Time-dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environment

Engineering structures are often subjected to the influences of performance deterioration and multiple hazards during their service lives, and consequently may suffer from damage/failure as a result of external loads. Structural reliability and resilience assessment is a powerful tool for quantifyin...

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Main Authors: Cao Wang, Bilal M. Ayyub, Aziz Ahmed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-09-01
Series:Resilient Cities and Structures
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772741622000291
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author Cao Wang
Bilal M. Ayyub
Aziz Ahmed
author_facet Cao Wang
Bilal M. Ayyub
Aziz Ahmed
author_sort Cao Wang
collection DOAJ
description Engineering structures are often subjected to the influences of performance deterioration and multiple hazards during their service lives, and consequently may suffer from damage/failure as a result of external loads. Structural reliability and resilience assessment is a powerful tool for quantifying the structural ability to withstand these environmental or operational attacks. This paper proposes new formulas for structural time-dependent reliability and resilience analyses in the presence of multiple hazards, which are functions of the duration of the reference period of interest. The joint impacts of nonstationarities in multiple hazards due to a changing environment, as well as the deterioration of structural performance, are explicitly incorporated. The correlation between the structural resistances/capacities associated with different hazard types is modeled by employing a copula function. It is observed that, under the context of multiple hazards and aging effects, the time-dependent resilience takes a generalized form of time-dependent reliability. The proposed formulas can be used to guide the adaptive design of structures, where adaptive strategies are identified across a range of possible future service conditions. An example is presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method for structural reliability and resilience analyses.
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spelling doaj.art-82b4a025d84c434dae6f7b267c5c74242022-12-22T04:15:31ZengElsevierResilient Cities and Structures2772-74162022-09-01134051Time-dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environmentCao Wang0Bilal M. Ayyub1Aziz Ahmed2Corresponding author.; School of Civil, Mining and Environmental Engineering, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW 2522, AustraliaCenter for Technology and Systems Management, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, United StatesSchool of Civil, Mining and Environmental Engineering, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW 2522, AustraliaEngineering structures are often subjected to the influences of performance deterioration and multiple hazards during their service lives, and consequently may suffer from damage/failure as a result of external loads. Structural reliability and resilience assessment is a powerful tool for quantifying the structural ability to withstand these environmental or operational attacks. This paper proposes new formulas for structural time-dependent reliability and resilience analyses in the presence of multiple hazards, which are functions of the duration of the reference period of interest. The joint impacts of nonstationarities in multiple hazards due to a changing environment, as well as the deterioration of structural performance, are explicitly incorporated. The correlation between the structural resistances/capacities associated with different hazard types is modeled by employing a copula function. It is observed that, under the context of multiple hazards and aging effects, the time-dependent resilience takes a generalized form of time-dependent reliability. The proposed formulas can be used to guide the adaptive design of structures, where adaptive strategies are identified across a range of possible future service conditions. An example is presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method for structural reliability and resilience analyses.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772741622000291Time-dependent reliabilityTime-dependent resilienceRepairable structuresClimate changeMultiple hazardsAdaptive design
spellingShingle Cao Wang
Bilal M. Ayyub
Aziz Ahmed
Time-dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environment
Resilient Cities and Structures
Time-dependent reliability
Time-dependent resilience
Repairable structures
Climate change
Multiple hazards
Adaptive design
title Time-dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environment
title_full Time-dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environment
title_fullStr Time-dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environment
title_full_unstemmed Time-dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environment
title_short Time-dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environment
title_sort time dependent reliability and resilience of aging structures exposed to multiple hazards in a changing environment
topic Time-dependent reliability
Time-dependent resilience
Repairable structures
Climate change
Multiple hazards
Adaptive design
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772741622000291
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AT azizahmed timedependentreliabilityandresilienceofagingstructuresexposedtomultiplehazardsinachangingenvironment