Systematic Quantification of Uncertainties for Evaluated Prompt Fission Neutron Spectra and Multiplicities

Uncertainties associated with evaluated average prompt fission neutron spectra and multiplicities are obtained for a suite of actinides in the Los Alamos model formalism. Systematics for the model input parameters are taken from the literature and used as prior values in a Bayesian updating procedur...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Prinja Anil, Rising Mike, Kawano Toshihiko, Talou Patrick
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2012-05-01
Series:EPJ Web of Conferences
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/epjconf/20122700001
Description
Summary:Uncertainties associated with evaluated average prompt fission neutron spectra and multiplicities are obtained for a suite of actinides in the Los Alamos model formalism. Systematics for the model input parameters are taken from the literature and used as prior values in a Bayesian updating procedure. Posterior systematics as well as associated posterior uncertainties are inferred. In addition, cross-isotope correlations are evaluated for the first time. The quantification of uncertainties associated with advanced Monte Carlo Hauser-Feshbach calculations of prompt fission neutron spectra is also discussed.
ISSN:2100-014X