Novel Estimation of Penumbra Zone Based on Infarct Growth Using Machine Learning Techniques in Acute Ischemic Stroke

While the penumbra zone is traditionally assessed based on perfusion–diffusion mismatch, it can be assessed based on machine learning (ML) prediction of infarct growth. The purpose of this work was to develop and validate an ML method for the prediction of infarct growth distribution and volume, in...

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Main Authors: Yoon-Chul Kim, Hyung Jun Kim, Jong-Won Chung, In Gyeong Kim, Min Jung Seong, Keon Ha Kim, Pyoung Jeon, Hyo Suk Nam, Woo-Keun Seo, Gyeong-Moon Kim, Oh Young Bang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-06-01
Series:Journal of Clinical Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/9/6/1977
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author Yoon-Chul Kim
Hyung Jun Kim
Jong-Won Chung
In Gyeong Kim
Min Jung Seong
Keon Ha Kim
Pyoung Jeon
Hyo Suk Nam
Woo-Keun Seo
Gyeong-Moon Kim
Oh Young Bang
author_facet Yoon-Chul Kim
Hyung Jun Kim
Jong-Won Chung
In Gyeong Kim
Min Jung Seong
Keon Ha Kim
Pyoung Jeon
Hyo Suk Nam
Woo-Keun Seo
Gyeong-Moon Kim
Oh Young Bang
author_sort Yoon-Chul Kim
collection DOAJ
description While the penumbra zone is traditionally assessed based on perfusion–diffusion mismatch, it can be assessed based on machine learning (ML) prediction of infarct growth. The purpose of this work was to develop and validate an ML method for the prediction of infarct growth distribution and volume, in cases of successful (SR) and unsuccessful recanalization (UR). Pre-treatment perfusion-weighted, diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) data, and final infarct lesions annotated from day-7 DWI from patients with middle cerebral artery occlusion were utilized to develop and validate two ML models for prediction of tissue fate. SR and UR models were developed from data in patients with modified treatment in cerebral infarction (mTICI) scores of 2b–3 and 0–2a, respectively. When compared to manual infarct annotation, ML-based infarct volume predictions resulted in an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of 0.73 (95% CI = 0.31–0.91, <i>p</i> < 0.01) for UR, and an ICC of 0.87 (95% CI = 0.73–0.94, <i>p</i> < 0.001) for SR. Favorable outcomes for mismatch presence and absence in SR were 50% and 36%, respectively, while they were 61%, 56%, and 25%, respectively, for the low, intermediate, and high infarct growth groups. The presented method can offer novel and alternative insights into selecting patients for recanalization therapy and predicting functional outcome.
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spelling doaj.art-822df29406134475b321ca13b4d68ed62023-11-20T04:50:00ZengMDPI AGJournal of Clinical Medicine2077-03832020-06-0196197710.3390/jcm9061977Novel Estimation of Penumbra Zone Based on Infarct Growth Using Machine Learning Techniques in Acute Ischemic StrokeYoon-Chul Kim0Hyung Jun Kim1Jong-Won Chung2In Gyeong Kim3Min Jung Seong4Keon Ha Kim5Pyoung Jeon6Hyo Suk Nam7Woo-Keun Seo8Gyeong-Moon Kim9Oh Young Bang10Clinical Research Institute, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Neurology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Neurology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Neurology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Radiology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Radiology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Radiology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Neurology, Yonsei University, Seoul 03722, KoreaDepartment of Neurology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Neurology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaDepartment of Neurology, Samsung Medical Center, School of Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul 06351, KoreaWhile the penumbra zone is traditionally assessed based on perfusion–diffusion mismatch, it can be assessed based on machine learning (ML) prediction of infarct growth. The purpose of this work was to develop and validate an ML method for the prediction of infarct growth distribution and volume, in cases of successful (SR) and unsuccessful recanalization (UR). Pre-treatment perfusion-weighted, diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) data, and final infarct lesions annotated from day-7 DWI from patients with middle cerebral artery occlusion were utilized to develop and validate two ML models for prediction of tissue fate. SR and UR models were developed from data in patients with modified treatment in cerebral infarction (mTICI) scores of 2b–3 and 0–2a, respectively. When compared to manual infarct annotation, ML-based infarct volume predictions resulted in an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of 0.73 (95% CI = 0.31–0.91, <i>p</i> < 0.01) for UR, and an ICC of 0.87 (95% CI = 0.73–0.94, <i>p</i> < 0.001) for SR. Favorable outcomes for mismatch presence and absence in SR were 50% and 36%, respectively, while they were 61%, 56%, and 25%, respectively, for the low, intermediate, and high infarct growth groups. The presented method can offer novel and alternative insights into selecting patients for recanalization therapy and predicting functional outcome.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/9/6/1977strokeischemiamachine learningcerebral infarction
spellingShingle Yoon-Chul Kim
Hyung Jun Kim
Jong-Won Chung
In Gyeong Kim
Min Jung Seong
Keon Ha Kim
Pyoung Jeon
Hyo Suk Nam
Woo-Keun Seo
Gyeong-Moon Kim
Oh Young Bang
Novel Estimation of Penumbra Zone Based on Infarct Growth Using Machine Learning Techniques in Acute Ischemic Stroke
Journal of Clinical Medicine
stroke
ischemia
machine learning
cerebral infarction
title Novel Estimation of Penumbra Zone Based on Infarct Growth Using Machine Learning Techniques in Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_full Novel Estimation of Penumbra Zone Based on Infarct Growth Using Machine Learning Techniques in Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_fullStr Novel Estimation of Penumbra Zone Based on Infarct Growth Using Machine Learning Techniques in Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_full_unstemmed Novel Estimation of Penumbra Zone Based on Infarct Growth Using Machine Learning Techniques in Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_short Novel Estimation of Penumbra Zone Based on Infarct Growth Using Machine Learning Techniques in Acute Ischemic Stroke
title_sort novel estimation of penumbra zone based on infarct growth using machine learning techniques in acute ischemic stroke
topic stroke
ischemia
machine learning
cerebral infarction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/9/6/1977
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