Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics
This paper forecasts the world population using the Autoregressive Integration Moving Average (ARIMA) for estimation and projection for short-range and long-term population sizes of the world, regions and sub-regions. The study provides evidence that growth and population explosion will continue in...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Sciendo
2020-02-01
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| Series: | Economics and Business |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2020-0008 |
| _version_ | 1797971976003780608 |
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| author | Shobande Olatunji Abdul Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa |
| author_facet | Shobande Olatunji Abdul Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa |
| author_sort | Shobande Olatunji Abdul |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This paper forecasts the world population using the Autoregressive Integration Moving Average (ARIMA) for estimation and projection for short-range and long-term population sizes of the world, regions and sub-regions. The study provides evidence that growth and population explosion will continue in Sub-Saharan Africa, tending the need to aggressively promote pragmatic programmes that will balance population growth and sustainable economic growth in the region. The study argued that early projections took for granted the positive and negative implications of population growth on the social structure and offset the natural process, which might have implication(s) on survival rate. Given the obvious imbalance in population growth across continents and regions of the world, a more purposeful inter-regional and economic co-operation that supports and enhances population balancing and economic expansion among nations is highly recommended. In this regard, the United Nations should compel member states to vigorously and effectively implement domestic and international support programmes with this objective in view. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T03:41:08Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8002760746b34c2181ccabfb17d310d5 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1407-7337 2256-0394 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T03:41:08Z |
| publishDate | 2020-02-01 |
| publisher | Sciendo |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Economics and Business |
| spelling | doaj.art-8002760746b34c2181ccabfb17d310d52023-01-02T03:50:08ZengSciendoEconomics and Business1407-73372256-03942020-02-0134110412510.2478/eb-2020-0008eb-2020-0008Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting MechanicsShobande Olatunji Abdul0Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa1University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, Scotland, UKKansas State University, Kansas, USAThis paper forecasts the world population using the Autoregressive Integration Moving Average (ARIMA) for estimation and projection for short-range and long-term population sizes of the world, regions and sub-regions. The study provides evidence that growth and population explosion will continue in Sub-Saharan Africa, tending the need to aggressively promote pragmatic programmes that will balance population growth and sustainable economic growth in the region. The study argued that early projections took for granted the positive and negative implications of population growth on the social structure and offset the natural process, which might have implication(s) on survival rate. Given the obvious imbalance in population growth across continents and regions of the world, a more purposeful inter-regional and economic co-operation that supports and enhances population balancing and economic expansion among nations is highly recommended. In this regard, the United Nations should compel member states to vigorously and effectively implement domestic and international support programmes with this objective in view.https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2020-0008arma/arimapopulation growthpopulation projectionsworld populationj11j18c22 |
| spellingShingle | Shobande Olatunji Abdul Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics Economics and Business arma/arima population growth population projections world population j11 j18 c22 |
| title | Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics |
| title_full | Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics |
| title_fullStr | Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics |
| title_full_unstemmed | Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics |
| title_short | Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics |
| title_sort | re evaluation of world population figures politics and forecasting mechanics |
| topic | arma/arima population growth population projections world population j11 j18 c22 |
| url | https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2020-0008 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT shobandeolatunjiabdul reevaluationofworldpopulationfigurespoliticsandforecastingmechanics AT shodipeoladimejitomiwa reevaluationofworldpopulationfigurespoliticsandforecastingmechanics |