The Relationship Between the Returns and Volatility of Stock and Oil Markets in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from Saudi Arabia

Using daily data from 2000 to 2019, this study examines the sensitivity of Saudi market returns and volatility to changes in oil prices. This study employs the threshold general autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic in mean model (TGARCH-M) and three multivariate general autoregressive conditi...

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Main Author: Mohammad Alsharif
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2020-07-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/9869
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author Mohammad Alsharif
author_facet Mohammad Alsharif
author_sort Mohammad Alsharif
collection DOAJ
description Using daily data from 2000 to 2019, this study examines the sensitivity of Saudi market returns and volatility to changes in oil prices. This study employs the threshold general autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic in mean model (TGARCH-M) and three multivariate general autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (MGARCH) models. Overall, it is found that oil price changes have a significant positive impact on Saudi stock market returns. More, there is a positive relationship between the volatility of stock and oil markets, and this positive relationship has increased significantly in the last decade. Thus, Saudi Arabia is recommended to diversify its economy away from oil income to enhance their stock market efficiency and stability. Keywords: Saudi Arabia, Tadawul, Oil, Volatility, TGARCH-M, MGARCH JEL Classifications: C32, E44, G12 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.9869
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spelling doaj.art-7e787381dbf742128ae92ccca6cf6e382023-02-15T16:20:05ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382020-07-01104The Relationship Between the Returns and Volatility of Stock and Oil Markets in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from Saudi ArabiaMohammad Alsharif0Mohammad Alsharif Assistant Professor in Finance, Department of Finance and Economics, College of Business Administration, Taibah University. Madinah, Saudi Arabia. Using daily data from 2000 to 2019, this study examines the sensitivity of Saudi market returns and volatility to changes in oil prices. This study employs the threshold general autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic in mean model (TGARCH-M) and three multivariate general autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (MGARCH) models. Overall, it is found that oil price changes have a significant positive impact on Saudi stock market returns. More, there is a positive relationship between the volatility of stock and oil markets, and this positive relationship has increased significantly in the last decade. Thus, Saudi Arabia is recommended to diversify its economy away from oil income to enhance their stock market efficiency and stability. Keywords: Saudi Arabia, Tadawul, Oil, Volatility, TGARCH-M, MGARCH JEL Classifications: C32, E44, G12 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.9869 http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/9869
spellingShingle Mohammad Alsharif
The Relationship Between the Returns and Volatility of Stock and Oil Markets in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from Saudi Arabia
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title The Relationship Between the Returns and Volatility of Stock and Oil Markets in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from Saudi Arabia
title_full The Relationship Between the Returns and Volatility of Stock and Oil Markets in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from Saudi Arabia
title_fullStr The Relationship Between the Returns and Volatility of Stock and Oil Markets in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from Saudi Arabia
title_full_unstemmed The Relationship Between the Returns and Volatility of Stock and Oil Markets in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from Saudi Arabia
title_short The Relationship Between the Returns and Volatility of Stock and Oil Markets in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from Saudi Arabia
title_sort relationship between the returns and volatility of stock and oil markets in the last two decades evidence from saudi arabia
url http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/9869
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