PREDICTION OF LONG-TERM SENTINEL-1 INSAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

This paper presents an initial analysis of predicting time series derived from long-term interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data. Time series analysis provides insights into the temporal evolution, variation, and dynamic nature of events. In this study, we focus on the Istanbul region,...

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Main Authors: S. Abdikan, S. Coskun, O. G. Narin, C. Bayik, F. Calò, A. Pepe, F. Balik Sanli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2023-04-01
Series:The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences
Online Access:https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLVIII-M-1-2023/3/2023/isprs-archives-XLVIII-M-1-2023-3-2023.pdf
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author S. Abdikan
S. Coskun
S. Coskun
O. G. Narin
C. Bayik
F. Calò
A. Pepe
F. Balik Sanli
author_facet S. Abdikan
S. Coskun
S. Coskun
O. G. Narin
C. Bayik
F. Calò
A. Pepe
F. Balik Sanli
author_sort S. Abdikan
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents an initial analysis of predicting time series derived from long-term interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data. Time series analysis provides insights into the temporal evolution, variation, and dynamic nature of events. In this study, we focus on the Istanbul region, which is the most populous city in Turkey and spans both Europe and Asia. While the area is prone to seismic risks caused by active tectonic faults, it is also susceptible to other risks due to various phenomena. Therefore, this study investigates landslides triggered by geological structure and human-induced activities, particularly in Tepekent, a landslide-prone area in the town of Buyukcekmece located on the European side. We utilized the StaMPS persistent scatterer InSAR (PSI) method to detect slow movements over time. A total of 157 archive Copernicus Sentinel-1 data, acquired over the region between June 2017 and August 2022, were processed, primarily observing human structures with a maximum displacement amount of approximately 1 cm/year. About 500 persistent scatterer points were identified in the region, and the time series was formed by taking the average of these points. The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network method was used to estimate motion. We trained the model with data from the first three years of the time series and used the data from the remaining two years for estimation, while the accuracy analysis was performed with the 5-year time series data. The RMSE values for the training and test data were determined to be 0.725 mm/year and 0.656 mm/year, respectively. Additionally, we estimated the time series for the period from August 2022 to August 2024. The observation and prediction results could be beneficial in developing efficient mitigation risk actions and sustainable urban management strategies.
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spelling doaj.art-7dfc9120558d4790a10ba7be373c14052023-04-21T14:03:14ZengCopernicus PublicationsThe International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences1682-17502194-90342023-04-01XLVIII-M-1-20233810.5194/isprs-archives-XLVIII-M-1-2023-3-2023PREDICTION OF LONG-TERM SENTINEL-1 INSAR TIME SERIES ANALYSISS. Abdikan0S. Coskun1S. Coskun2O. G. Narin3C. Bayik4F. Calò5A. Pepe6F. Balik Sanli7HU, Dept. of Geomatics Engineering, 06800 Beytepe Ankara, TürkiyeYTU, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Istanbul, TürkiyeMinistry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change, Bilecik, TürkiyeAKU, Dept. of Geomatics Engineering, Afyonkarahisar, TürkiyeZBEU, Dept. of Geomatics Engineering, 67100 Zonguldak, TürkiyeCNR - Institute for the Electromagnetic Sensing of the Environment (IREA), Napoli, ItalyCNR - Institute for the Electromagnetic Sensing of the Environment (IREA), Napoli, ItalyYTU, Dept. of Geomatic Engineering, Davutpasa Esenler, Istanbul, TürkiyeThis paper presents an initial analysis of predicting time series derived from long-term interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data. Time series analysis provides insights into the temporal evolution, variation, and dynamic nature of events. In this study, we focus on the Istanbul region, which is the most populous city in Turkey and spans both Europe and Asia. While the area is prone to seismic risks caused by active tectonic faults, it is also susceptible to other risks due to various phenomena. Therefore, this study investigates landslides triggered by geological structure and human-induced activities, particularly in Tepekent, a landslide-prone area in the town of Buyukcekmece located on the European side. We utilized the StaMPS persistent scatterer InSAR (PSI) method to detect slow movements over time. A total of 157 archive Copernicus Sentinel-1 data, acquired over the region between June 2017 and August 2022, were processed, primarily observing human structures with a maximum displacement amount of approximately 1 cm/year. About 500 persistent scatterer points were identified in the region, and the time series was formed by taking the average of these points. The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network method was used to estimate motion. We trained the model with data from the first three years of the time series and used the data from the remaining two years for estimation, while the accuracy analysis was performed with the 5-year time series data. The RMSE values for the training and test data were determined to be 0.725 mm/year and 0.656 mm/year, respectively. Additionally, we estimated the time series for the period from August 2022 to August 2024. The observation and prediction results could be beneficial in developing efficient mitigation risk actions and sustainable urban management strategies.https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLVIII-M-1-2023/3/2023/isprs-archives-XLVIII-M-1-2023-3-2023.pdf
spellingShingle S. Abdikan
S. Coskun
S. Coskun
O. G. Narin
C. Bayik
F. Calò
A. Pepe
F. Balik Sanli
PREDICTION OF LONG-TERM SENTINEL-1 INSAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences
title PREDICTION OF LONG-TERM SENTINEL-1 INSAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
title_full PREDICTION OF LONG-TERM SENTINEL-1 INSAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
title_fullStr PREDICTION OF LONG-TERM SENTINEL-1 INSAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
title_full_unstemmed PREDICTION OF LONG-TERM SENTINEL-1 INSAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
title_short PREDICTION OF LONG-TERM SENTINEL-1 INSAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
title_sort prediction of long term sentinel 1 insar time series analysis
url https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLVIII-M-1-2023/3/2023/isprs-archives-XLVIII-M-1-2023-3-2023.pdf
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AT cbayik predictionoflongtermsentinel1insartimeseriesanalysis
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