Assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of China: Insight from ecological conservation red lines effectiveness
Exploring the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services (ESs) in karst areas is crucial for regional sustainable management, and China’s ecological conservation red lines (ECRLs) could provide innovative solutions for global biodiversity conservation. However, it remains unclear how the imp...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2022-09-01
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| Series: | Ecological Indicators |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X22006744 |
| _version_ | 1811340425889316864 |
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| author | Yangyang Gu Naifeng Lin Xin Ye Mengjia Xu Jie Qiu Kun Zhang Changxin Zou Xuning Qiao Delin Xu |
| author_facet | Yangyang Gu Naifeng Lin Xin Ye Mengjia Xu Jie Qiu Kun Zhang Changxin Zou Xuning Qiao Delin Xu |
| author_sort | Yangyang Gu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Exploring the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services (ESs) in karst areas is crucial for regional sustainable management, and China’s ecological conservation red lines (ECRLs) could provide innovative solutions for global biodiversity conservation. However, it remains unclear how the implementation of ECRLs policies will change the mechanism of human disturbance on ESs. Based on the Conversion of Land Use and its Effects at Small Region Extent (CLUE-S) model, we projected land use changes in 2035 under a Business as Usual (BAU) scenario, Ecological Protection (ELP) scenario, and Future City Plan (FCP) scenario in Weining County, China. The Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-off (InVEST) model was used to quantify six ESs—crop production, water yield, soil conservation, carbon storage, nitrogen export, habitat quality—and total ecosystem services (TES). Then, we analyzed the impacts of human disturbance changes on ESs. Our research showed that under the ELP scenario, the human disturbance index would decrease by 6.18% and increase in soil conservation (0.34%), carbon storage (21.27%), and habitat quality (9.14%) compared with 2015. A greater area of forest and grassland would lead to a reduction in cropland area, which would lower crop production by 20.76%, with water yield and nitrogen export decreasing by 6.63% and 19.91%, respectively, from 2015 to 2035. The ELP scenario would lessen trade-offs between water yield and carbon storage and habitat quality, such that water yield and nitrogen export would be similar. Meanwhile, to ensure future crop production, more attention should be given to the increase in water yield and nitrogen export caused by cropland expansion, especially in its non-karst areas. TES would increase by 9.27%, which is higher than that obtained under either the BAU or FCP scenario. Eco-environmental conservation and restoration policies were proposed to help its regional high-quality development. Our research provides a decision-making basis to evaluate the implementation effects of ECRLs policies in karst areas and inform the directed management of ecosystems by the government. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T18:41:44Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-819ad1978c534321930bc12638ba384d |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1470-160X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T18:41:44Z |
| publishDate | 2022-09-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecological Indicators |
| spelling | doaj.art-819ad1978c534321930bc12638ba384d2022-12-22T02:34:42ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2022-09-01142109202Assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of China: Insight from ecological conservation red lines effectivenessYangyang Gu0Naifeng Lin1Xin Ye2Mengjia Xu3Jie Qiu4Kun Zhang5Changxin Zou6Xuning Qiao7Delin Xu8Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, PR ChinaNanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, PR ChinaNanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, PR ChinaNanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, PR ChinaNanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, PR ChinaNanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, PR ChinaNanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, PR ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo, Henan 454003, PR China; Corresponding authors.Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, PR China; Corresponding authors.Exploring the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services (ESs) in karst areas is crucial for regional sustainable management, and China’s ecological conservation red lines (ECRLs) could provide innovative solutions for global biodiversity conservation. However, it remains unclear how the implementation of ECRLs policies will change the mechanism of human disturbance on ESs. Based on the Conversion of Land Use and its Effects at Small Region Extent (CLUE-S) model, we projected land use changes in 2035 under a Business as Usual (BAU) scenario, Ecological Protection (ELP) scenario, and Future City Plan (FCP) scenario in Weining County, China. The Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-off (InVEST) model was used to quantify six ESs—crop production, water yield, soil conservation, carbon storage, nitrogen export, habitat quality—and total ecosystem services (TES). Then, we analyzed the impacts of human disturbance changes on ESs. Our research showed that under the ELP scenario, the human disturbance index would decrease by 6.18% and increase in soil conservation (0.34%), carbon storage (21.27%), and habitat quality (9.14%) compared with 2015. A greater area of forest and grassland would lead to a reduction in cropland area, which would lower crop production by 20.76%, with water yield and nitrogen export decreasing by 6.63% and 19.91%, respectively, from 2015 to 2035. The ELP scenario would lessen trade-offs between water yield and carbon storage and habitat quality, such that water yield and nitrogen export would be similar. Meanwhile, to ensure future crop production, more attention should be given to the increase in water yield and nitrogen export caused by cropland expansion, especially in its non-karst areas. TES would increase by 9.27%, which is higher than that obtained under either the BAU or FCP scenario. Eco-environmental conservation and restoration policies were proposed to help its regional high-quality development. Our research provides a decision-making basis to evaluate the implementation effects of ECRLs policies in karst areas and inform the directed management of ecosystems by the government.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X22006744Ecological conservation red linesHuman disturbance indexCLUE-S modelEcosystem servicesTrade-offKarst areas |
| spellingShingle | Yangyang Gu Naifeng Lin Xin Ye Mengjia Xu Jie Qiu Kun Zhang Changxin Zou Xuning Qiao Delin Xu Assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of China: Insight from ecological conservation red lines effectiveness Ecological Indicators Ecological conservation red lines Human disturbance index CLUE-S model Ecosystem services Trade-off Karst areas |
| title | Assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of China: Insight from ecological conservation red lines effectiveness |
| title_full | Assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of China: Insight from ecological conservation red lines effectiveness |
| title_fullStr | Assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of China: Insight from ecological conservation red lines effectiveness |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of China: Insight from ecological conservation red lines effectiveness |
| title_short | Assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of China: Insight from ecological conservation red lines effectiveness |
| title_sort | assessing the impacts of human disturbance on ecosystem services under multiple scenarios in karst areas of china insight from ecological conservation red lines effectiveness |
| topic | Ecological conservation red lines Human disturbance index CLUE-S model Ecosystem services Trade-off Karst areas |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X22006744 |
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