Wind data mining by Kohonen Neural Networks.

Time series of Circulation Weather Type (CWT), including daily averaged wind direction and vorticity, are self-classified by similarity using Kohonen Neural Networks (KNN). It is shown that KNN is able to map by similarity all 7300 five-day CWT sequences during the period of 1975-94, in London, Unit...

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Main Authors: José Fayos, Carolina Fayos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2007-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC1790699?pdf=render
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author José Fayos
Carolina Fayos
author_facet José Fayos
Carolina Fayos
author_sort José Fayos
collection DOAJ
description Time series of Circulation Weather Type (CWT), including daily averaged wind direction and vorticity, are self-classified by similarity using Kohonen Neural Networks (KNN). It is shown that KNN is able to map by similarity all 7300 five-day CWT sequences during the period of 1975-94, in London, United Kingdom. It gives, as a first result, the most probable wind sequences preceding each one of the 27 CWT Lamb classes in that period. Inversely, as a second result, the observed diffuse correlation between both five-day CWT sequences and the CWT of the 6(th) day, in the long 20-year period, can be generalized to predict the last from the previous CWT sequence in a different test period, like 1995, as both time series are similar. Although the average prediction error is comparable to that obtained by forecasting standard methods, the KNN approach gives complementary results, as they depend only on an objective classification of observed CWT data, without any model assumption. The 27 CWT of the Lamb Catalogue were coded with binary three-dimensional vectors, pointing to faces, edges and vertex of a "wind-cube," so that similar CWT vectors were close.
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spelling doaj.art-82406ce7ed39456bb882e5cb5b6759922022-12-22T03:12:32ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032007-01-0122e21010.1371/journal.pone.0000210Wind data mining by Kohonen Neural Networks.José FayosCarolina FayosTime series of Circulation Weather Type (CWT), including daily averaged wind direction and vorticity, are self-classified by similarity using Kohonen Neural Networks (KNN). It is shown that KNN is able to map by similarity all 7300 five-day CWT sequences during the period of 1975-94, in London, United Kingdom. It gives, as a first result, the most probable wind sequences preceding each one of the 27 CWT Lamb classes in that period. Inversely, as a second result, the observed diffuse correlation between both five-day CWT sequences and the CWT of the 6(th) day, in the long 20-year period, can be generalized to predict the last from the previous CWT sequence in a different test period, like 1995, as both time series are similar. Although the average prediction error is comparable to that obtained by forecasting standard methods, the KNN approach gives complementary results, as they depend only on an objective classification of observed CWT data, without any model assumption. The 27 CWT of the Lamb Catalogue were coded with binary three-dimensional vectors, pointing to faces, edges and vertex of a "wind-cube," so that similar CWT vectors were close.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC1790699?pdf=render
spellingShingle José Fayos
Carolina Fayos
Wind data mining by Kohonen Neural Networks.
PLoS ONE
title Wind data mining by Kohonen Neural Networks.
title_full Wind data mining by Kohonen Neural Networks.
title_fullStr Wind data mining by Kohonen Neural Networks.
title_full_unstemmed Wind data mining by Kohonen Neural Networks.
title_short Wind data mining by Kohonen Neural Networks.
title_sort wind data mining by kohonen neural networks
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC1790699?pdf=render
work_keys_str_mv AT josefayos winddataminingbykohonenneuralnetworks
AT carolinafayos winddataminingbykohonenneuralnetworks