Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors: Mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study

Preterm birth and infection are common causes of neonatal death. In this study, we aimed to develop a nomogram for assessing the individual prior probability of late-onset sepsis on the basis of risk factors in preterm infants. This study is a mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study conduct...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yuejun Huang, Xiaochan Yu, Weidong Li, Yuewa Li, Jianhui Yang, Zhimei Hu, Yanli Wang, Peishan Chen, Weizhong Li, Yunbin Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-07-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2090123220300291
_version_ 1819065980385492992
author Yuejun Huang
Xiaochan Yu
Weidong Li
Yuewa Li
Jianhui Yang
Zhimei Hu
Yanli Wang
Peishan Chen
Weizhong Li
Yunbin Chen
author_facet Yuejun Huang
Xiaochan Yu
Weidong Li
Yuewa Li
Jianhui Yang
Zhimei Hu
Yanli Wang
Peishan Chen
Weizhong Li
Yunbin Chen
author_sort Yuejun Huang
collection DOAJ
description Preterm birth and infection are common causes of neonatal death. In this study, we aimed to develop a nomogram for assessing the individual prior probability of late-onset sepsis on the basis of risk factors in preterm infants. This study is a mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study conducted in three centers. Data from January 2014 to December 2017 was used for the development cohort, and data from January 2018 to December 2018 was used for the validation cohort. In the development cohort, we identified the predicting variables of late-onset sepsis in preterm infants, from which a nomogram was obtained. Then we built nomograms, for with and without thyroid function, to predict late-onset sepsis. The nomogram was validated in the validation cohort concerning discrimination and calibration. A total of 1256 and 452 preterm infants were included in the development and validation cohort, respectively. We found thyroid hypofunction in preterm infants could increase the incidence of late-onset infection. The prediction model incorporated thyroid function, birth weight, use of endotracheal intubation, and duration of umbilical venous catheters was validated and developed as a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants. Nomogram in this study may contribute to clinical assessment and treatment decisions.
first_indexed 2024-12-21T15:55:05Z
format Article
id doaj.art-7ec708940c3744eabbb0aed908ff6992
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2090-1232
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-21T15:55:05Z
publishDate 2020-07-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Journal of Advanced Research
spelling doaj.art-7ec708940c3744eabbb0aed908ff69922022-12-21T18:58:07ZengElsevierJournal of Advanced Research2090-12322020-07-01244351Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors: Mixed retrospective and prospective cohort studyYuejun Huang0Xiaochan Yu1Weidong Li2Yuewa Li3Jianhui Yang4Zhimei Hu5Yanli Wang6Peishan Chen7Weizhong Li8Yunbin Chen9Department of Neonatology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, North Dongxia Road, Shantou 515041, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Neonatology, Affiliated Xiaolan Hospital of Southern Medical University, Zhongshan, 528415, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Neonatology, Affiliated Xiaolan Hospital of Southern Medical University, Zhongshan, 528415, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Neonatology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, North Dongxia Road, Shantou 515041, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Neonatology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, North Dongxia Road, Shantou 515041, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Obstetrics, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, North Dongxia Road, Shantou 515041, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Neonatology, Women and Children Hospital of Guangdong Province, West Guangyuan Road, Guangzhou 510000, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Obstetrics, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, North Dongxia Road, Shantou 515041, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Neonatology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, North Dongxia Road, Shantou 515041, Guangdong, ChinaDepartment of Neonatology, Women and Children Hospital of Guangdong Province, West Guangyuan Road, Guangzhou 510000, Guangdong, China; Corresponding author.Preterm birth and infection are common causes of neonatal death. In this study, we aimed to develop a nomogram for assessing the individual prior probability of late-onset sepsis on the basis of risk factors in preterm infants. This study is a mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study conducted in three centers. Data from January 2014 to December 2017 was used for the development cohort, and data from January 2018 to December 2018 was used for the validation cohort. In the development cohort, we identified the predicting variables of late-onset sepsis in preterm infants, from which a nomogram was obtained. Then we built nomograms, for with and without thyroid function, to predict late-onset sepsis. The nomogram was validated in the validation cohort concerning discrimination and calibration. A total of 1256 and 452 preterm infants were included in the development and validation cohort, respectively. We found thyroid hypofunction in preterm infants could increase the incidence of late-onset infection. The prediction model incorporated thyroid function, birth weight, use of endotracheal intubation, and duration of umbilical venous catheters was validated and developed as a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants. Nomogram in this study may contribute to clinical assessment and treatment decisions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2090123220300291NomogramLate onsetSepsisPreterm infantThyroid function
spellingShingle Yuejun Huang
Xiaochan Yu
Weidong Li
Yuewa Li
Jianhui Yang
Zhimei Hu
Yanli Wang
Peishan Chen
Weizhong Li
Yunbin Chen
Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors: Mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study
Journal of Advanced Research
Nomogram
Late onset
Sepsis
Preterm infant
Thyroid function
title Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors: Mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study
title_full Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors: Mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study
title_fullStr Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors: Mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors: Mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study
title_short Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late-onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors: Mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study
title_sort development and validation of a nomogram for predicting late onset sepsis in preterm infants on the basis of thyroid function and other risk factors mixed retrospective and prospective cohort study
topic Nomogram
Late onset
Sepsis
Preterm infant
Thyroid function
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2090123220300291
work_keys_str_mv AT yuejunhuang developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaochanyu developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT weidongli developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT yuewali developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT jianhuiyang developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT zhimeihu developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT yanliwang developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT peishanchen developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT weizhongli developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy
AT yunbinchen developmentandvalidationofanomogramforpredictinglateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsonthebasisofthyroidfunctionandotherriskfactorsmixedretrospectiveandprospectivecohortstudy