Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformation

General prediction formulas involving Hermite polynomials are developed for time series expressed as a transformation of a Gaussian process. The prediction gains over linear predictors are examined numerically, demonstrating the improvement of nonlinear prediction.

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tucker McElroy, Srinjoy Das
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2021-01-01
Series:Statistical Theory and Related Fields
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/24754269.2020.1856589
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author Tucker McElroy
Srinjoy Das
author_facet Tucker McElroy
Srinjoy Das
author_sort Tucker McElroy
collection DOAJ
description General prediction formulas involving Hermite polynomials are developed for time series expressed as a transformation of a Gaussian process. The prediction gains over linear predictors are examined numerically, demonstrating the improvement of nonlinear prediction.
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2475-4277
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spelling doaj.art-83467d47ee274df18d609312f06d6d072023-09-22T09:19:46ZengTaylor & Francis GroupStatistical Theory and Related Fields2475-42692475-42772021-01-0151495410.1080/24754269.2020.18565891856589Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformationTucker McElroy0Srinjoy Das1U.S. Census BureauUniversity of California San DiegoGeneral prediction formulas involving Hermite polynomials are developed for time series expressed as a transformation of a Gaussian process. The prediction gains over linear predictors are examined numerically, demonstrating the improvement of nonlinear prediction.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/24754269.2020.1856589gaussian transformationhermite polynomialnonlinear forecastingtime series
spellingShingle Tucker McElroy
Srinjoy Das
Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformation
Statistical Theory and Related Fields
gaussian transformation
hermite polynomial
nonlinear forecasting
time series
title Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformation
title_full Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformation
title_fullStr Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformation
title_full_unstemmed Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformation
title_short Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformation
title_sort nonlinear prediction via hermite transformation
topic gaussian transformation
hermite polynomial
nonlinear forecasting
time series
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/24754269.2020.1856589
work_keys_str_mv AT tuckermcelroy nonlinearpredictionviahermitetransformation
AT srinjoydas nonlinearpredictionviahermitetransformation