Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events

Extreme events high up in the winter stratosphere are known to influence our weather and their predictability has potential to improve seasonal weather forecasts. Here, the authors examine factors that influence their generation and highlight a previously unrecognised sensitivity to the upper equato...

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Main Authors: L. J. Gray, M. J. Brown, J. Knight, M. Andrews, H. Lu, C. O’Reilly, J. Anstey
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2020-09-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18299-7
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author L. J. Gray
M. J. Brown
J. Knight
M. Andrews
H. Lu
C. O’Reilly
J. Anstey
author_facet L. J. Gray
M. J. Brown
J. Knight
M. Andrews
H. Lu
C. O’Reilly
J. Anstey
author_sort L. J. Gray
collection DOAJ
description Extreme events high up in the winter stratosphere are known to influence our weather and their predictability has potential to improve seasonal weather forecasts. Here, the authors examine factors that influence their generation and highlight a previously unrecognised sensitivity to the upper equatorial stratosphere.
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spelling doaj.art-806e2dd351fe4cdda248dfd119cd27e52022-12-21T19:27:02ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232020-09-011111910.1038/s41467-020-18299-7Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex eventsL. J. Gray0M. J. Brown1J. Knight2M. Andrews3H. Lu4C. O’Reilly5J. Anstey6National Centre for Atmospheric ScienceNational Centre for Atmospheric ScienceMet Office Hadley CentreMet Office Hadley CentreBritish Antarctic SurveyNational Centre for Atmospheric ScienceCanadian Centre for Climate Modelling and AnalysisExtreme events high up in the winter stratosphere are known to influence our weather and their predictability has potential to improve seasonal weather forecasts. Here, the authors examine factors that influence their generation and highlight a previously unrecognised sensitivity to the upper equatorial stratosphere.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18299-7
spellingShingle L. J. Gray
M. J. Brown
J. Knight
M. Andrews
H. Lu
C. O’Reilly
J. Anstey
Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events
Nature Communications
title Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events
title_full Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events
title_fullStr Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events
title_short Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events
title_sort forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18299-7
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