Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things Simple

The energy transition from inefficient fossil-based to sustainable energy systems can face various lock-ins. There are no pathways that are free of stress. However, many routes are possible. A good understanding of the dynamic behavior of systems is crucial, and proper support tools are needed to as...

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Main Authors: Andra Blumberga, Armands Gravelsins, Dagnija Blumberga
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/1/90
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author Andra Blumberga
Armands Gravelsins
Dagnija Blumberga
author_facet Andra Blumberga
Armands Gravelsins
Dagnija Blumberga
author_sort Andra Blumberga
collection DOAJ
description The energy transition from inefficient fossil-based to sustainable energy systems can face various lock-ins. There are no pathways that are free of stress. However, many routes are possible. A good understanding of the dynamic behavior of systems is crucial, and proper support tools are needed to assess the outcomes of every selected pathway. This study aims to develop an Internet-based interface tool for the national energy simulation model as a tool for a “hybrid forum”; study energy transition lock-ins in one of the Eastern European countries; and apply the interface tool to study different pathways to Latvia’s climate and energy goals. System dynamics are used to reach the goals of the study. A causal loop diagram is applied to study feedback loops and lock-ins, a stock-and-flow structure is used to build a simulation model, and a user interface tool is built on top of it. The results show that the developed interface tool is user-friendly and can be used as a discussion platform. The results from the case study reveal how the soft power of Russia can lock in the energy transition in Eastern European countries by creating policy choices with additive effects and what pathways towards energy transition can be used to lock-out.
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spelling doaj.art-838faf3201bc476990d42025cc98302d2023-11-23T11:25:15ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-12-011519010.3390/en15010090Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things SimpleAndra Blumberga0Armands Gravelsins1Dagnija Blumberga2Institute of Energy Systems and Environment, Riga Technical University, LV1048 Riga, LatviaInstitute of Energy Systems and Environment, Riga Technical University, LV1048 Riga, LatviaInstitute of Energy Systems and Environment, Riga Technical University, LV1048 Riga, LatviaThe energy transition from inefficient fossil-based to sustainable energy systems can face various lock-ins. There are no pathways that are free of stress. However, many routes are possible. A good understanding of the dynamic behavior of systems is crucial, and proper support tools are needed to assess the outcomes of every selected pathway. This study aims to develop an Internet-based interface tool for the national energy simulation model as a tool for a “hybrid forum”; study energy transition lock-ins in one of the Eastern European countries; and apply the interface tool to study different pathways to Latvia’s climate and energy goals. System dynamics are used to reach the goals of the study. A causal loop diagram is applied to study feedback loops and lock-ins, a stock-and-flow structure is used to build a simulation model, and a user interface tool is built on top of it. The results show that the developed interface tool is user-friendly and can be used as a discussion platform. The results from the case study reveal how the soft power of Russia can lock in the energy transition in Eastern European countries by creating policy choices with additive effects and what pathways towards energy transition can be used to lock-out.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/1/90energy transitionsimulation modelsystem dynamicsmodel interfaceenergy efficiencyrenewable energy sources
spellingShingle Andra Blumberga
Armands Gravelsins
Dagnija Blumberga
Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things Simple
Energies
energy transition
simulation model
system dynamics
model interface
energy efficiency
renewable energy sources
title Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things Simple
title_full Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things Simple
title_fullStr Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things Simple
title_full_unstemmed Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things Simple
title_short Deliberation Platform for Energy Transition Policies: How to Make Complex Things Simple
title_sort deliberation platform for energy transition policies how to make complex things simple
topic energy transition
simulation model
system dynamics
model interface
energy efficiency
renewable energy sources
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/1/90
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