On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine War

Analysis of the relationships among global stock markets is crucial for international investors, regulators, and policymakers, particularly during a crisis. Complex network theory was applied to analyze the relationship between global stock markets during the Russia–Ukraine war. Daily data from 55 s...

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Main Authors: Kashif Zaheer, Faheem Aslam, Yasir Tariq Mohmand, Paulo Ferreira
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-02-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/2/41
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author Kashif Zaheer
Faheem Aslam
Yasir Tariq Mohmand
Paulo Ferreira
author_facet Kashif Zaheer
Faheem Aslam
Yasir Tariq Mohmand
Paulo Ferreira
author_sort Kashif Zaheer
collection DOAJ
description Analysis of the relationships among global stock markets is crucial for international investors, regulators, and policymakers, particularly during a crisis. Complex network theory was applied to analyze the relationship between global stock markets during the Russia–Ukraine war. Daily data from 55 stock markets from 6 August 2021 to 23 September 2023 were retrieved and used to investigate the changes in global stock market networks. The sample period was divided into 22 subsamples, using a 100-day rolling window rolled forward a trading month, and then long-range correlations based on distance matrices were calculated. These distance matrices were utilized to construct stock market networks. Moreover, minimum spanning trees (MSTs) were extracted from these financial networks for analytical purposes. Based on topological and structural analysis, we identified important/central nodes, distinct communities, vulnerable/stable nodes, and changes thereof with the escalation of war. The empirical findings reveal that the Russia–Ukraine war impacted the global stock markets’ network. However, its intensity varied with changes in the region and the passage of time due to the level of stock market integration and stage of war escalation, respectively. Stock markets of France, Germany, Canada, and Austria remained the most centrally connected within communities; surprisingly, the USA’s stock market is not on this list.
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spelling doaj.art-7dd0e6c771ea443789235a94a22392662024-02-23T15:14:17ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992024-02-011224110.3390/economies12020041On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine WarKashif Zaheer0Faheem Aslam1Yasir Tariq Mohmand2Paulo Ferreira3Office of Research Innovation Comercialization (ORIC), Rawalpindi Medical University (OTB), Tipu Road, Rawalpindi 46000, PakistanDepartment of Management Sciences, COMSATS University, Park Road, Islamabad 45550, PakistanDepartment of Management Sciences, COMSATS University, Park Road, Islamabad 45550, PakistanVALORIZA—Research Center for Endogenous Resource Valorization, 7300-555 Portalegre, PortugalAnalysis of the relationships among global stock markets is crucial for international investors, regulators, and policymakers, particularly during a crisis. Complex network theory was applied to analyze the relationship between global stock markets during the Russia–Ukraine war. Daily data from 55 stock markets from 6 August 2021 to 23 September 2023 were retrieved and used to investigate the changes in global stock market networks. The sample period was divided into 22 subsamples, using a 100-day rolling window rolled forward a trading month, and then long-range correlations based on distance matrices were calculated. These distance matrices were utilized to construct stock market networks. Moreover, minimum spanning trees (MSTs) were extracted from these financial networks for analytical purposes. Based on topological and structural analysis, we identified important/central nodes, distinct communities, vulnerable/stable nodes, and changes thereof with the escalation of war. The empirical findings reveal that the Russia–Ukraine war impacted the global stock markets’ network. However, its intensity varied with changes in the region and the passage of time due to the level of stock market integration and stage of war escalation, respectively. Stock markets of France, Germany, Canada, and Austria remained the most centrally connected within communities; surprisingly, the USA’s stock market is not on this list.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/2/41Russia–Ukraine warminimum spanning treecomplex networktime-varying networkglobal stock marketstopological structure
spellingShingle Kashif Zaheer
Faheem Aslam
Yasir Tariq Mohmand
Paulo Ferreira
On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine War
Economies
Russia–Ukraine war
minimum spanning tree
complex network
time-varying network
global stock markets
topological structure
title On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine War
title_full On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine War
title_fullStr On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine War
title_full_unstemmed On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine War
title_short On the Dynamic Changes in the Global Stock Markets’ Network during the Russia–Ukraine War
title_sort on the dynamic changes in the global stock markets network during the russia ukraine war
topic Russia–Ukraine war
minimum spanning tree
complex network
time-varying network
global stock markets
topological structure
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/2/41
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