Statistical Inference for Alpha-Series Process with the Generalized Rayleigh Distribution

In the modeling of successive arrival times with a monotone trend, the alpha-series process provides quite successful results. Both selecting the distribution of the first arrival time and making an optimal statistical inference play a crucial role in the modeling performance of the alpha-series pro...

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Main Author: Hayrinisa Demirci Biçer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-04-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/21/5/451
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author Hayrinisa Demirci Biçer
author_facet Hayrinisa Demirci Biçer
author_sort Hayrinisa Demirci Biçer
collection DOAJ
description In the modeling of successive arrival times with a monotone trend, the alpha-series process provides quite successful results. Both selecting the distribution of the first arrival time and making an optimal statistical inference play a crucial role in the modeling performance of the alpha-series process. In this study, when the distribution of the first arrival time is the generalized Rayleigh, the problem of statistical inference for the <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mi>&#945;</mi> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula>, <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mi>&#946;</mi> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula>, and <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mi>&#955;</mi> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula> parameters of the alpha-series process is considered. Further, in order to obtain optimal modeling performance from the mentioned alpha-series process, various estimators for the model parameters are obtained by employing different estimation methodologies such as maximum likelihood, modified maximum spacing, modified least-squares, modified moments, and modified L-moments. By a series of Monte Carlo simulations, the estimation efficiencies of the obtained estimators are evaluated through the different sample sizes. Finally, two real datasets are analyzed to illustrate the importance of modeling with the alpha-series process.
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spelling doaj.art-7e02616e2ef244dda7e3e47e90505a402022-12-22T02:54:40ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002019-04-0121545110.3390/e21050451e21050451Statistical Inference for Alpha-Series Process with the Generalized Rayleigh DistributionHayrinisa Demirci Biçer0Arts and Sciences Faculty, Statistics Department, University of Kirikkale, Kirikkale 71450, TurkeyIn the modeling of successive arrival times with a monotone trend, the alpha-series process provides quite successful results. Both selecting the distribution of the first arrival time and making an optimal statistical inference play a crucial role in the modeling performance of the alpha-series process. In this study, when the distribution of the first arrival time is the generalized Rayleigh, the problem of statistical inference for the <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mi>&#945;</mi> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula>, <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mi>&#946;</mi> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula>, and <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mi>&#955;</mi> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula> parameters of the alpha-series process is considered. Further, in order to obtain optimal modeling performance from the mentioned alpha-series process, various estimators for the model parameters are obtained by employing different estimation methodologies such as maximum likelihood, modified maximum spacing, modified least-squares, modified moments, and modified L-moments. By a series of Monte Carlo simulations, the estimation efficiencies of the obtained estimators are evaluated through the different sample sizes. Finally, two real datasets are analyzed to illustrate the importance of modeling with the alpha-series process.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/21/5/451alpha-series processgeometric processmaximum likelihood estimatemodified maximum spacing estimatemodified least-squares estimate
spellingShingle Hayrinisa Demirci Biçer
Statistical Inference for Alpha-Series Process with the Generalized Rayleigh Distribution
Entropy
alpha-series process
geometric process
maximum likelihood estimate
modified maximum spacing estimate
modified least-squares estimate
title Statistical Inference for Alpha-Series Process with the Generalized Rayleigh Distribution
title_full Statistical Inference for Alpha-Series Process with the Generalized Rayleigh Distribution
title_fullStr Statistical Inference for Alpha-Series Process with the Generalized Rayleigh Distribution
title_full_unstemmed Statistical Inference for Alpha-Series Process with the Generalized Rayleigh Distribution
title_short Statistical Inference for Alpha-Series Process with the Generalized Rayleigh Distribution
title_sort statistical inference for alpha series process with the generalized rayleigh distribution
topic alpha-series process
geometric process
maximum likelihood estimate
modified maximum spacing estimate
modified least-squares estimate
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/21/5/451
work_keys_str_mv AT hayrinisademircibicer statisticalinferenceforalphaseriesprocesswiththegeneralizedrayleighdistribution