From wind to loads: wind turbine site-specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high-fidelity load databases

<p>We define and demonstrate a procedure for quick assessment of site-specific lifetime fatigue loads using simplified load mapping functions (surrogate models), trained by means of a database with high-fidelity load simulations. The performance of five surrogate models is assessed by compa...

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Main Authors: N. Dimitrov, M. C. Kelly, A. Vignaroli, J. Berg
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2018-10-01
Series:Wind Energy Science
Online Access:https://www.wind-energ-sci.net/3/767/2018/wes-3-767-2018.pdf
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author N. Dimitrov
M. C. Kelly
A. Vignaroli
J. Berg
author_facet N. Dimitrov
M. C. Kelly
A. Vignaroli
J. Berg
author_sort N. Dimitrov
collection DOAJ
description <p>We define and demonstrate a procedure for quick assessment of site-specific lifetime fatigue loads using simplified load mapping functions (surrogate models), trained by means of a database with high-fidelity load simulations. The performance of five surrogate models is assessed by comparing site-specific lifetime fatigue load predictions at 10 sites using an aeroelastic model of the DTU 10&thinsp;MW reference wind turbine. The surrogate methods are polynomial chaos expansion, quadratic response surface, universal Kriging, importance sampling, and nearest-neighbor interpolation. Practical bounds for the database and calibration are defined via nine environmental variables, and their relative effects on the fatigue loads are evaluated by means of Sobol sensitivity indices. Of the surrogate-model methods, polynomial chaos expansion provides an accurate and robust performance in prediction of the different site-specific loads. Although the Kriging approach showed slightly better accuracy, it also demanded more computational resources.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-7e37b4c3f7ac48139cf17cbf24d9be2c2022-12-22T02:44:11ZengCopernicus PublicationsWind Energy Science2366-74432366-74512018-10-01376779010.5194/wes-3-767-2018From wind to loads: wind turbine site-specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high-fidelity load databasesN. Dimitrov0M. C. Kelly1A. Vignaroli2J. Berg3DTU Wind Energy, Technical University of Denmark, Risø Campus, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, DenmarkDTU Wind Energy, Technical University of Denmark, Risø Campus, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, DenmarkDTU Wind Energy, Technical University of Denmark, Risø Campus, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, DenmarkDTU Wind Energy, Technical University of Denmark, Risø Campus, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark<p>We define and demonstrate a procedure for quick assessment of site-specific lifetime fatigue loads using simplified load mapping functions (surrogate models), trained by means of a database with high-fidelity load simulations. The performance of five surrogate models is assessed by comparing site-specific lifetime fatigue load predictions at 10 sites using an aeroelastic model of the DTU 10&thinsp;MW reference wind turbine. The surrogate methods are polynomial chaos expansion, quadratic response surface, universal Kriging, importance sampling, and nearest-neighbor interpolation. Practical bounds for the database and calibration are defined via nine environmental variables, and their relative effects on the fatigue loads are evaluated by means of Sobol sensitivity indices. Of the surrogate-model methods, polynomial chaos expansion provides an accurate and robust performance in prediction of the different site-specific loads. Although the Kriging approach showed slightly better accuracy, it also demanded more computational resources.</p>https://www.wind-energ-sci.net/3/767/2018/wes-3-767-2018.pdf
spellingShingle N. Dimitrov
M. C. Kelly
A. Vignaroli
J. Berg
From wind to loads: wind turbine site-specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high-fidelity load databases
Wind Energy Science
title From wind to loads: wind turbine site-specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high-fidelity load databases
title_full From wind to loads: wind turbine site-specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high-fidelity load databases
title_fullStr From wind to loads: wind turbine site-specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high-fidelity load databases
title_full_unstemmed From wind to loads: wind turbine site-specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high-fidelity load databases
title_short From wind to loads: wind turbine site-specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high-fidelity load databases
title_sort from wind to loads wind turbine site specific load estimation with surrogate models trained on high fidelity load databases
url https://www.wind-energ-sci.net/3/767/2018/wes-3-767-2018.pdf
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