An analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks: based on input–output model and production function

Abstract There has recently been a global increase in economic losses due to cyberattacks. However, research on the economic damage caused by cyberattacks has mainly focused on attacked companies, and spillover damage to other sectors has not been sufficiently investigated. This study analyzed the e...

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Main Authors: Akiyoshi Kokaji, Atsuhiro Goto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Economic Structures
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40008-022-00286-4
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author Akiyoshi Kokaji
Atsuhiro Goto
author_facet Akiyoshi Kokaji
Atsuhiro Goto
author_sort Akiyoshi Kokaji
collection DOAJ
description Abstract There has recently been a global increase in economic losses due to cyberattacks. However, research on the economic damage caused by cyberattacks has mainly focused on attacked companies, and spillover damage to other sectors has not been sufficiently investigated. This study analyzed the economic losses from cyberattacks in Japan using the production function and input–output model to improve the accuracy of damage prediction and various national measures. First, we provide an estimation method for the annual direct damage by industry using a production function. The mainstream input dataset is lost working hours owing to cyber incidents. Second, we devised a model to estimate the amount of spillover damage to the entire country using the input–output model. Third, although the cyber damage data were limited to only interview data by the JNSA and IPA, we showed the process of estimating direct and spillover damage in all sectors in Japan. As a result, we consider that our estimation method is feasible and effective at the national level. This study contributes to future research on cyber resilience by analyzing the damage caused by cyberattacks from a macroeconomic perspective using a production function and input–output model.
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spelling doaj.art-7f2c2836ee894ca5b53dd3c466a27e712023-01-01T12:13:30ZengSpringerOpenJournal of Economic Structures2193-24092022-12-0111111710.1186/s40008-022-00286-4An analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks: based on input–output model and production functionAkiyoshi Kokaji0Atsuhiro Goto1Institute of Information SecurityInstitute of Information SecurityAbstract There has recently been a global increase in economic losses due to cyberattacks. However, research on the economic damage caused by cyberattacks has mainly focused on attacked companies, and spillover damage to other sectors has not been sufficiently investigated. This study analyzed the economic losses from cyberattacks in Japan using the production function and input–output model to improve the accuracy of damage prediction and various national measures. First, we provide an estimation method for the annual direct damage by industry using a production function. The mainstream input dataset is lost working hours owing to cyber incidents. Second, we devised a model to estimate the amount of spillover damage to the entire country using the input–output model. Third, although the cyber damage data were limited to only interview data by the JNSA and IPA, we showed the process of estimating direct and spillover damage in all sectors in Japan. As a result, we consider that our estimation method is feasible and effective at the national level. This study contributes to future research on cyber resilience by analyzing the damage caused by cyberattacks from a macroeconomic perspective using a production function and input–output model.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40008-022-00286-4Cyber securityInput–output modelProduction functionSpillover damage of cyberattacks
spellingShingle Akiyoshi Kokaji
Atsuhiro Goto
An analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks: based on input–output model and production function
Journal of Economic Structures
Cyber security
Input–output model
Production function
Spillover damage of cyberattacks
title An analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks: based on input–output model and production function
title_full An analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks: based on input–output model and production function
title_fullStr An analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks: based on input–output model and production function
title_full_unstemmed An analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks: based on input–output model and production function
title_short An analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks: based on input–output model and production function
title_sort analysis of economic losses from cyberattacks based on input output model and production function
topic Cyber security
Input–output model
Production function
Spillover damage of cyberattacks
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40008-022-00286-4
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