Hotspots and Coldspots: Household and village-level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural Malawi

We explore the spatial distribution of orphans in two areas of Malawi. We first review pertinent themes in qualitative data collected in our research sites. Then, using spatial analysis, we show how positive and negative clusters of orphans-which we term orphanhood "hotspots" and "col...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Patrick Gerland, Peter Fleming, Alexander A. Weinreb
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2008-07-01
Series:Demographic Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol19/32/
_version_ 1819231027484164096
author Patrick Gerland
Peter Fleming
Alexander A. Weinreb
author_facet Patrick Gerland
Peter Fleming
Alexander A. Weinreb
author_sort Patrick Gerland
collection DOAJ
description We explore the spatial distribution of orphans in two areas of Malawi. We first review pertinent themes in qualitative data collected in our research sites. Then, using spatial analysis, we show how positive and negative clusters of orphans-which we term orphanhood "hotspots" and "coldspots"-can be found at the village and sub-village levels. In the third and longest section of the paper, and using multilevel analyses with both simple and complex variance structures, we evaluate the relationship between the presence of orphans and a range of individual, household and village-level characteristics, including households' spatial relationship to each other and to other local sites of significance. This series of analyses shows that the most important covariates of orphan presence are the density of settlement, household size, and religious characteristics, with the latter measured simultaneously at both household and village-level. Other characteristics like education, reported mortality levels and HIV infection, are wholly unrelated to orphan prevalence at all analytic levels. Wealth and various spatial characteristics are only marginally associated with orphan prevalence. We conclude by reviewing some difficulties in explaining causal mechanisms underlying these observed relationships, and discussing conceptual, theoretical and programmatic implications.
first_indexed 2024-12-23T11:38:26Z
format Article
id doaj.art-830735d1649949b3867e312e3004e97a
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1435-9871
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-23T11:38:26Z
publishDate 2008-07-01
publisher Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
record_format Article
series Demographic Research
spelling doaj.art-830735d1649949b3867e312e3004e97a2022-12-21T17:48:34ZengMax Planck Institute for Demographic ResearchDemographic Research1435-98712008-07-011932Hotspots and Coldspots: Household and village-level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural MalawiPatrick GerlandPeter FlemingAlexander A. WeinrebWe explore the spatial distribution of orphans in two areas of Malawi. We first review pertinent themes in qualitative data collected in our research sites. Then, using spatial analysis, we show how positive and negative clusters of orphans-which we term orphanhood "hotspots" and "coldspots"-can be found at the village and sub-village levels. In the third and longest section of the paper, and using multilevel analyses with both simple and complex variance structures, we evaluate the relationship between the presence of orphans and a range of individual, household and village-level characteristics, including households' spatial relationship to each other and to other local sites of significance. This series of analyses shows that the most important covariates of orphan presence are the density of settlement, household size, and religious characteristics, with the latter measured simultaneously at both household and village-level. Other characteristics like education, reported mortality levels and HIV infection, are wholly unrelated to orphan prevalence at all analytic levels. Wealth and various spatial characteristics are only marginally associated with orphan prevalence. We conclude by reviewing some difficulties in explaining causal mechanisms underlying these observed relationships, and discussing conceptual, theoretical and programmatic implications.http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol19/32/AfricaAIDS/HIVMalawimultilevel modelorphan prevalenceorphansspatial analysis
spellingShingle Patrick Gerland
Peter Fleming
Alexander A. Weinreb
Hotspots and Coldspots: Household and village-level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural Malawi
Demographic Research
Africa
AIDS/HIV
Malawi
multilevel model
orphan prevalence
orphans
spatial analysis
title Hotspots and Coldspots: Household and village-level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural Malawi
title_full Hotspots and Coldspots: Household and village-level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural Malawi
title_fullStr Hotspots and Coldspots: Household and village-level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural Malawi
title_full_unstemmed Hotspots and Coldspots: Household and village-level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural Malawi
title_short Hotspots and Coldspots: Household and village-level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural Malawi
title_sort hotspots and coldspots household and village level variation in orphanhood prevalence in rural malawi
topic Africa
AIDS/HIV
Malawi
multilevel model
orphan prevalence
orphans
spatial analysis
url http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol19/32/
work_keys_str_mv AT patrickgerland hotspotsandcoldspotshouseholdandvillagelevelvariationinorphanhoodprevalenceinruralmalawi
AT peterfleming hotspotsandcoldspotshouseholdandvillagelevelvariationinorphanhoodprevalenceinruralmalawi
AT alexanderaweinreb hotspotsandcoldspotshouseholdandvillagelevelvariationinorphanhoodprevalenceinruralmalawi