CAPITAL MARKET CORRELATIONS STRUCTURE DURING THE COVID-19 CRISIS

The current Covid-19 crisis had a negative impact on the society and economy in general and on the capital markets in particular. Even if, at least in the first few months, the pandemics acted only as an exogenous shock upon the capital markets, its influence was clearly reflected in negative mark...

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Main Author: IOAN ROXANA
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Academica Brâncuşi 2020-12-01
Series:Analele Universităţii Constantin Brâncuşi din Târgu Jiu : Seria Economie
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.utgjiu.ro/revista/ec/pdf/2020-06/10_Ioan.pdf
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author IOAN ROXANA
author_facet IOAN ROXANA
author_sort IOAN ROXANA
collection DOAJ
description The current Covid-19 crisis had a negative impact on the society and economy in general and on the capital markets in particular. Even if, at least in the first few months, the pandemics acted only as an exogenous shock upon the capital markets, its influence was clearly reflected in negative market returns, even if the economic activity hadn’t yet been affected by restrictions. Our paper aims to study the correlations structure evolution within the U.S. stock market, from the 2019 “business as usual” times to the turbulent and volatile period of 2020. The methodology used in our study involves in the first place a market efficiency analysis, based on an econo-physics approach, combining a Hurst exponent and two fractal dimension estimators, meant to reveal any changes in the correlation structure of the daily returns. The second part of our study conducts a Principal Component Analysis, in order to compare the number of principal components able to explain a certain threshold of variation in 2020, in respect to 2019. The results confirm the existence of increasing correlations within the market as the pandemics expanded, proving that imitation induced by panic and ultimately herding appeared inside the market, as investors were affected by the imminence of the Covid19 disease on a psychological basis.
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spelling doaj.art-7e7b1a66f12247af901fe5d5a9ecf1c92022-12-22T04:14:19ZengAcademica BrâncuşiAnalele Universităţii Constantin Brâncuşi din Târgu Jiu : Seria Economie1844-70072020-12-0166779CAPITAL MARKET CORRELATIONS STRUCTURE DURING THE COVID-19 CRISISIOAN ROXANA0WEST UNIVERSITY OF TIMISOARA, FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, The current Covid-19 crisis had a negative impact on the society and economy in general and on the capital markets in particular. Even if, at least in the first few months, the pandemics acted only as an exogenous shock upon the capital markets, its influence was clearly reflected in negative market returns, even if the economic activity hadn’t yet been affected by restrictions. Our paper aims to study the correlations structure evolution within the U.S. stock market, from the 2019 “business as usual” times to the turbulent and volatile period of 2020. The methodology used in our study involves in the first place a market efficiency analysis, based on an econo-physics approach, combining a Hurst exponent and two fractal dimension estimators, meant to reveal any changes in the correlation structure of the daily returns. The second part of our study conducts a Principal Component Analysis, in order to compare the number of principal components able to explain a certain threshold of variation in 2020, in respect to 2019. The results confirm the existence of increasing correlations within the market as the pandemics expanded, proving that imitation induced by panic and ultimately herding appeared inside the market, as investors were affected by the imminence of the Covid19 disease on a psychological basis. https://www.utgjiu.ro/revista/ec/pdf/2020-06/10_Ioan.pdfcorrelations structuremarket efficiencyhurst exponentfractal dimensionprincipal component analysisherding behaviors
spellingShingle IOAN ROXANA
CAPITAL MARKET CORRELATIONS STRUCTURE DURING THE COVID-19 CRISIS
Analele Universităţii Constantin Brâncuşi din Târgu Jiu : Seria Economie
correlations structure
market efficiency
hurst exponent
fractal dimension
principal component analysis
herding behaviors
title CAPITAL MARKET CORRELATIONS STRUCTURE DURING THE COVID-19 CRISIS
title_full CAPITAL MARKET CORRELATIONS STRUCTURE DURING THE COVID-19 CRISIS
title_fullStr CAPITAL MARKET CORRELATIONS STRUCTURE DURING THE COVID-19 CRISIS
title_full_unstemmed CAPITAL MARKET CORRELATIONS STRUCTURE DURING THE COVID-19 CRISIS
title_short CAPITAL MARKET CORRELATIONS STRUCTURE DURING THE COVID-19 CRISIS
title_sort capital market correlations structure during the covid 19 crisis
topic correlations structure
market efficiency
hurst exponent
fractal dimension
principal component analysis
herding behaviors
url https://www.utgjiu.ro/revista/ec/pdf/2020-06/10_Ioan.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT ioanroxana capitalmarketcorrelationsstructureduringthecovid19crisis