Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins
A research project is introduced in which a modelling system is being developed to quantify risks of extreme flooding in large river basins. In the system, computer models and modules are coupled to simulate the functional chain: hydrology - hydraulics - polder diversion - dyke failure - flooding -...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2005-01-01
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| Series: | Advances in Geosciences |
| Online Access: | http://www.adv-geosci.net/5/99/2005/adgeo-5-99-2005.pdf |
| _version_ | 1818022625102790656 |
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| author | K.-E. Lindenschmidt K. Fleischbein T. Petrow S. Vorogushyn S. Theobald B. Merz |
| author_facet | K.-E. Lindenschmidt K. Fleischbein T. Petrow S. Vorogushyn S. Theobald B. Merz |
| author_sort | K.-E. Lindenschmidt |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | A research project is introduced in which a modelling system is being developed to quantify risks of extreme flooding in large river basins. In the system, computer models and modules are coupled to simulate the functional chain: hydrology - hydraulics - polder diversion - dyke failure - flooding - damage estimate - risk assessment. In order to reduce uncertainty in flood frequency analyses, data sets are complimented with information from historical chronicles and artwork. Probable maximum precipitation and discharge are calculated to indicate upper bounds of meteorological and hydrological extremes. Uncertainty analysis is investigated for different degrees of model complexity and compared at different basin scales. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-10T03:31:24Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8010895c9b4945f698f4fac815f568b1 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1680-7340 1680-7359 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-10T03:31:24Z |
| publishDate | 2005-01-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Advances in Geosciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-8010895c9b4945f698f4fac815f568b12022-12-22T02:03:49ZengCopernicus PublicationsAdvances in Geosciences1680-73401680-73592005-01-01599104Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basinsK.-E. LindenschmidtK. FleischbeinT. PetrowS. VorogushynS. TheobaldB. MerzA research project is introduced in which a modelling system is being developed to quantify risks of extreme flooding in large river basins. In the system, computer models and modules are coupled to simulate the functional chain: hydrology - hydraulics - polder diversion - dyke failure - flooding - damage estimate - risk assessment. In order to reduce uncertainty in flood frequency analyses, data sets are complimented with information from historical chronicles and artwork. Probable maximum precipitation and discharge are calculated to indicate upper bounds of meteorological and hydrological extremes. Uncertainty analysis is investigated for different degrees of model complexity and compared at different basin scales.http://www.adv-geosci.net/5/99/2005/adgeo-5-99-2005.pdf |
| spellingShingle | K.-E. Lindenschmidt K. Fleischbein T. Petrow S. Vorogushyn S. Theobald B. Merz Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins Advances in Geosciences |
| title | Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins |
| title_full | Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins |
| title_fullStr | Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins |
| title_full_unstemmed | Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins |
| title_short | Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins |
| title_sort | model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins |
| url | http://www.adv-geosci.net/5/99/2005/adgeo-5-99-2005.pdf |
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