Relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15-year mortality in the older Dutch population

Abstract Background Decreased physical function is known to raise mortality risk. Little is known about how different physical function measures compare in predicting mortality risk in older men and women. The objective of this study was to compare four, objective and self-reported, physical functio...

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Main Authors: Elisabeth M. W. Eekhoff, Natasja M. van Schoor, Joseph S. Biedermann, Mirjam M. Oosterwerff, Renate de Jongh, Nathalie Bravenboer, Mireille N. M. van Poppel, Dorly J. H. Deeg
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2019-03-01
Series:BMC Geriatrics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12877-019-1092-4
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author Elisabeth M. W. Eekhoff
Natasja M. van Schoor
Joseph S. Biedermann
Mirjam M. Oosterwerff
Renate de Jongh
Nathalie Bravenboer
Mireille N. M. van Poppel
Dorly J. H. Deeg
author_facet Elisabeth M. W. Eekhoff
Natasja M. van Schoor
Joseph S. Biedermann
Mirjam M. Oosterwerff
Renate de Jongh
Nathalie Bravenboer
Mireille N. M. van Poppel
Dorly J. H. Deeg
author_sort Elisabeth M. W. Eekhoff
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Decreased physical function is known to raise mortality risk. Little is known about how different physical function measures compare in predicting mortality risk in older men and women. The objective of this study was to compare four, objective and self-reported, physical function measures in predicting 15-year mortality risk in older men and women. Methods Data were used from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA), an ongoing cohort study in a population-based sample of the older Dutch population, sampled from municipal records. The 1995–96 cycle, including 727 men and 778 women aged 65–88 years, was considered as the baseline. Mortality was followed up through September 1, 2011. Physical function measures were: lower-body performance (chair stands test, walk test and tandem stand); handgrip strength (grip strength dynamometer); lung function (peak expiratory flow rate); functional limitations (self-report of difficulties in performing six activities of daily living). Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the predictive value of each physical function measure for 15-year mortality risk, adjusted for demographic, lifestyle and health variables as potential confounders. Results 1031 participants (68.5%) had died. After adjustments for confounders, in models assessing single functional measures, peak flow was the strongest predictor of all-cause mortality in men (HR 1.76, CI 1.38–2.26, CI) and lower-body performance in women (HR 1.97,CI 1.40–2.76, CI). In a model including all four functional measures only peak flow was statistically significant in predicting mortality in both genders (men HR 1.54,CI 1.18–2.01 and women HR 1.45,CI 1.08–1.94). In women, lower-body performance (HR 1.66, CI 1.15–2.41) followed by grip strength (HR 1.38, CI 1.02–1.89), and in men, functional limitations (HR 1.43, CI 1.14–1.8) were the other significant predictors of all-cause mortality. Conclusion Both objective and self-reported measures of physical functioning predicted all-cause mortality in a representative sample of the older Dutch population to different extents in men and women. Peak flow contributed important unique predictive value for mortality in both men and women. In women, however, lower-body performance tests had better predictive ability. A second-best predictor in men was self-reported functional limitations. Peak flow, and possibly one of the other measures, may be used in clinical practice for assessment in the context of time constraints.
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spelling doaj.art-811cf6f03cac49f2b64bba7d5182e4412022-12-22T00:05:05ZengBMCBMC Geriatrics1471-23182019-03-0119111010.1186/s12877-019-1092-4Relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15-year mortality in the older Dutch populationElisabeth M. W. Eekhoff0Natasja M. van Schoor1Joseph S. Biedermann2Mirjam M. Oosterwerff3Renate de Jongh4Nathalie Bravenboer5Mireille N. M. van Poppel6Dorly J. H. Deeg7Department of Internal Medicine, Section Endocrinology, Amsterdam University Medical Centers location VU University Medical CenterDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics/LASA, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam University Medical Centers location VU University Medical CenterDepartment of Internal Medicine, Reinier de Graaf GasthuisDepartment of Internal Medicine, Catharina HospitalDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section Endocrinology, Amsterdam University Medical Centers location VU University Medical CenterDepartment of Clinical Chemistry, Amsterdam Movement Sciences, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Vrije UniversiteitDepartment of Public and Occupational Health, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam University Medical Centers location VU University Medical CenterDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics/LASA, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam University Medical Centers location VU University Medical CenterAbstract Background Decreased physical function is known to raise mortality risk. Little is known about how different physical function measures compare in predicting mortality risk in older men and women. The objective of this study was to compare four, objective and self-reported, physical function measures in predicting 15-year mortality risk in older men and women. Methods Data were used from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA), an ongoing cohort study in a population-based sample of the older Dutch population, sampled from municipal records. The 1995–96 cycle, including 727 men and 778 women aged 65–88 years, was considered as the baseline. Mortality was followed up through September 1, 2011. Physical function measures were: lower-body performance (chair stands test, walk test and tandem stand); handgrip strength (grip strength dynamometer); lung function (peak expiratory flow rate); functional limitations (self-report of difficulties in performing six activities of daily living). Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the predictive value of each physical function measure for 15-year mortality risk, adjusted for demographic, lifestyle and health variables as potential confounders. Results 1031 participants (68.5%) had died. After adjustments for confounders, in models assessing single functional measures, peak flow was the strongest predictor of all-cause mortality in men (HR 1.76, CI 1.38–2.26, CI) and lower-body performance in women (HR 1.97,CI 1.40–2.76, CI). In a model including all four functional measures only peak flow was statistically significant in predicting mortality in both genders (men HR 1.54,CI 1.18–2.01 and women HR 1.45,CI 1.08–1.94). In women, lower-body performance (HR 1.66, CI 1.15–2.41) followed by grip strength (HR 1.38, CI 1.02–1.89), and in men, functional limitations (HR 1.43, CI 1.14–1.8) were the other significant predictors of all-cause mortality. Conclusion Both objective and self-reported measures of physical functioning predicted all-cause mortality in a representative sample of the older Dutch population to different extents in men and women. Peak flow contributed important unique predictive value for mortality in both men and women. In women, however, lower-body performance tests had better predictive ability. A second-best predictor in men was self-reported functional limitations. Peak flow, and possibly one of the other measures, may be used in clinical practice for assessment in the context of time constraints.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12877-019-1092-4Lower-body performanceHandgrip strengthLung functionFunctional limitationsMortalityLASA
spellingShingle Elisabeth M. W. Eekhoff
Natasja M. van Schoor
Joseph S. Biedermann
Mirjam M. Oosterwerff
Renate de Jongh
Nathalie Bravenboer
Mireille N. M. van Poppel
Dorly J. H. Deeg
Relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15-year mortality in the older Dutch population
BMC Geriatrics
Lower-body performance
Handgrip strength
Lung function
Functional limitations
Mortality
LASA
title Relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15-year mortality in the older Dutch population
title_full Relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15-year mortality in the older Dutch population
title_fullStr Relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15-year mortality in the older Dutch population
title_full_unstemmed Relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15-year mortality in the older Dutch population
title_short Relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15-year mortality in the older Dutch population
title_sort relative importance of four functional measures as predictors of 15 year mortality in the older dutch population
topic Lower-body performance
Handgrip strength
Lung function
Functional limitations
Mortality
LASA
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12877-019-1092-4
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