Incidence of Diabetic Foot Ulcer and Its Predictors Among Diabetes Mellitus Patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study

Ali Mekonen Adem,1 Asrat Atsedeweyn Andargie,2 Achamyeleh Birhanu Teshale,2 Haileab Fekadu Wolde2 1Department of Nursing, College of Health Science, Assosa University, Assosa, Ethiopia; 2Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences...

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Main Authors: Adem AM, Andargie AA, Teshale AB, Wolde HF
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dove Medical Press 2020-10-01
Series:Diabetes, Metabolic Syndrome and Obesity
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.dovepress.com/incidence-of-diabetic-foot-ulcer-and-its-predictors-among-diabetes-mel-peer-reviewed-article-DMSO
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author Adem AM
Andargie AA
Teshale AB
Wolde HF
author_facet Adem AM
Andargie AA
Teshale AB
Wolde HF
author_sort Adem AM
collection DOAJ
description Ali Mekonen Adem,1 Asrat Atsedeweyn Andargie,2 Achamyeleh Birhanu Teshale,2 Haileab Fekadu Wolde2 1Department of Nursing, College of Health Science, Assosa University, Assosa, Ethiopia; 2Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, EthiopiaCorrespondence: Achamyeleh Birhanu Teshale Email achambir08@gmail.comAim: The incidence of a diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) is increasing over the previous decade with an increasing prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM). Despite the increasing incidence of DFU, there is limited information about the problem in Ethiopia. Hence, this study aimed to investigate the incidence of DFU and its predictors among newly diagnosed DM patients who were on follow-up at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital.Methods: Institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital among newly diagnosed DM patients from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2018. A simple random sampling method was used to select 401 study participants from a total of 723 eligible population. Data was entered using Epi-Data version 3.1 and exported to STATA version 14 for analysis. The incidence rate was estimated using person-years of observation and Nelson–Aalen cumulative hazard function, showing the cumulative probability of diabetic foot ulcer, was done. The best model (Gompertz) was selected using the AIC and log-likelihood method. Hazard ratio (HR) with its 95% confidence interval was computed and variables having a p-value less than 0.05 in the multivariable model were considered to be significantly associated with DFU.Results: A total of 387 patients were followed retrospectively for a median follow-up time of 95 months. Out of all, 66 (17.05%) patients developed DFU with an incidence rate of 4 cases per 100 person-years of observation. Diabetic nephropathy (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.33– 54.24), diabetic retinopathy (AHR = 5.56, 95% CI: 2.64– 11.74), and increased body mass index (AHR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.01– 1.27) were found to increase the hazard of DFU.Conclusion: The incidence of DFU was relatively high. Diabetic nephropathy, diabetic retinopathy, and body mass index were its significant predictors. Therefore, close monitoring of patients with co-morbidities and increased body mass index should be considered to reduce DFU.Keywords: incidence, diabetic foot ulcer, Ethiopia
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spelling doaj.art-7fa6adb8a94a4f3ba82b899c2b00084b2023-02-02T06:44:09ZengDove Medical PressDiabetes, Metabolic Syndrome and Obesity1178-70072020-10-01Volume 133703371158098Incidence of Diabetic Foot Ulcer and Its Predictors Among Diabetes Mellitus Patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up StudyAdem AMAndargie AATeshale ABWolde HFAli Mekonen Adem,1 Asrat Atsedeweyn Andargie,2 Achamyeleh Birhanu Teshale,2 Haileab Fekadu Wolde2 1Department of Nursing, College of Health Science, Assosa University, Assosa, Ethiopia; 2Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, EthiopiaCorrespondence: Achamyeleh Birhanu Teshale Email achambir08@gmail.comAim: The incidence of a diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) is increasing over the previous decade with an increasing prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM). Despite the increasing incidence of DFU, there is limited information about the problem in Ethiopia. Hence, this study aimed to investigate the incidence of DFU and its predictors among newly diagnosed DM patients who were on follow-up at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital.Methods: Institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital among newly diagnosed DM patients from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2018. A simple random sampling method was used to select 401 study participants from a total of 723 eligible population. Data was entered using Epi-Data version 3.1 and exported to STATA version 14 for analysis. The incidence rate was estimated using person-years of observation and Nelson–Aalen cumulative hazard function, showing the cumulative probability of diabetic foot ulcer, was done. The best model (Gompertz) was selected using the AIC and log-likelihood method. Hazard ratio (HR) with its 95% confidence interval was computed and variables having a p-value less than 0.05 in the multivariable model were considered to be significantly associated with DFU.Results: A total of 387 patients were followed retrospectively for a median follow-up time of 95 months. Out of all, 66 (17.05%) patients developed DFU with an incidence rate of 4 cases per 100 person-years of observation. Diabetic nephropathy (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.33– 54.24), diabetic retinopathy (AHR = 5.56, 95% CI: 2.64– 11.74), and increased body mass index (AHR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.01– 1.27) were found to increase the hazard of DFU.Conclusion: The incidence of DFU was relatively high. Diabetic nephropathy, diabetic retinopathy, and body mass index were its significant predictors. Therefore, close monitoring of patients with co-morbidities and increased body mass index should be considered to reduce DFU.Keywords: incidence, diabetic foot ulcer, Ethiopiahttps://www.dovepress.com/incidence-of-diabetic-foot-ulcer-and-its-predictors-among-diabetes-mel-peer-reviewed-article-DMSOincidencediabetic foot ulcerethiopia
spellingShingle Adem AM
Andargie AA
Teshale AB
Wolde HF
Incidence of Diabetic Foot Ulcer and Its Predictors Among Diabetes Mellitus Patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study
Diabetes, Metabolic Syndrome and Obesity
incidence
diabetic foot ulcer
ethiopia
title Incidence of Diabetic Foot Ulcer and Its Predictors Among Diabetes Mellitus Patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study
title_full Incidence of Diabetic Foot Ulcer and Its Predictors Among Diabetes Mellitus Patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study
title_fullStr Incidence of Diabetic Foot Ulcer and Its Predictors Among Diabetes Mellitus Patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study
title_full_unstemmed Incidence of Diabetic Foot Ulcer and Its Predictors Among Diabetes Mellitus Patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study
title_short Incidence of Diabetic Foot Ulcer and Its Predictors Among Diabetes Mellitus Patients at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study
title_sort incidence of diabetic foot ulcer and its predictors among diabetes mellitus patients at felege hiwot referral hospital bahir dar northwest ethiopia a retrospective follow up study
topic incidence
diabetic foot ulcer
ethiopia
url https://www.dovepress.com/incidence-of-diabetic-foot-ulcer-and-its-predictors-among-diabetes-mel-peer-reviewed-article-DMSO
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