The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy

PurposePrevious studies have reported that neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at pre-treatment was predictive for overall survival (OS) and pathologic complete response (pCR) in breast cancer (BC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). This study aims to explore the predictive role of...

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Main Authors: Siming Gao, Wenjie Tang, Bingli Zuo, Lianne Mulvihill, Jinming Yu, Yishan Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2022.1065606/full
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author Siming Gao
Siming Gao
Wenjie Tang
Bingli Zuo
Lianne Mulvihill
Jinming Yu
Yishan Yu
author_facet Siming Gao
Siming Gao
Wenjie Tang
Bingli Zuo
Lianne Mulvihill
Jinming Yu
Yishan Yu
author_sort Siming Gao
collection DOAJ
description PurposePrevious studies have reported that neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at pre-treatment was predictive for overall survival (OS) and pathologic complete response (pCR) in breast cancer (BC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). This study aims to explore the predictive role of both pre- and post-NLR for OS as well as longitudinal NLR kinetics towards pCR in BC patients undergoing NAC.MethodsWe retrospectively included 501 BC patients who received NAC from 2009 to 2018. NLR at pre-, mid (every two cycles of NAC)-, and post-treatment were collected. Overall, 421 patients were included in the survival analysis. These patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 224) and a validation cohort (n = 197). A multivariable Cox model was built using all significant factors in the multivariable analysis from the training cohort. The performance of the model was verified in the validation cohort by the concordance index (C-index). Longitudinal analysis for pCR prediction of NLR was performed using a mixed-effects regression model among 176 patients who finished eight cycles of NAC.ResultsThe median follow-up time was 43.2 months for 421 patients. In the training cohort, multivariable analysis revealed that ER status, clinical node stage, pCR, pre-NLR, and post-NLR (all p < 0.05) were independent predictors of OS. The OS nomogram was established based on these parameters. The C-indexes of the nomogram were 0.764 and 0.605 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. In the longitudinal analysis, patients who failed to achieve pCR experienced an augment of NLR during NAC while NLR remained stable among patients with pCR. Pre-NLR tended to be significantly associated with OS in patients of HER2 overexpressing and TNBC subtypes (all p < 0.05), but not in Luminal A and Luminal B subtypes.ConclusionsThis study demonstrated the prognostic value of both pre-NLR and post-NLR on clinical outcomes in BC patients receiving NAC. A novel nomogram was established to predict OS. Non-pCR patients developed increased NLRs during NAC. Routine assessment of NLR may be a simple and affordable tool to predict prognosis for BC patients receiving NAC.
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spelling doaj.art-838a67b52f794c28ad2bd9536ceeb3d62023-01-16T05:45:22ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Oncology2234-943X2023-01-011210.3389/fonc.2022.10656061065606The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapySiming Gao0Siming Gao1Wenjie Tang2Bingli Zuo3Lianne Mulvihill4Jinming Yu5Yishan Yu6Department of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The First Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Seidman Cancer Center, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, OH, United StatesDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaPurposePrevious studies have reported that neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at pre-treatment was predictive for overall survival (OS) and pathologic complete response (pCR) in breast cancer (BC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). This study aims to explore the predictive role of both pre- and post-NLR for OS as well as longitudinal NLR kinetics towards pCR in BC patients undergoing NAC.MethodsWe retrospectively included 501 BC patients who received NAC from 2009 to 2018. NLR at pre-, mid (every two cycles of NAC)-, and post-treatment were collected. Overall, 421 patients were included in the survival analysis. These patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 224) and a validation cohort (n = 197). A multivariable Cox model was built using all significant factors in the multivariable analysis from the training cohort. The performance of the model was verified in the validation cohort by the concordance index (C-index). Longitudinal analysis for pCR prediction of NLR was performed using a mixed-effects regression model among 176 patients who finished eight cycles of NAC.ResultsThe median follow-up time was 43.2 months for 421 patients. In the training cohort, multivariable analysis revealed that ER status, clinical node stage, pCR, pre-NLR, and post-NLR (all p < 0.05) were independent predictors of OS. The OS nomogram was established based on these parameters. The C-indexes of the nomogram were 0.764 and 0.605 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. In the longitudinal analysis, patients who failed to achieve pCR experienced an augment of NLR during NAC while NLR remained stable among patients with pCR. Pre-NLR tended to be significantly associated with OS in patients of HER2 overexpressing and TNBC subtypes (all p < 0.05), but not in Luminal A and Luminal B subtypes.ConclusionsThis study demonstrated the prognostic value of both pre-NLR and post-NLR on clinical outcomes in BC patients receiving NAC. A novel nomogram was established to predict OS. Non-pCR patients developed increased NLRs during NAC. Routine assessment of NLR may be a simple and affordable tool to predict prognosis for BC patients receiving NAC.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2022.1065606/fullneutrophil-to-lymphocyte rationeoadjuvant chemotherapyoverall survivalpathologic complete responsenomogrambreast cancer
spellingShingle Siming Gao
Siming Gao
Wenjie Tang
Bingli Zuo
Lianne Mulvihill
Jinming Yu
Yishan Yu
The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy
Frontiers in Oncology
neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio
neoadjuvant chemotherapy
overall survival
pathologic complete response
nomogram
breast cancer
title The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy
title_full The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy
title_fullStr The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy
title_full_unstemmed The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy
title_short The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy
title_sort predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for overall survival and pathological complete response in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy
topic neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio
neoadjuvant chemotherapy
overall survival
pathologic complete response
nomogram
breast cancer
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2022.1065606/full
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