Potential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sector

The aim of this article is to quantify the possible effects of a potential T-TIP between the US and the EU on production and exports of Turkey’s motor vehicles and parts sector. A partial equilibrium model is used to this end under two scenarios, the first one assuming only T-TIP, whereas the second...

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Main Authors: Akel Abdullah Emre, Ege Aylin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Economists' Association of Vojvodina 2019-01-01
Series:Panoeconomicus
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2019/1452-595X1800019A.pdf
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author Akel Abdullah Emre
Ege Aylin
author_facet Akel Abdullah Emre
Ege Aylin
author_sort Akel Abdullah Emre
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this article is to quantify the possible effects of a potential T-TIP between the US and the EU on production and exports of Turkey’s motor vehicles and parts sector. A partial equilibrium model is used to this end under two scenarios, the first one assuming only T-TIP, whereas the second one supposing a simultaneous free trade agreement between the US and Turkey. The simulations are based on the reductions in tariffs and non-tariff barriers between the T-TIP partners in the first scenario, and between the US and Turkey, as well in the second scenario. The simulation results indicate that the prospective effects on the sector’s production and exports differ significantly depending on different levels of integration. The results also reflect decreasing net welfare for Turkey and that a free trade agreement with the United States does not offer a significant market access potential for Turkey because of its production structure.
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spelling doaj.art-813e77ce74fa49db814970a754f192732022-12-21T23:19:46ZengEconomists' Association of VojvodinaPanoeconomicus1452-595X2217-23862019-01-0166450752310.2298/PAN160929019A1452-595X1800019APotential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sectorAkel Abdullah Emre0Ege Aylin1The Ministry of Economy, TurkeyMiddle East Technical University, Department of Economics, TurkeyThe aim of this article is to quantify the possible effects of a potential T-TIP between the US and the EU on production and exports of Turkey’s motor vehicles and parts sector. A partial equilibrium model is used to this end under two scenarios, the first one assuming only T-TIP, whereas the second one supposing a simultaneous free trade agreement between the US and Turkey. The simulations are based on the reductions in tariffs and non-tariff barriers between the T-TIP partners in the first scenario, and between the US and Turkey, as well in the second scenario. The simulation results indicate that the prospective effects on the sector’s production and exports differ significantly depending on different levels of integration. The results also reflect decreasing net welfare for Turkey and that a free trade agreement with the United States does not offer a significant market access potential for Turkey because of its production structure.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2019/1452-595X1800019A.pdft-tipturkeygsimmotor vehicles and parts sector
spellingShingle Akel Abdullah Emre
Ege Aylin
Potential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sector
Panoeconomicus
t-tip
turkey
gsim
motor vehicles and parts sector
title Potential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sector
title_full Potential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sector
title_fullStr Potential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sector
title_full_unstemmed Potential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sector
title_short Potential effects of the T-TIP on Turkey's motor vehicles and parts sector
title_sort potential effects of the t tip on turkey s motor vehicles and parts sector
topic t-tip
turkey
gsim
motor vehicles and parts sector
url http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2019/1452-595X1800019A.pdf
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