Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region

The two most common types of disasters caused by natural hazards in the Asia-Pacific region are floods and storms, many of them associated with typhoon (tropical cyclone) related impacts. To improve the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction so as to maximum reduce the losses of people’...

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Main Authors: Jixin Yu, Jinping Liu, Ji-Won Baek, Clarence Fong, Michael Fu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2022-09-01
Series:Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603222000248
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author Jixin Yu
Jinping Liu
Ji-Won Baek
Clarence Fong
Michael Fu
author_facet Jixin Yu
Jinping Liu
Ji-Won Baek
Clarence Fong
Michael Fu
author_sort Jixin Yu
collection DOAJ
description The two most common types of disasters caused by natural hazards in the Asia-Pacific region are floods and storms, many of them associated with typhoon (tropical cyclone) related impacts. To improve the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction so as to maximum reduce the losses of people’s life and properties, the decision makers and the public are imminently demanding the information of the targeted impact caused by typhoon. As the front line in hydro-meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation against the typhoon-related disasters, National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) in TC Members have recognized that forecasting impact became more important than forecasting pure causing-disaster elements. Impact-based forecasting signals an evolution from “what the weather will be” to “what the weather will do”. Many things change as impact based forecasts evolve from previous weather forecasts. To enhance impact-based typhoon forecasting, the Typhoon Committee added it into the new updated Strategic Plan 2022–2026. This paper briefed generally the concept of impact based forecasting, introduced the implementation and progresses on typhoon impact based forecasting in TC Members in recent years, and initially discussed the measures and direction for enhancement of impact-based typhoon forecasting and early warning services in future.
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spelling doaj.art-7e2d88577a4746c0b02fdd6741d7cad62022-12-22T02:29:59ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Tropical Cyclone Research and Review2225-60322022-09-01113163173Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee regionJixin Yu0Jinping Liu1Ji-Won Baek2Clarence Fong3Michael Fu4UNESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Secretariat, MacaoUNESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Secretariat, Macao; Corresponding author.Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of KoreaUNESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Secretariat, MacaoUNESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Secretariat, MacaoThe two most common types of disasters caused by natural hazards in the Asia-Pacific region are floods and storms, many of them associated with typhoon (tropical cyclone) related impacts. To improve the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction so as to maximum reduce the losses of people’s life and properties, the decision makers and the public are imminently demanding the information of the targeted impact caused by typhoon. As the front line in hydro-meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation against the typhoon-related disasters, National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) in TC Members have recognized that forecasting impact became more important than forecasting pure causing-disaster elements. Impact-based forecasting signals an evolution from “what the weather will be” to “what the weather will do”. Many things change as impact based forecasts evolve from previous weather forecasts. To enhance impact-based typhoon forecasting, the Typhoon Committee added it into the new updated Strategic Plan 2022–2026. This paper briefed generally the concept of impact based forecasting, introduced the implementation and progresses on typhoon impact based forecasting in TC Members in recent years, and initially discussed the measures and direction for enhancement of impact-based typhoon forecasting and early warning services in future.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603222000248Impact-based forecastEarly warningHydro-meteorological serviceTyphoon-related disaster risk reduction
spellingShingle Jixin Yu
Jinping Liu
Ji-Won Baek
Clarence Fong
Michael Fu
Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Impact-based forecast
Early warning
Hydro-meteorological service
Typhoon-related disaster risk reduction
title Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region
title_full Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region
title_fullStr Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region
title_full_unstemmed Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region
title_short Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region
title_sort impact based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region
topic Impact-based forecast
Early warning
Hydro-meteorological service
Typhoon-related disaster risk reduction
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603222000248
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AT jiwonbaek impactbasedforecastingforimprovingthecapacityoftyphoonrelateddisasterriskreductionintyphooncommitteeregion
AT clarencefong impactbasedforecastingforimprovingthecapacityoftyphoonrelateddisasterriskreductionintyphooncommitteeregion
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