Testing Wagner's Law in the presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)

This study re-examines the relationship between government expenditure and national income in order to test the validity of Wagner's law for six African countries over the period from 1960 to 2013. The empirical analysis uses the Gregory and Hansen (1996) cointegration test which allows for a...

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Main Author: Yaya Keho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-01-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1545
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author Yaya Keho
author_facet Yaya Keho
author_sort Yaya Keho
collection DOAJ
description This study re-examines the relationship between government expenditure and national income in order to test the validity of Wagner's law for six African countries over the period from 1960 to 2013. The empirical analysis uses the Gregory and Hansen (1996) cointegration test which allows for a structural break in the long run relationships. We find supporting evidence of Wagner's law in Ghana over the period 1960-2013 and in Cote d'Ivoire for the period 1960-1995. Evidence for Kenya for the period 1960-1991 supports both Wagner's law and Keynesian view. The results for the other three countries do not advocate Wagner's law or its reverse in the long run. Keywords: Wagner's law; Structural change; GDP; Cointegration; Granger causality. JEL Classifications: C32; E62 ; H50 ; O55
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spelling doaj.art-813cafaf189841f0998b8a8b204fd5702023-02-15T16:11:52ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382016-01-0161Testing Wagner's Law in the presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)Yaya Keho0Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Statistique et d'Economie Appliquée (ENSEA) Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire. This study re-examines the relationship between government expenditure and national income in order to test the validity of Wagner's law for six African countries over the period from 1960 to 2013. The empirical analysis uses the Gregory and Hansen (1996) cointegration test which allows for a structural break in the long run relationships. We find supporting evidence of Wagner's law in Ghana over the period 1960-2013 and in Cote d'Ivoire for the period 1960-1995. Evidence for Kenya for the period 1960-1991 supports both Wagner's law and Keynesian view. The results for the other three countries do not advocate Wagner's law or its reverse in the long run. Keywords: Wagner's law; Structural change; GDP; Cointegration; Granger causality. JEL Classifications: C32; E62 ; H50 ; O55 https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1545
spellingShingle Yaya Keho
Testing Wagner's Law in the presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Testing Wagner's Law in the presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)
title_full Testing Wagner's Law in the presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)
title_fullStr Testing Wagner's Law in the presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)
title_full_unstemmed Testing Wagner's Law in the presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)
title_short Testing Wagner's Law in the presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)
title_sort testing wagner s law in the presence of structural changes new evidence from six african countries 1960 2013
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1545
work_keys_str_mv AT yayakeho testingwagnerslawinthepresenceofstructuralchangesnewevidencefromsixafricancountries19602013