Unsynchronized Driving Mechanisms of Spring and Autumn Phenology Over Northern Hemisphere Grasslands

Global warming has impacted Northern Hemisphere (NH) grassland ecosystems to a great extent. Vegetation growing season length (GSL) has been extended by concurrent advances in spring green-up and postponements in autumn dormancy. However, the driving mechanisms of phenology are unclear as limited fa...

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Main Authors: Nan Cong, Ke Huang, Yangjian Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Forests and Global Change
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2020.610162/full
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author Nan Cong
Ke Huang
Yangjian Zhang
Yangjian Zhang
Yangjian Zhang
author_facet Nan Cong
Ke Huang
Yangjian Zhang
Yangjian Zhang
Yangjian Zhang
author_sort Nan Cong
collection DOAJ
description Global warming has impacted Northern Hemisphere (NH) grassland ecosystems to a great extent. Vegetation growing season length (GSL) has been extended by concurrent advances in spring green-up and postponements in autumn dormancy. However, the driving mechanisms of phenology are unclear as limited factors have been considered so far. Therefore, it is still elusive to what extent phenological changes shaped GSL. In this study, we used remote sensing normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to extract spring and autumn phenology of NH grasslands, and further explored the contribution of each phenophase to GSL through the coefficient of variation (CV) and contribution coefficient (CntC). We found that 65% of NH grasslands exhibited advanced start-of-season (SOS) and circa 58% showed delayed end-of-season (EOS) in the three decades. Changes in GSL was regulated more by EOS changes than by SOS changes, as evidenced by their respective 52 vs. 48% CntC. As for the relationship between phenology and environmental elements, the causing factor analysis revealed that climatic factors (temperature, precipitation, and their interactions) played a dominant role in SOS variations, while environmental and internal factors exerted dominant effects on EOS. Also, interactions of temperature and precipitation contributed a higher variation of SOS than either of them individually. The differentiated factors controlling the two bounding ends of the growing season suggested that it is impossible for GSL to continue to extend without limits under global warming.
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spelling doaj.art-8180251e4094454cbaee1d0ccbaa89c62022-12-21T23:03:18ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Forests and Global Change2624-893X2021-01-01310.3389/ffgc.2020.610162610162Unsynchronized Driving Mechanisms of Spring and Autumn Phenology Over Northern Hemisphere GrasslandsNan Cong0Ke Huang1Yangjian Zhang2Yangjian Zhang3Yangjian Zhang4Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Lhasa Plateau Ecosystem Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Lhasa Plateau Ecosystem Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Lhasa Plateau Ecosystem Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaCenter for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaGlobal warming has impacted Northern Hemisphere (NH) grassland ecosystems to a great extent. Vegetation growing season length (GSL) has been extended by concurrent advances in spring green-up and postponements in autumn dormancy. However, the driving mechanisms of phenology are unclear as limited factors have been considered so far. Therefore, it is still elusive to what extent phenological changes shaped GSL. In this study, we used remote sensing normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to extract spring and autumn phenology of NH grasslands, and further explored the contribution of each phenophase to GSL through the coefficient of variation (CV) and contribution coefficient (CntC). We found that 65% of NH grasslands exhibited advanced start-of-season (SOS) and circa 58% showed delayed end-of-season (EOS) in the three decades. Changes in GSL was regulated more by EOS changes than by SOS changes, as evidenced by their respective 52 vs. 48% CntC. As for the relationship between phenology and environmental elements, the causing factor analysis revealed that climatic factors (temperature, precipitation, and their interactions) played a dominant role in SOS variations, while environmental and internal factors exerted dominant effects on EOS. Also, interactions of temperature and precipitation contributed a higher variation of SOS than either of them individually. The differentiated factors controlling the two bounding ends of the growing season suggested that it is impossible for GSL to continue to extend without limits under global warming.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2020.610162/fullland surface phenologygrasslandgrowing season lengthinteraction of temperature and precipitationmultivariate relational model
spellingShingle Nan Cong
Ke Huang
Yangjian Zhang
Yangjian Zhang
Yangjian Zhang
Unsynchronized Driving Mechanisms of Spring and Autumn Phenology Over Northern Hemisphere Grasslands
Frontiers in Forests and Global Change
land surface phenology
grassland
growing season length
interaction of temperature and precipitation
multivariate relational model
title Unsynchronized Driving Mechanisms of Spring and Autumn Phenology Over Northern Hemisphere Grasslands
title_full Unsynchronized Driving Mechanisms of Spring and Autumn Phenology Over Northern Hemisphere Grasslands
title_fullStr Unsynchronized Driving Mechanisms of Spring and Autumn Phenology Over Northern Hemisphere Grasslands
title_full_unstemmed Unsynchronized Driving Mechanisms of Spring and Autumn Phenology Over Northern Hemisphere Grasslands
title_short Unsynchronized Driving Mechanisms of Spring and Autumn Phenology Over Northern Hemisphere Grasslands
title_sort unsynchronized driving mechanisms of spring and autumn phenology over northern hemisphere grasslands
topic land surface phenology
grassland
growing season length
interaction of temperature and precipitation
multivariate relational model
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2020.610162/full
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