Tracking [Formula: see text] of COVID-19: A new real-time estimation using the Kalman filter.
We develop a new method for estimating the effective reproduction number of an infectious disease ([Formula: see text]) and apply it to track the dynamics of COVID-19. The method is based on the fact that in the SIR model, [Formula: see text] is linearly related to the growth rate of the number of i...
Main Authors: | Francisco Arroyo-Marioli, Francisco Bullano, Simas Kucinskas, Carlos Rondón-Moreno |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2021-01-01
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Series: | PLoS ONE |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244474 |
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