Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic Modeling

Regardless of the fact, whether governments of particular country implemented the strong lockdown measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19 or not, the economies of each country all over the word have been suffered considerably due to the shocks caused by the pandemic. We observed slowdown of econ...

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Main Authors: Valeriy Kozytskyy, Marianna Oliskevych, Galyna Beregova, Nelya Pabyrivska
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2023-03-01
Series:International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/13371
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author Valeriy Kozytskyy
Marianna Oliskevych
Galyna Beregova
Nelya Pabyrivska
author_facet Valeriy Kozytskyy
Marianna Oliskevych
Galyna Beregova
Nelya Pabyrivska
author_sort Valeriy Kozytskyy
collection DOAJ
description Regardless of the fact, whether governments of particular country implemented the strong lockdown measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19 or not, the economies of each country all over the word have been suffered considerably due to the shocks caused by the pandemic. We observed slowdown of economic activity, macroeconomic instability and shifts in consumption preferences supplemented by rising unemployment as well as significant fluctuation of demand and production capability. The research problem addressed in this paper focuses on dynamic properties of output and inflation fluctuations that occur in response to economic shocks different magnitudes and types. We use a system dynamic approach and constructs two system dynamic models to examine the dynamics of output, prices, wage and inflation. The paper indicates ranges of relevant parameters’ values that correspond with sensitivity of output to demand and production capability changes related to possibility of reaching new equilibrium point. To explore the variety of prices and wage behavior in response to shocks we evaluate distinguish possible phase diagrams associated with stable node, stable focus, circle, unstable focus and unstable node. The results is a contribution to discussion of the policy issues related to mitigation of recession caused by unpredictable and strong shocks.
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spelling doaj.art-8192072dd17d460fb966bd520f2a6b512023-03-24T10:15:02ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Energy Economics and Policy2146-45532023-03-0113210.32479/ijeep.13371Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic ModelingValeriy Kozytskyy0Marianna Oliskevych1Galyna Beregova2Nelya Pabyrivska 3Ivan Franko National University of Lviv, Ukraine,Ivan Franko National University of Lviv, Ukraine,Lviv Polytechnic National University, Ukraine.Lviv Polytechnic National University, Ukraine. Regardless of the fact, whether governments of particular country implemented the strong lockdown measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19 or not, the economies of each country all over the word have been suffered considerably due to the shocks caused by the pandemic. We observed slowdown of economic activity, macroeconomic instability and shifts in consumption preferences supplemented by rising unemployment as well as significant fluctuation of demand and production capability. The research problem addressed in this paper focuses on dynamic properties of output and inflation fluctuations that occur in response to economic shocks different magnitudes and types. We use a system dynamic approach and constructs two system dynamic models to examine the dynamics of output, prices, wage and inflation. The paper indicates ranges of relevant parameters’ values that correspond with sensitivity of output to demand and production capability changes related to possibility of reaching new equilibrium point. To explore the variety of prices and wage behavior in response to shocks we evaluate distinguish possible phase diagrams associated with stable node, stable focus, circle, unstable focus and unstable node. The results is a contribution to discussion of the policy issues related to mitigation of recession caused by unpredictable and strong shocks. https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/13371output fluctuationsystem dynamic modelenergy pricesshock
spellingShingle Valeriy Kozytskyy
Marianna Oliskevych
Galyna Beregova
Nelya Pabyrivska
Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic Modeling
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
output fluctuation
system dynamic model
energy prices
shock
title Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic Modeling
title_full Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic Modeling
title_fullStr Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic Modeling
title_full_unstemmed Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic Modeling
title_short Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic Modeling
title_sort output and energy prices fluctuations in response to market shocks system dynamic modeling
topic output fluctuation
system dynamic model
energy prices
shock
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/13371
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AT mariannaoliskevych outputandenergypricesfluctuationsinresponsetomarketshockssystemdynamicmodeling
AT galynaberegova outputandenergypricesfluctuationsinresponsetomarketshockssystemdynamicmodeling
AT nelyapabyrivska outputandenergypricesfluctuationsinresponsetomarketshockssystemdynamicmodeling