Prediction of Sediment Yields Using a Data-Driven Radial M5 Tree Model

Reliable estimations of sediment yields are very important for investigations of river morphology and water resources management. Nowadays, soft computing methods are very helpful and famous regarding the accurate estimation of sediment loads. The present study checked the applicability of the radia...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Behrooz Keshtegar, Jamshid Piri, Waqas Ul Hussan, Kamran Ikram, Muhammad Yaseen, Ozgur Kisi, Rana Muhammad Adnan, Muhammad Adnan, Muhammad Waseem
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-04-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/7/1437
_version_ 1797606862610235392
author Behrooz Keshtegar
Jamshid Piri
Waqas Ul Hussan
Kamran Ikram
Muhammad Yaseen
Ozgur Kisi
Rana Muhammad Adnan
Muhammad Adnan
Muhammad Waseem
author_facet Behrooz Keshtegar
Jamshid Piri
Waqas Ul Hussan
Kamran Ikram
Muhammad Yaseen
Ozgur Kisi
Rana Muhammad Adnan
Muhammad Adnan
Muhammad Waseem
author_sort Behrooz Keshtegar
collection DOAJ
description Reliable estimations of sediment yields are very important for investigations of river morphology and water resources management. Nowadays, soft computing methods are very helpful and famous regarding the accurate estimation of sediment loads. The present study checked the applicability of the radial M5 tree (RM5Tree) model to accurately estimate sediment yields using daily inputs of the snow cover fraction, air temperature, evapotranspiration and effective rainfall, in addition to the flow, in the Gilgit River, Upper Indus Basin (UIB) tributary, Pakistan. The results of the RM5Tree model were compared with support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural network (ANN), multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), M5Tree, sediment rating curve (SRC) and response surface method (RSM) models. The resulting accuracy of the models was assessed using Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R<sup>2</sup>), the root-mean-square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The prediction accuracy of the RM5Tree model during the testing period was superior to the ANN, MARS, SVR, M5Tree, RSM and SRC models with the R<sup>2</sup>, RMSE and MAPE being 0.72, 0.51 tons/day and 11.99%, respectively. The RM5Tree model predicted suspended sediment peaks better, with 84.10% relative accuracy, in comparison to the MARS, ANN, SVR, M5Tree, RSM and SRC models, with 80.62, 77.86, 81.90, 80.20, 74.58 and 62.49% relative accuracies, respectively.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T05:20:58Z
format Article
id doaj.art-7ebc655b3ea843318f9b5fe7a9619a20
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-4441
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T05:20:58Z
publishDate 2023-04-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Water
spelling doaj.art-7ebc655b3ea843318f9b5fe7a9619a202023-11-17T17:50:50ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412023-04-01157143710.3390/w15071437Prediction of Sediment Yields Using a Data-Driven Radial M5 Tree ModelBehrooz Keshtegar0Jamshid Piri1Waqas Ul Hussan2Kamran Ikram3Muhammad Yaseen4Ozgur Kisi5Rana Muhammad Adnan6Muhammad Adnan7Muhammad Waseem8Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Zabol, Zabol 9861335856, IranDepartment of Water Engineering, Faculty of Water and Soil, University of Zabol, Zabol 9861335856, IranDepartment of Irrigation and Drainage, University of Agriculture, DI Khan 29111, PakistanDepartment of Agricultural Engineering, Khwaja Fareed University of Engineering and Information Technology, Rahim Yar Khan 64200, PakistanCentre for Integrated Mountain Research (CIMR), Qaid e Azam Campus, University of the Punjab, Lahore 53720, PakistanDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Applied Sciences, 23562 Lübeck, GermanySchool of Economics and Statistics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaInstitute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, ChinaCentre of Excellence in Water Resources Engineering (CEWRE), University of Engineering & Technology, Lahore 54890, PakistanReliable estimations of sediment yields are very important for investigations of river morphology and water resources management. Nowadays, soft computing methods are very helpful and famous regarding the accurate estimation of sediment loads. The present study checked the applicability of the radial M5 tree (RM5Tree) model to accurately estimate sediment yields using daily inputs of the snow cover fraction, air temperature, evapotranspiration and effective rainfall, in addition to the flow, in the Gilgit River, Upper Indus Basin (UIB) tributary, Pakistan. The results of the RM5Tree model were compared with support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural network (ANN), multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), M5Tree, sediment rating curve (SRC) and response surface method (RSM) models. The resulting accuracy of the models was assessed using Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R<sup>2</sup>), the root-mean-square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The prediction accuracy of the RM5Tree model during the testing period was superior to the ANN, MARS, SVR, M5Tree, RSM and SRC models with the R<sup>2</sup>, RMSE and MAPE being 0.72, 0.51 tons/day and 11.99%, respectively. The RM5Tree model predicted suspended sediment peaks better, with 84.10% relative accuracy, in comparison to the MARS, ANN, SVR, M5Tree, RSM and SRC models, with 80.62, 77.86, 81.90, 80.20, 74.58 and 62.49% relative accuracies, respectively.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/7/1437Gilgit Riversnowmeltssuspended sediment yieldsM5TreeRM5TreeUpper Indus Basin (UIB)
spellingShingle Behrooz Keshtegar
Jamshid Piri
Waqas Ul Hussan
Kamran Ikram
Muhammad Yaseen
Ozgur Kisi
Rana Muhammad Adnan
Muhammad Adnan
Muhammad Waseem
Prediction of Sediment Yields Using a Data-Driven Radial M5 Tree Model
Water
Gilgit River
snowmelts
suspended sediment yields
M5Tree
RM5Tree
Upper Indus Basin (UIB)
title Prediction of Sediment Yields Using a Data-Driven Radial M5 Tree Model
title_full Prediction of Sediment Yields Using a Data-Driven Radial M5 Tree Model
title_fullStr Prediction of Sediment Yields Using a Data-Driven Radial M5 Tree Model
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Sediment Yields Using a Data-Driven Radial M5 Tree Model
title_short Prediction of Sediment Yields Using a Data-Driven Radial M5 Tree Model
title_sort prediction of sediment yields using a data driven radial m5 tree model
topic Gilgit River
snowmelts
suspended sediment yields
M5Tree
RM5Tree
Upper Indus Basin (UIB)
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/7/1437
work_keys_str_mv AT behroozkeshtegar predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel
AT jamshidpiri predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel
AT waqasulhussan predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel
AT kamranikram predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel
AT muhammadyaseen predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel
AT ozgurkisi predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel
AT ranamuhammadadnan predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel
AT muhammadadnan predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel
AT muhammadwaseem predictionofsedimentyieldsusingadatadrivenradialm5treemodel