Is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid-lowering trials? A systematic review and meta-analysis.

<h4>Background</h4>Lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) reduces cardiovascular (CV) events, but data are conflicting on all-cause mortality, especially among older adults. Though LLT does not induce cancer, some randomized clinical trials (RCTs) found a pattern of increased cancer death under LL...

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Main Authors: Lucy Bolt, Alexandre Speierer, Sylvain Bétrisey, Martina Aeschbacher-Germann, Manuel R Blum, Baris Gencer, Cinzia Del Giovane, Drahomir Aujseky, Elisavet Moutzouri, Nicolas Rodondi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2024-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0297852&type=printable
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author Lucy Bolt
Alexandre Speierer
Sylvain Bétrisey
Martina Aeschbacher-Germann
Manuel R Blum
Baris Gencer
Cinzia Del Giovane
Drahomir Aujseky
Elisavet Moutzouri
Nicolas Rodondi
author_facet Lucy Bolt
Alexandre Speierer
Sylvain Bétrisey
Martina Aeschbacher-Germann
Manuel R Blum
Baris Gencer
Cinzia Del Giovane
Drahomir Aujseky
Elisavet Moutzouri
Nicolas Rodondi
author_sort Lucy Bolt
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>Lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) reduces cardiovascular (CV) events, but data are conflicting on all-cause mortality, especially among older adults. Though LLT does not induce cancer, some randomized clinical trials (RCTs) found a pattern of increased cancer death under LLT. Our objective was to assess a possible shift from CV to cancer death in LLT trials (i.e. an increase in cancer and decrease in CV death) and to investigate potential subgroups at risk.<h4>Methods</h4>We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis. We retrieved RCTs from MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Central until 08/2023. We extracted the number of CV and cancer deaths in the treatment vs. in the control arm, calculated the relative risk (RR) by dividing the risk of death in the treatment over the risk of death in the control group and then pooled them using random-effect meta-analysis. We performed subgroup analyses on primary and secondary prevention, and according to different age cut-offs.<h4>Results</h4>We included 27 trials with 188'259 participants (23 statin; 4 ezetimibe trials). The trials reported 4056 cancer deaths, 2061 under LLT and 1995 in control groups. Overall, there was no increased risk of cancer mortality (RR 1.03, 95% confidence interval 0.97-1.10), with no difference between primary and secondary prevention. In the subgroup analyses for RCTs with ≥15% of participants aged ≥75 years, the RR of cancer death was 1.11 (1.00-1.23), while the RR for CV death was 0.96 (0.91-1.01). For RCTs with a mean age ≥ 70 years, the RR for cancer death was 1.21 (0.99-1.47).<h4>Conclusion</h4>LLT does not lead to a shift from CV to cancer death. However, there might be a possible shift with a pattern of increased cancer deaths in trials with more older adults, particularly ≥75 years. Individual participant data from LLT trials should be made public to allow further investigations.<h4>Prospero registration</h4>CRD42021271658.
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spelling doaj.art-7fe2082112dd4198bc419fab179f4fe32024-02-17T05:33:04ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-01192e029785210.1371/journal.pone.0297852Is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid-lowering trials? A systematic review and meta-analysis.Lucy BoltAlexandre SpeiererSylvain BétriseyMartina Aeschbacher-GermannManuel R BlumBaris GencerCinzia Del GiovaneDrahomir AujsekyElisavet MoutzouriNicolas Rodondi<h4>Background</h4>Lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) reduces cardiovascular (CV) events, but data are conflicting on all-cause mortality, especially among older adults. Though LLT does not induce cancer, some randomized clinical trials (RCTs) found a pattern of increased cancer death under LLT. Our objective was to assess a possible shift from CV to cancer death in LLT trials (i.e. an increase in cancer and decrease in CV death) and to investigate potential subgroups at risk.<h4>Methods</h4>We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis. We retrieved RCTs from MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Central until 08/2023. We extracted the number of CV and cancer deaths in the treatment vs. in the control arm, calculated the relative risk (RR) by dividing the risk of death in the treatment over the risk of death in the control group and then pooled them using random-effect meta-analysis. We performed subgroup analyses on primary and secondary prevention, and according to different age cut-offs.<h4>Results</h4>We included 27 trials with 188'259 participants (23 statin; 4 ezetimibe trials). The trials reported 4056 cancer deaths, 2061 under LLT and 1995 in control groups. Overall, there was no increased risk of cancer mortality (RR 1.03, 95% confidence interval 0.97-1.10), with no difference between primary and secondary prevention. In the subgroup analyses for RCTs with ≥15% of participants aged ≥75 years, the RR of cancer death was 1.11 (1.00-1.23), while the RR for CV death was 0.96 (0.91-1.01). For RCTs with a mean age ≥ 70 years, the RR for cancer death was 1.21 (0.99-1.47).<h4>Conclusion</h4>LLT does not lead to a shift from CV to cancer death. However, there might be a possible shift with a pattern of increased cancer deaths in trials with more older adults, particularly ≥75 years. Individual participant data from LLT trials should be made public to allow further investigations.<h4>Prospero registration</h4>CRD42021271658.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0297852&type=printable
spellingShingle Lucy Bolt
Alexandre Speierer
Sylvain Bétrisey
Martina Aeschbacher-Germann
Manuel R Blum
Baris Gencer
Cinzia Del Giovane
Drahomir Aujseky
Elisavet Moutzouri
Nicolas Rodondi
Is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid-lowering trials? A systematic review and meta-analysis.
PLoS ONE
title Is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid-lowering trials? A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_full Is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid-lowering trials? A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_fullStr Is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid-lowering trials? A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid-lowering trials? A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_short Is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid-lowering trials? A systematic review and meta-analysis.
title_sort is there a shift from cardiovascular to cancer death in lipid lowering trials a systematic review and meta analysis
url https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0297852&type=printable
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