Different Ways Ambient and Immobile Population Distributions Influence Urban Crime Patterns

The article aims to propose a new way of estimating the ambient and immobile urban population using geotagged tweets and age structure, and to test how they are related to urban crime patterns. Using geotagged tweets and age structure data in 37 neighborhoods of Szczecin, Poland, we analyzed the fol...

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Main Authors: Natalia Sypion-Dutkowska, Minxuan Lan, Marek Dutkowski, Victoria Williams
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-11-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/11/12/581
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author Natalia Sypion-Dutkowska
Minxuan Lan
Marek Dutkowski
Victoria Williams
author_facet Natalia Sypion-Dutkowska
Minxuan Lan
Marek Dutkowski
Victoria Williams
author_sort Natalia Sypion-Dutkowska
collection DOAJ
description The article aims to propose a new way of estimating the ambient and immobile urban population using geotagged tweets and age structure, and to test how they are related to urban crime patterns. Using geotagged tweets and age structure data in 37 neighborhoods of Szczecin, Poland, we analyzed the following crime types that occurred during 2015–2017: burglary in commercial buildings, drug crime, fight and battery, property damage, and theft. Using negative binomial regression models, we found a positive correlation between the size of the ambient population and all investigated crime types. Additionally, neighborhoods with more immobile populations (younger than 16 or older than 65) tend to experience more commercial burglaries, but not other crime types. This may be related to the urban structure of Szczecin, Poland. Neighborhoods with higher rates of poverty and unemployment tend to experience more commercial burglaries, drug problems, property damage, and thefts. Additionally, the count of liquor stores is positively related to drug crime, fight-battery, and theft. This article suggests that the age structure of the population has an influence on the distribution of crime, thus it is necessary to tailor crime prevention strategies for different areas of the city.
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spelling doaj.art-839158d5d21b468ea05428b9c1a4e8f32023-11-24T15:20:39ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642022-11-01111258110.3390/ijgi11120581Different Ways Ambient and Immobile Population Distributions Influence Urban Crime PatternsNatalia Sypion-Dutkowska0Minxuan Lan1Marek Dutkowski2Victoria Williams3Institute of Spatial Management and Socioeconomic Geography, University of Szczecin, Mickiewicza 64 Street, 71-101 Szczecin, PolandDepartment of Geography and Planning, The University of Toledo, Toledo, OH 43606, USAInstitute of Spatial Management and Socioeconomic Geography, University of Szczecin, Mickiewicza 64 Street, 71-101 Szczecin, PolandDepartment of Behavioral Sciences, The University of Findlay, Findlay, OH 45840, USAThe article aims to propose a new way of estimating the ambient and immobile urban population using geotagged tweets and age structure, and to test how they are related to urban crime patterns. Using geotagged tweets and age structure data in 37 neighborhoods of Szczecin, Poland, we analyzed the following crime types that occurred during 2015–2017: burglary in commercial buildings, drug crime, fight and battery, property damage, and theft. Using negative binomial regression models, we found a positive correlation between the size of the ambient population and all investigated crime types. Additionally, neighborhoods with more immobile populations (younger than 16 or older than 65) tend to experience more commercial burglaries, but not other crime types. This may be related to the urban structure of Szczecin, Poland. Neighborhoods with higher rates of poverty and unemployment tend to experience more commercial burglaries, drug problems, property damage, and thefts. Additionally, the count of liquor stores is positively related to drug crime, fight-battery, and theft. This article suggests that the age structure of the population has an influence on the distribution of crime, thus it is necessary to tailor crime prevention strategies for different areas of the city.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/11/12/581crime analysisgeotagged tweetsambient populationimmobile populationage structure
spellingShingle Natalia Sypion-Dutkowska
Minxuan Lan
Marek Dutkowski
Victoria Williams
Different Ways Ambient and Immobile Population Distributions Influence Urban Crime Patterns
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
crime analysis
geotagged tweets
ambient population
immobile population
age structure
title Different Ways Ambient and Immobile Population Distributions Influence Urban Crime Patterns
title_full Different Ways Ambient and Immobile Population Distributions Influence Urban Crime Patterns
title_fullStr Different Ways Ambient and Immobile Population Distributions Influence Urban Crime Patterns
title_full_unstemmed Different Ways Ambient and Immobile Population Distributions Influence Urban Crime Patterns
title_short Different Ways Ambient and Immobile Population Distributions Influence Urban Crime Patterns
title_sort different ways ambient and immobile population distributions influence urban crime patterns
topic crime analysis
geotagged tweets
ambient population
immobile population
age structure
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/11/12/581
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