Pacted Transition to Democracy: The Case of Mozambique

The findings of “third wave” studies on democratic transitions in Southern Europe and Latin America from the 1970s suggested that a democratic outcome is most likely when contending parties are relatively equal and elites make a pact to navigate the transition process. However, later studies of pos...

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Main Author: Pekka Virtanen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Hradec Králové 2016-12-01
Series:Modern Africa
Subjects:
Online Access:https://195.113.118.27/modernafrica/article/view/107
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author Pekka Virtanen
author_facet Pekka Virtanen
author_sort Pekka Virtanen
collection DOAJ
description The findings of “third wave” studies on democratic transitions in Southern Europe and Latin America from the 1970s suggested that a democratic outcome is most likely when contending parties are relatively equal and elites make a pact to navigate the transition process. However, later studies of post-communist transitions do not support this inference. This paper analyses the transition process in Mozambique, a former “Afro-communist” regime, during the early 1990s. The findings show that – contrary to the conclusions drawn from the “third wave” studies – in Mozambique the pact concluded in the context of the peace accord of 1992, which ended a sixteenyear civil war, had contradictory results in terms of democratisation. While the political situation has been relatively stable until recent years, the country has moved toward competitive authoritarian rule instead of full democracy. The main explanatory factor for this trend appears to be the cohesion of the ruling party, which in the case of Mozambique derives from its origins in armed liberation struggle. Renewed incidents of political violence over the last few years also cast doubt on the durability of political stability.
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spelling doaj.art-81ffd1c592254976adc4a1e0d1ad95502024-04-17T11:01:35ZengUniversity of Hradec KrálovéModern Africa2336-32742570-75582016-12-0142Pacted Transition to Democracy: The Case of MozambiquePekka Virtanen0University of Jyväskylä The findings of “third wave” studies on democratic transitions in Southern Europe and Latin America from the 1970s suggested that a democratic outcome is most likely when contending parties are relatively equal and elites make a pact to navigate the transition process. However, later studies of post-communist transitions do not support this inference. This paper analyses the transition process in Mozambique, a former “Afro-communist” regime, during the early 1990s. The findings show that – contrary to the conclusions drawn from the “third wave” studies – in Mozambique the pact concluded in the context of the peace accord of 1992, which ended a sixteenyear civil war, had contradictory results in terms of democratisation. While the political situation has been relatively stable until recent years, the country has moved toward competitive authoritarian rule instead of full democracy. The main explanatory factor for this trend appears to be the cohesion of the ruling party, which in the case of Mozambique derives from its origins in armed liberation struggle. Renewed incidents of political violence over the last few years also cast doubt on the durability of political stability. https://195.113.118.27/modernafrica/article/view/107AfricaMozambiquepost-communismdemocratizationpacted transitions
spellingShingle Pekka Virtanen
Pacted Transition to Democracy: The Case of Mozambique
Modern Africa
Africa
Mozambique
post-communism
democratization
pacted transitions
title Pacted Transition to Democracy: The Case of Mozambique
title_full Pacted Transition to Democracy: The Case of Mozambique
title_fullStr Pacted Transition to Democracy: The Case of Mozambique
title_full_unstemmed Pacted Transition to Democracy: The Case of Mozambique
title_short Pacted Transition to Democracy: The Case of Mozambique
title_sort pacted transition to democracy the case of mozambique
topic Africa
Mozambique
post-communism
democratization
pacted transitions
url https://195.113.118.27/modernafrica/article/view/107
work_keys_str_mv AT pekkavirtanen pactedtransitiontodemocracythecaseofmozambique