Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach

The study examines the long-run relationship between domestic debt and the fiscal policy of economic growth in Nigeria in the period from 1981 to 2013 owing to government reforms in the financial system, particularly due to the establishment of the Debt Management Office (DMO) in 2000 and a new full...

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Main Authors: Ibrahim Ayuba K., Khan Shazida Mohd
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2019-01-01
Series:Economics and Business
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2019-0004
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author Ibrahim Ayuba K.
Khan Shazida Mohd
author_facet Ibrahim Ayuba K.
Khan Shazida Mohd
author_sort Ibrahim Ayuba K.
collection DOAJ
description The study examines the long-run relationship between domestic debt and the fiscal policy of economic growth in Nigeria in the period from 1981 to 2013 owing to government reforms in the financial system, particularly due to the establishment of the Debt Management Office (DMO) in 2000 and a new fully funded pension fund scheme, both of which resulted in a resurgence of the debt market. The issue that is often raised is the doubt regarding the stability of the debt and its likely implications for the economy, as well as the unpleasant consequences for the government embarking on consolidation. The study employs the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach and the bounds test as proposed by Narayan (2005), anchored on the perspective of the endogenous growth theory. The results reveal that although overall the adverse negative domestic debt hurts the economy, it has a positive effect on the total aggregate government revenue and economic growth in Nigeria in the research period. Furthermore, the paper develops a system to assess the speed of the adjustment mechanism coefficient in an error correction model (ECM).
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spelling doaj.art-81e7b79a1d594b33bfa2c6a16d68dab32023-01-02T15:14:17ZengSciendoEconomics and Business1407-73372256-03942019-01-01331506810.2478/eb-2019-0004eb-2019-0004Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test ApproachIbrahim Ayuba K.0Khan Shazida Mohd1University Utara Malaysia, Sintok, MalaysiaUniversity Utara Malaysia, Sintok, MalaysiaThe study examines the long-run relationship between domestic debt and the fiscal policy of economic growth in Nigeria in the period from 1981 to 2013 owing to government reforms in the financial system, particularly due to the establishment of the Debt Management Office (DMO) in 2000 and a new fully funded pension fund scheme, both of which resulted in a resurgence of the debt market. The issue that is often raised is the doubt regarding the stability of the debt and its likely implications for the economy, as well as the unpleasant consequences for the government embarking on consolidation. The study employs the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach and the bounds test as proposed by Narayan (2005), anchored on the perspective of the endogenous growth theory. The results reveal that although overall the adverse negative domestic debt hurts the economy, it has a positive effect on the total aggregate government revenue and economic growth in Nigeria in the research period. Furthermore, the paper develops a system to assess the speed of the adjustment mechanism coefficient in an error correction model (ECM).https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2019-0004autoregressive distributive lagdomestic debteconomic growthfiscal policygovernment revenuef23f36f43q56o16
spellingShingle Ibrahim Ayuba K.
Khan Shazida Mohd
Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach
Economics and Business
autoregressive distributive lag
domestic debt
economic growth
fiscal policy
government revenue
f23
f36
f43
q56
o16
title Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_full Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_fullStr Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_full_unstemmed Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_short Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_sort domestic debt and economic growth in nigeria an ardl bounds test approach
topic autoregressive distributive lag
domestic debt
economic growth
fiscal policy
government revenue
f23
f36
f43
q56
o16
url https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2019-0004
work_keys_str_mv AT ibrahimayubak domesticdebtandeconomicgrowthinnigeriaanardlboundstestapproach
AT khanshazidamohd domesticdebtandeconomicgrowthinnigeriaanardlboundstestapproach