Volatility Connectedness of Chinese Financial Institutions: Evidence from a Frequency Dynamics Perspective

Accurately measuring systemic financial risk and analyzing its sources are important issues. This study focuses on the frequency dynamics of volatility connectedness in Chinese financial institutions using a spectral representation framework of generalized forecast error variance decomposition with...

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Main Authors: Yishi Li, Yongpin Ni, Hanxing Zheng, Linyi Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-10-01
Series:Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/11/10/502
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author Yishi Li
Yongpin Ni
Hanxing Zheng
Linyi Zhou
author_facet Yishi Li
Yongpin Ni
Hanxing Zheng
Linyi Zhou
author_sort Yishi Li
collection DOAJ
description Accurately measuring systemic financial risk and analyzing its sources are important issues. This study focuses on the frequency dynamics of volatility connectedness in Chinese financial institutions using a spectral representation framework of generalized forecast error variance decomposition with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator vector autoregression. It assesses the volatility connectedness network using complex network analysis techniques. The data are derived from 31 publicly traded Chinese financial institutions between 4 January 2011 and 31 August 2023, encompassing the Chinese stock market crash in 2015 and the COVID-19 pandemic. The frequency dynamics of the volatility connectedness results indicate that long-term connectedness peaks and cross-sectoral connectedness rises during periods of financial instability, especially in the recent bull market (2014–2015) and the 2015 Chinese stock market crash. The volatility connectedness of Chinese financial institutions declined during the COVID-19 pandemic but rose during the post-COVID-19 pandemic period. Network estimation results show that securities triggered the 2015 bull market, whereas banks were the main risk transmitters during the 2015 market crash. These results have important practical implications for supervisory authorities.
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spelling doaj.art-808100e1a3f34281b0ba0f49a1cf7bf22023-11-19T18:19:41ZengMDPI AGSystems2079-89542023-10-01111050210.3390/systems11100502Volatility Connectedness of Chinese Financial Institutions: Evidence from a Frequency Dynamics PerspectiveYishi Li0Yongpin Ni1Hanxing Zheng2Linyi Zhou3College of Economics & Management, Zhejiang University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, ChinaSchool of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, ChinaSchool of Government, Shanghai University of Political Science and Law, Shanghai 201701, ChinaAccurately measuring systemic financial risk and analyzing its sources are important issues. This study focuses on the frequency dynamics of volatility connectedness in Chinese financial institutions using a spectral representation framework of generalized forecast error variance decomposition with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator vector autoregression. It assesses the volatility connectedness network using complex network analysis techniques. The data are derived from 31 publicly traded Chinese financial institutions between 4 January 2011 and 31 August 2023, encompassing the Chinese stock market crash in 2015 and the COVID-19 pandemic. The frequency dynamics of the volatility connectedness results indicate that long-term connectedness peaks and cross-sectoral connectedness rises during periods of financial instability, especially in the recent bull market (2014–2015) and the 2015 Chinese stock market crash. The volatility connectedness of Chinese financial institutions declined during the COVID-19 pandemic but rose during the post-COVID-19 pandemic period. Network estimation results show that securities triggered the 2015 bull market, whereas banks were the main risk transmitters during the 2015 market crash. These results have important practical implications for supervisory authorities.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/11/10/502frequency volatility connectednessChinese financial institutionsfinancial regulationLASSO-VARnetwork estimation
spellingShingle Yishi Li
Yongpin Ni
Hanxing Zheng
Linyi Zhou
Volatility Connectedness of Chinese Financial Institutions: Evidence from a Frequency Dynamics Perspective
Systems
frequency volatility connectedness
Chinese financial institutions
financial regulation
LASSO-VAR
network estimation
title Volatility Connectedness of Chinese Financial Institutions: Evidence from a Frequency Dynamics Perspective
title_full Volatility Connectedness of Chinese Financial Institutions: Evidence from a Frequency Dynamics Perspective
title_fullStr Volatility Connectedness of Chinese Financial Institutions: Evidence from a Frequency Dynamics Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Volatility Connectedness of Chinese Financial Institutions: Evidence from a Frequency Dynamics Perspective
title_short Volatility Connectedness of Chinese Financial Institutions: Evidence from a Frequency Dynamics Perspective
title_sort volatility connectedness of chinese financial institutions evidence from a frequency dynamics perspective
topic frequency volatility connectedness
Chinese financial institutions
financial regulation
LASSO-VAR
network estimation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/11/10/502
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AT yongpinni volatilityconnectednessofchinesefinancialinstitutionsevidencefromafrequencydynamicsperspective
AT hanxingzheng volatilityconnectednessofchinesefinancialinstitutionsevidencefromafrequencydynamicsperspective
AT linyizhou volatilityconnectednessofchinesefinancialinstitutionsevidencefromafrequencydynamicsperspective