Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on them

Introduction. Currently, a significant number of patients with COVID-19 require inpatient treatment. At the same time, predictors of hospitalization are still stable, including in persons with concomitant pathology. Aim. Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-...

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Main Authors: Irina A. Lizinfeld, Natalia Yu. Pshenichcnaya, Liubov E. Parolina, Grigorii Yu. Zhuravlev, Viktor V. Maleev, Vasiliy G. Akimkin
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: "Consilium Medicum" Publishing house 2022-01-01
Series:Терапевтический архив
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ter-arkhiv.ru/0040-3660/article/viewFile/104759/79175
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author Irina A. Lizinfeld
Natalia Yu. Pshenichcnaya
Liubov E. Parolina
Grigorii Yu. Zhuravlev
Viktor V. Maleev
Vasiliy G. Akimkin
author_facet Irina A. Lizinfeld
Natalia Yu. Pshenichcnaya
Liubov E. Parolina
Grigorii Yu. Zhuravlev
Viktor V. Maleev
Vasiliy G. Akimkin
author_sort Irina A. Lizinfeld
collection DOAJ
description Introduction. Currently, a significant number of patients with COVID-19 require inpatient treatment. At the same time, predictors of hospitalization are still stable, including in persons with concomitant pathology. Aim. Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and the development of a prognostic model based on them. Materials and methods. An observational retrospective cohort study of 74 314 patients with COVID-19 with various comorbidities was carried out in the period from March to November 2020 in the Russian Federation. Results. Based on 16 factors, including age, gender, place of diagnosis, fever, rhinitis, loss of taste, shortness of breath, concomitant diseases of the cardiovascular, bronchopulmonary system, oncological, endocrine diseases in patients included in the study, a prognostic model was developed. The need for inpatient treatment of patients with COVID-19 and comorbidities was determined. Conclusion. The constructed predictive model has demonstrated sufficient efficiency to assess the likelihood of hospitalization of patients with COVID-19 by medical specialists.
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spelling doaj.art-7e354860f68e400ba9667d0c742b1fc72022-12-21T18:13:20Zrus"Consilium Medicum" Publishing houseТерапевтический архив0040-36602309-53422022-01-01941576310.26442/00403660.2022.01.20132378046Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on themIrina A. Lizinfeld0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8114-1002Natalia Yu. Pshenichcnaya1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2570-711XLiubov E. Parolina2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4365-5894Grigorii Yu. Zhuravlev3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2467-7000Viktor V. Maleev4https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5748-178XVasiliy G. Akimkin5https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4228-9044National Medical Research Center of Phthisiopulmonology and Infectious DiseasesCentral Research Institute of EpidemiologyNational Medical Research Center of Phthisiopulmonology and Infectious DiseasesCentral Research Institute of EpidemiologyCentral Research Institute of EpidemiologyCentral Research Institute of EpidemiologyIntroduction. Currently, a significant number of patients with COVID-19 require inpatient treatment. At the same time, predictors of hospitalization are still stable, including in persons with concomitant pathology. Aim. Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and the development of a prognostic model based on them. Materials and methods. An observational retrospective cohort study of 74 314 patients with COVID-19 with various comorbidities was carried out in the period from March to November 2020 in the Russian Federation. Results. Based on 16 factors, including age, gender, place of diagnosis, fever, rhinitis, loss of taste, shortness of breath, concomitant diseases of the cardiovascular, bronchopulmonary system, oncological, endocrine diseases in patients included in the study, a prognostic model was developed. The need for inpatient treatment of patients with COVID-19 and comorbidities was determined. Conclusion. The constructed predictive model has demonstrated sufficient efficiency to assess the likelihood of hospitalization of patients with COVID-19 by medical specialists.https://ter-arkhiv.ru/0040-3660/article/viewFile/104759/79175coronaviruscovid-19hospitalizationcomorbiditieshospitalization factorsprognosis
spellingShingle Irina A. Lizinfeld
Natalia Yu. Pshenichcnaya
Liubov E. Parolina
Grigorii Yu. Zhuravlev
Viktor V. Maleev
Vasiliy G. Akimkin
Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on them
Терапевтический архив
coronavirus
covid-19
hospitalization
comorbidities
hospitalization factors
prognosis
title Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on them
title_full Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on them
title_fullStr Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on them
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on them
title_short Assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of COVID-19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on them
title_sort assessment of factors affecting the probability of hospitalization of covid 19 patients with concomitant pathology and development of a prognostic model based on them
topic coronavirus
covid-19
hospitalization
comorbidities
hospitalization factors
prognosis
url https://ter-arkhiv.ru/0040-3660/article/viewFile/104759/79175
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