingmian Cheng
Norman R. Swanson
author_sort Mingmian Cheng
collection DOAJ
description Numerous tests designed to detect realized jumps over a fixed time span have been proposed and extensively studied in the financial econometrics literature. These tests differ from “long time span tests” that detect jumps by examining the magnitude of the jump intensity parameter in the data generating process, and which are consistent. In this paper, long span jump tests are compared and contrasted with a variety of fixed span jump tests in a series of Monte Carlo experiments. It is found that both the long time span tests of Corradi et al. (2018) and the fixed span tests of Aït-Sahalia and Jacod (2009) exhibit reasonably good finite sample properties, for time spans both short and long. Various other tests suffer from finite sample distortions, both under sequential testing and under long time spans. The latter finding is new, and confirms the “pitfall” discussed in Huang and Tauchen (2005), of using asymptotic approximations associated with finite time span tests in order to study long time spans of data. An empirical analysis is carried out to investigate the implications of these findings, and “time-span robust” tests indicate that the prevalence of jumps is not as universal as might be expected.
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spelling doaj.art-7d80c202156d4c32a63e93d7f729b6992022-12-22T04:22:56ZengMDPI AGEconometrics2225-11462019-03-01711310.3390/econometrics7010013econometrics7010013Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical EvidenceMingmian Cheng0Norman R. Swanson1Department of Finance, Lingnan (University) College, Sun Yat-sen University, 135 Xingang West Road, Guangzhou 510275, ChinaDepartment of Economics, School of Arts and Sciences, Rutgers University, 75 Hamilton Street, New Brunswick, NJ 08901, USANumerous tests designed to detect realized jumps over a fixed time span have been proposed and extensively studied in the financial econometrics literature. These tests differ from “long time span tests” that detect jumps by examining the magnitude of the jump intensity parameter in the data generating process, and which are consistent. In this paper, long span jump tests are compared and contrasted with a variety of fixed span jump tests in a series of Monte Carlo experiments. It is found that both the long time span tests of Corradi et al. (2018) and the fixed span tests of Aït-Sahalia and Jacod (2009) exhibit reasonably good finite sample properties, for time spans both short and long. Various other tests suffer from finite sample distortions, both under sequential testing and under long time spans. The latter finding is new, and confirms the “pitfall” discussed in Huang and Tauchen (2005), of using asymptotic approximations associated with finite time span tests in order to study long time spans of data. An empirical analysis is carried out to investigate the implications of these findings, and “time-span robust” tests indicate that the prevalence of jumps is not as universal as might be expected.http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/7/1/13jump testjump intensitysequential testing biasfixed time spanlong time spanhigh-frequency data
spellingShingle Mingmian Cheng
Norman R. Swanson
Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence
Econometrics
jump test
jump intensity
sequential testing bias
fixed time span
long time span
high-frequency data
title Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence
title_full Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence
title_fullStr Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence
title_full_unstemmed Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence
title_short Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence
title_sort fixed and long time span jump tests new monte carlo and empirical evidence
topic jump test
jump intensity
sequential testing bias
fixed time span
long time span
high-frequency data
url http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/7/1/13
work_keys_str_mv AT mingmiancheng fixedandlongtimespanjumptestsnewmontecarloandempiricalevidence
AT normanrswanson fixedandlongtimespanjumptestsnewmontecarloandempiricalevidence