The effect of illicit crops on forest cover in Colombia

ABSTRACTMany armed conflicts worldwide occur in biodiversity hotspots and nearly 50% of those conflicts occur in forested regions. In Colombia, the armed conflict has implied the clearing of large forest tracts for the establishment of illicit crops. The aim of this study was to assess the role that...

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Main Authors: Viviana Quiroga Angel, Stevenson Pablo, Helene H. Wagner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Land Use Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1747423X.2021.2020921
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author Viviana Quiroga Angel
Stevenson Pablo
Helene H. Wagner
author_facet Viviana Quiroga Angel
Stevenson Pablo
Helene H. Wagner
author_sort Viviana Quiroga Angel
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACTMany armed conflicts worldwide occur in biodiversity hotspots and nearly 50% of those conflicts occur in forested regions. In Colombia, the armed conflict has implied the clearing of large forest tracts for the establishment of illicit crops. The aim of this study was to assess the role that illicit crops played in the deforestation dynamics in Colombia between 2001 and 2014. We established a database with the annual deforestation rates and nine predictors for 1120 municipalities and built fixed effects models that take spatial autocorrelation into account. Model selection with AIC suggested that the area cultivated with coca crops was the best predictor of annual rates of deforestation, whereas coca crop removal was associated with increasing forest cover.According to our results, coca crops promoted deforestation in Colombia between 2001 and 2014 through indirect (spilling-over to nearby areas), immediate and temporally-lagged mechanisms.
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spelling doaj.art-7e86ba6ec0ca4baea1430ff78b30e27b2024-03-25T18:27:59ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Land Use Science1747-423X1747-42482022-01-01171475910.1080/1747423X.2021.2020921The effect of illicit crops on forest cover in ColombiaViviana Quiroga Angel0Stevenson Pablo1Helene H. Wagner2Laboratorio de Ecología de Bosques Tropicales y Primatología, Universidad de Los Andes, Bogotá, ColombiaLaboratorio de Ecología de Bosques Tropicales y Primatología, Universidad de Los Andes, Bogotá, ColombiaDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Toronto, Mississauga, CanadaABSTRACTMany armed conflicts worldwide occur in biodiversity hotspots and nearly 50% of those conflicts occur in forested regions. In Colombia, the armed conflict has implied the clearing of large forest tracts for the establishment of illicit crops. The aim of this study was to assess the role that illicit crops played in the deforestation dynamics in Colombia between 2001 and 2014. We established a database with the annual deforestation rates and nine predictors for 1120 municipalities and built fixed effects models that take spatial autocorrelation into account. Model selection with AIC suggested that the area cultivated with coca crops was the best predictor of annual rates of deforestation, whereas coca crop removal was associated with increasing forest cover.According to our results, coca crops promoted deforestation in Colombia between 2001 and 2014 through indirect (spilling-over to nearby areas), immediate and temporally-lagged mechanisms.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1747423X.2021.2020921Deforestationillicit cropsarmed conflict
spellingShingle Viviana Quiroga Angel
Stevenson Pablo
Helene H. Wagner
The effect of illicit crops on forest cover in Colombia
Journal of Land Use Science
Deforestation
illicit crops
armed conflict
title The effect of illicit crops on forest cover in Colombia
title_full The effect of illicit crops on forest cover in Colombia
title_fullStr The effect of illicit crops on forest cover in Colombia
title_full_unstemmed The effect of illicit crops on forest cover in Colombia
title_short The effect of illicit crops on forest cover in Colombia
title_sort effect of illicit crops on forest cover in colombia
topic Deforestation
illicit crops
armed conflict
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1747423X.2021.2020921
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