A Spatiotemporal Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit Network for Mean Wave Period Field Forecasting

Mean wave period (MWP) is one of the key parameters affecting the design of marine facilities. Currently, there are two main methods, numerical and data-driven methods, for forecasting wave parameters, of which the latter are widely used. However, few studies have focused on MWP forecasting, and eve...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ting Yu, Jichao Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-04-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/9/4/383
_version_ 1827695924882702336
author Ting Yu
Jichao Wang
author_facet Ting Yu
Jichao Wang
author_sort Ting Yu
collection DOAJ
description Mean wave period (MWP) is one of the key parameters affecting the design of marine facilities. Currently, there are two main methods, numerical and data-driven methods, for forecasting wave parameters, of which the latter are widely used. However, few studies have focused on MWP forecasting, and even fewer have investigated it with spatial and temporal information. In this study, correlations between ocean dynamic parameters are explored to obtain appropriate input features, significant wave height (SWH) and MWP. Subsequently, a data-driven approach, the convolution gated recurrent unit (Conv-GRU) model with spatiotemporal characteristics, is utilized to field forecast MWP with 1, 3, 6, 12, and 24-h lead times in the South China Sea. Six points at different locations and six consecutive moments at every 12-h intervals are selected to study the forecasting ability of the proposed model. The Conv-GRU model has a better performance than the single gated recurrent unit (GRU) model in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), the scattering index (SI), Bias, and the Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R). With the lead time increasing, the forecast effect shows a decreasing trend, specifically, the experiment displays a relatively smooth forecast curve and presents a great advantage in the short-term forecast of the MWP field in the Conv-GRU model, where the RMSE is 0.121 m for 1-h lead time.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T12:36:46Z
format Article
id doaj.art-7eb4f7b999244a23b6d3b844b26528ae
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2077-1312
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T12:36:46Z
publishDate 2021-04-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
spelling doaj.art-7eb4f7b999244a23b6d3b844b26528ae2023-11-21T14:11:54ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122021-04-019438310.3390/jmse9040383A Spatiotemporal Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit Network for Mean Wave Period Field ForecastingTing Yu0Jichao Wang1College of Science, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, ChinaCollege of Science, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, ChinaMean wave period (MWP) is one of the key parameters affecting the design of marine facilities. Currently, there are two main methods, numerical and data-driven methods, for forecasting wave parameters, of which the latter are widely used. However, few studies have focused on MWP forecasting, and even fewer have investigated it with spatial and temporal information. In this study, correlations between ocean dynamic parameters are explored to obtain appropriate input features, significant wave height (SWH) and MWP. Subsequently, a data-driven approach, the convolution gated recurrent unit (Conv-GRU) model with spatiotemporal characteristics, is utilized to field forecast MWP with 1, 3, 6, 12, and 24-h lead times in the South China Sea. Six points at different locations and six consecutive moments at every 12-h intervals are selected to study the forecasting ability of the proposed model. The Conv-GRU model has a better performance than the single gated recurrent unit (GRU) model in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), the scattering index (SI), Bias, and the Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R). With the lead time increasing, the forecast effect shows a decreasing trend, specifically, the experiment displays a relatively smooth forecast curve and presents a great advantage in the short-term forecast of the MWP field in the Conv-GRU model, where the RMSE is 0.121 m for 1-h lead time.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/9/4/383mean wave perioddata-drivenconvolutional gated recurrent unitspatiotemporal
spellingShingle Ting Yu
Jichao Wang
A Spatiotemporal Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit Network for Mean Wave Period Field Forecasting
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
mean wave period
data-driven
convolutional gated recurrent unit
spatiotemporal
title A Spatiotemporal Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit Network for Mean Wave Period Field Forecasting
title_full A Spatiotemporal Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit Network for Mean Wave Period Field Forecasting
title_fullStr A Spatiotemporal Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit Network for Mean Wave Period Field Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed A Spatiotemporal Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit Network for Mean Wave Period Field Forecasting
title_short A Spatiotemporal Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit Network for Mean Wave Period Field Forecasting
title_sort spatiotemporal convolutional gated recurrent unit network for mean wave period field forecasting
topic mean wave period
data-driven
convolutional gated recurrent unit
spatiotemporal
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/9/4/383
work_keys_str_mv AT tingyu aspatiotemporalconvolutionalgatedrecurrentunitnetworkformeanwaveperiodfieldforecasting
AT jichaowang aspatiotemporalconvolutionalgatedrecurrentunitnetworkformeanwaveperiodfieldforecasting
AT tingyu spatiotemporalconvolutionalgatedrecurrentunitnetworkformeanwaveperiodfieldforecasting
AT jichaowang spatiotemporalconvolutionalgatedrecurrentunitnetworkformeanwaveperiodfieldforecasting