Significant Disparity in Spatiotemporal Changes of Terrestrial Evapotranspiration across Reanalysis Datasets in China from 1982 to 2020

Due to limited observational data, there remains considerable uncertainty in the estimation and spatiotemporal variations of land surface evapotranspiration (ET). Reanalysis products, with their advantages of high spatiotemporal resolution, global coverage, and long-term data availability, have emer...

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Main Authors: Jiaxin Bai, Guocan Wu, Yuna Mao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-09-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/18/4522
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author Jiaxin Bai
Guocan Wu
Yuna Mao
author_facet Jiaxin Bai
Guocan Wu
Yuna Mao
author_sort Jiaxin Bai
collection DOAJ
description Due to limited observational data, there remains considerable uncertainty in the estimation and spatiotemporal variations of land surface evapotranspiration (ET). Reanalysis products, with their advantages of high spatiotemporal resolution, global coverage, and long-term data availability, have emerged as powerful tools for studying ET. Nevertheless, the accuracy of reanalysis ET products varies among different products and the reasons for these accuracy differences have not been thoroughly investigated. This study evaluates the ability of different reanalysis ET products to reproduce the spatiotemporal patterns and long-term trends of ET in China, using remote sensing and water-balance-derived ET as reference. We investigate the possible reasons for their disparity by analyzing the three major climatic factors influencing ET (precipitation, solar radiation, and temperature). The findings reveal that compared to the water balance ET, the Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM) product is capable of reproducing the mean, interannual variability, and trends of ET, making it suitable for validating reanalysis ET products. In comparison to GLEAM ET, all reanalysis ET products exhibit consistent climatology and spatial distribution but show a clear overestimation, with multi-year averages being overestimated by 16–40%. There are significant differences among the reanalysis products in terms of interannual variability, long-term trends, and attribution. Within the common period of 2003–2015, GLEAM and water balance ET products demonstrate consistent increasing trends. The second-generation Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA2) and the offline (land-only) replay of MERRA (MERRA-Land) could produce similar increasing trends because of the consistent precipitation trends with observed precipitation. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA5) and ERA5-Land cannot capture the consistent increasing trends as they obtain decreasing precipitation. These findings have significant implications for the development of reanalysis products.
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spelling doaj.art-7fe5ec16020946b39434cb850cdd13752023-11-19T12:48:52ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922023-09-011518452210.3390/rs15184522Significant Disparity in Spatiotemporal Changes of Terrestrial Evapotranspiration across Reanalysis Datasets in China from 1982 to 2020Jiaxin Bai0Guocan Wu1Yuna Mao2State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaDue to limited observational data, there remains considerable uncertainty in the estimation and spatiotemporal variations of land surface evapotranspiration (ET). Reanalysis products, with their advantages of high spatiotemporal resolution, global coverage, and long-term data availability, have emerged as powerful tools for studying ET. Nevertheless, the accuracy of reanalysis ET products varies among different products and the reasons for these accuracy differences have not been thoroughly investigated. This study evaluates the ability of different reanalysis ET products to reproduce the spatiotemporal patterns and long-term trends of ET in China, using remote sensing and water-balance-derived ET as reference. We investigate the possible reasons for their disparity by analyzing the three major climatic factors influencing ET (precipitation, solar radiation, and temperature). The findings reveal that compared to the water balance ET, the Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM) product is capable of reproducing the mean, interannual variability, and trends of ET, making it suitable for validating reanalysis ET products. In comparison to GLEAM ET, all reanalysis ET products exhibit consistent climatology and spatial distribution but show a clear overestimation, with multi-year averages being overestimated by 16–40%. There are significant differences among the reanalysis products in terms of interannual variability, long-term trends, and attribution. Within the common period of 2003–2015, GLEAM and water balance ET products demonstrate consistent increasing trends. The second-generation Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA2) and the offline (land-only) replay of MERRA (MERRA-Land) could produce similar increasing trends because of the consistent precipitation trends with observed precipitation. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA5) and ERA5-Land cannot capture the consistent increasing trends as they obtain decreasing precipitation. These findings have significant implications for the development of reanalysis products.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/18/4522evapotranspirationreanalysis dataGLEAMwater balanceattribution analysis
spellingShingle Jiaxin Bai
Guocan Wu
Yuna Mao
Significant Disparity in Spatiotemporal Changes of Terrestrial Evapotranspiration across Reanalysis Datasets in China from 1982 to 2020
Remote Sensing
evapotranspiration
reanalysis data
GLEAM
water balance
attribution analysis
title Significant Disparity in Spatiotemporal Changes of Terrestrial Evapotranspiration across Reanalysis Datasets in China from 1982 to 2020
title_full Significant Disparity in Spatiotemporal Changes of Terrestrial Evapotranspiration across Reanalysis Datasets in China from 1982 to 2020
title_fullStr Significant Disparity in Spatiotemporal Changes of Terrestrial Evapotranspiration across Reanalysis Datasets in China from 1982 to 2020
title_full_unstemmed Significant Disparity in Spatiotemporal Changes of Terrestrial Evapotranspiration across Reanalysis Datasets in China from 1982 to 2020
title_short Significant Disparity in Spatiotemporal Changes of Terrestrial Evapotranspiration across Reanalysis Datasets in China from 1982 to 2020
title_sort significant disparity in spatiotemporal changes of terrestrial evapotranspiration across reanalysis datasets in china from 1982 to 2020
topic evapotranspiration
reanalysis data
GLEAM
water balance
attribution analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/18/4522
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AT guocanwu significantdisparityinspatiotemporalchangesofterrestrialevapotranspirationacrossreanalysisdatasetsinchinafrom1982to2020
AT yunamao significantdisparityinspatiotemporalchangesofterrestrialevapotranspirationacrossreanalysisdatasetsinchinafrom1982to2020