Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients

Background: The lack of a widely-used tool for predicting early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients prompted us to develop the Cricothyroidotomy After Trauma (CAT) score. We aimed to predict the need for cricothyroidotomy within one hour of trauma patient arrival. Methods: Derivation and validation...

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Main Authors: Mary Londoño, BS, Jeffry Nahmias, MD, MHPE, Matthew Dolich, MD, Michael Lekawa, MD, Allen Kong, MD, Sebastian Schubl, MD, FACS, Kenji Inaba, MD, Areg Grigorian, MD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-12-01
Series:Surgery Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589845023000799
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author Mary Londoño, BS
Jeffry Nahmias, MD, MHPE
Matthew Dolich, MD
Michael Lekawa, MD
Allen Kong, MD
Sebastian Schubl, MD, FACS
Kenji Inaba, MD
Areg Grigorian, MD
author_facet Mary Londoño, BS
Jeffry Nahmias, MD, MHPE
Matthew Dolich, MD
Michael Lekawa, MD
Allen Kong, MD
Sebastian Schubl, MD, FACS
Kenji Inaba, MD
Areg Grigorian, MD
author_sort Mary Londoño, BS
collection DOAJ
description Background: The lack of a widely-used tool for predicting early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients prompted us to develop the Cricothyroidotomy After Trauma (CAT) score. We aimed to predict the need for cricothyroidotomy within one hour of trauma patient arrival. Methods: Derivation and validation datasets were obtained from the Trauma Quality Improvement Program (TQIP) database. Logistic modeling identified predictors, and weighted averages were used to create the CAT score. The score's performance was assessed using AUROC. Results: Among 1,373,823 derivation patients, <1 % (n = 339) underwent cricothyroidotomy within one hour. The CAT score, comprising nine predictors, achieved an AUROC of 0.88. Severe neck injury and gunshot wound were the strongest predictors. Cricothyroidotomy rates increased from 0.4 % to 9.3 % at scores of 5 and 8, respectively. In the validation set, the CAT tool yielded an AUROC of 0.9. Conclusion: The CAT score is a validated tool for predicting the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients. Further research is necessary to enhance its utility and assess its value in trauma care.
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spelling doaj.art-7dd6b17dff3a408183f9edb238fd49452023-12-10T06:17:04ZengElsevierSurgery Open Science2589-84502023-12-01165863Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patientsMary Londoño, BS0Jeffry Nahmias, MD, MHPE1Matthew Dolich, MD2Michael Lekawa, MD3Allen Kong, MD4Sebastian Schubl, MD, FACS5Kenji Inaba, MD6Areg Grigorian, MD7University of California, Irvine, Department of Surgery, Division of Trauma, Burns and Surgical Critical Care, Orange, CA, USAUniversity of California, Irvine, Department of Surgery, Division of Trauma, Burns and Surgical Critical Care, Orange, CA, USAUniversity of California, Irvine, Department of Surgery, Division of Trauma, Burns and Surgical Critical Care, Orange, CA, USAUniversity of California, Irvine, Department of Surgery, Division of Trauma, Burns and Surgical Critical Care, Orange, CA, USAUniversity of California, Irvine, Department of Surgery, Division of Trauma, Burns and Surgical Critical Care, Orange, CA, USAUniversity of California, Irvine, Department of Surgery, Division of Trauma, Burns and Surgical Critical Care, Orange, CA, USAUniversity of Southern California, Department of Surgery, Los Angeles, CA, USAUniversity of California, Irvine, Department of Surgery, Division of Trauma, Burns and Surgical Critical Care, Orange, CA, USA; Corresponding author at: Division of Trauma, Burns and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, University of California, Irvine Medical Center, 333 The City Blvd West, Suite 1600, Orange, CA 92868-3298, USA.Background: The lack of a widely-used tool for predicting early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients prompted us to develop the Cricothyroidotomy After Trauma (CAT) score. We aimed to predict the need for cricothyroidotomy within one hour of trauma patient arrival. Methods: Derivation and validation datasets were obtained from the Trauma Quality Improvement Program (TQIP) database. Logistic modeling identified predictors, and weighted averages were used to create the CAT score. The score's performance was assessed using AUROC. Results: Among 1,373,823 derivation patients, <1 % (n = 339) underwent cricothyroidotomy within one hour. The CAT score, comprising nine predictors, achieved an AUROC of 0.88. Severe neck injury and gunshot wound were the strongest predictors. Cricothyroidotomy rates increased from 0.4 % to 9.3 % at scores of 5 and 8, respectively. In the validation set, the CAT tool yielded an AUROC of 0.9. Conclusion: The CAT score is a validated tool for predicting the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients. Further research is necessary to enhance its utility and assess its value in trauma care.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589845023000799CricothyroidotomyTraumaScoring toolSevere neck injuryGunshot wound
spellingShingle Mary Londoño, BS
Jeffry Nahmias, MD, MHPE
Matthew Dolich, MD
Michael Lekawa, MD
Allen Kong, MD
Sebastian Schubl, MD, FACS
Kenji Inaba, MD
Areg Grigorian, MD
Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients
Surgery Open Science
Cricothyroidotomy
Trauma
Scoring tool
Severe neck injury
Gunshot wound
title Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients
title_full Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients
title_fullStr Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients
title_full_unstemmed Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients
title_short Development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients
title_sort development of a novel scoring tool to predict the need for early cricothyroidotomy in trauma patients
topic Cricothyroidotomy
Trauma
Scoring tool
Severe neck injury
Gunshot wound
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589845023000799
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