Expected Rates of Renewable Energy Sources in Meeting of Energy Demands

Taking the expected growth of the world’s population and the estimated technological development and increase in living standards into account, the paper forecasts energy demands. On the basis of the actual production data of 380-400 EJ.year-1 in 2000 and data in publications, the author assumes the...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ferenc Kovács
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Technical University of Kosice 2007-12-01
Series:Acta Montanistica Slovaca
Subjects:
Online Access:http://actamont.tuke.sk/pdf/2007/n4/10kovacs.pdf
_version_ 1818210957039501312
author Ferenc Kovács
author_facet Ferenc Kovács
author_sort Ferenc Kovács
collection DOAJ
description Taking the expected growth of the world’s population and the estimated technological development and increase in living standards into account, the paper forecasts energy demands. On the basis of the actual production data of 380-400 EJ.year-1 in 2000 and data in publications, the author assumes the total energy demand to be 750-800 EJ.year-1 for 2030, 600-1,000 EJ.year-1 for 2050 and 900-3,600 EJ.year-1 for 2100. The author analyses the appearance of the different energy types in the history of mankind giving the specific heat content and heating value of the different fuels. The environmental advantages, disadvantages, technical and economic limits of application involved in the use of primary renewable energy sources are also dealt with. The analysis of the data in the different prognoses in publications gives the result that fossil fuels will meet 84-85 % of the total energy demand until 2030 in the foreseeable future. In 2050, the fossil rate may be 50-70 % and the rate of renewables may amount to 20-40 %. In 2100, the maximum fossil rate may be 40-50 % with a 30-60 % maximum rate of renewables. On the basis of the results of investigation, the general conclusion may be that the realistically exploitable amount of renewable energy sources is not so unlimitedly high as many suppose. Therefore, it is an illusion to expect that the replacement or substitution of mineral fuels and nuclear energy can be solved relying solely on renewable energies.
first_indexed 2024-12-12T05:24:51Z
format Article
id doaj.art-83b4faa1833a4a0bb10ca2eb60d04a7a
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1335-1788
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-12T05:24:51Z
publishDate 2007-12-01
publisher Technical University of Kosice
record_format Article
series Acta Montanistica Slovaca
spelling doaj.art-83b4faa1833a4a0bb10ca2eb60d04a7a2022-12-22T00:36:29ZengTechnical University of KosiceActa Montanistica Slovaca1335-17882007-12-01124341349Expected Rates of Renewable Energy Sources in Meeting of Energy DemandsFerenc KovácsTaking the expected growth of the world’s population and the estimated technological development and increase in living standards into account, the paper forecasts energy demands. On the basis of the actual production data of 380-400 EJ.year-1 in 2000 and data in publications, the author assumes the total energy demand to be 750-800 EJ.year-1 for 2030, 600-1,000 EJ.year-1 for 2050 and 900-3,600 EJ.year-1 for 2100. The author analyses the appearance of the different energy types in the history of mankind giving the specific heat content and heating value of the different fuels. The environmental advantages, disadvantages, technical and economic limits of application involved in the use of primary renewable energy sources are also dealt with. The analysis of the data in the different prognoses in publications gives the result that fossil fuels will meet 84-85 % of the total energy demand until 2030 in the foreseeable future. In 2050, the fossil rate may be 50-70 % and the rate of renewables may amount to 20-40 %. In 2100, the maximum fossil rate may be 40-50 % with a 30-60 % maximum rate of renewables. On the basis of the results of investigation, the general conclusion may be that the realistically exploitable amount of renewable energy sources is not so unlimitedly high as many suppose. Therefore, it is an illusion to expect that the replacement or substitution of mineral fuels and nuclear energy can be solved relying solely on renewable energies.http://actamont.tuke.sk/pdf/2007/n4/10kovacs.pdfRenewable Energy SourcesEnergy Demandsmaximum rate of renewablesmaximum fossil ratemaximum rate of renewables
spellingShingle Ferenc Kovács
Expected Rates of Renewable Energy Sources in Meeting of Energy Demands
Acta Montanistica Slovaca
Renewable Energy Sources
Energy Demands
maximum rate of renewables
maximum fossil rate
maximum rate of renewables
title Expected Rates of Renewable Energy Sources in Meeting of Energy Demands
title_full Expected Rates of Renewable Energy Sources in Meeting of Energy Demands
title_fullStr Expected Rates of Renewable Energy Sources in Meeting of Energy Demands
title_full_unstemmed Expected Rates of Renewable Energy Sources in Meeting of Energy Demands
title_short Expected Rates of Renewable Energy Sources in Meeting of Energy Demands
title_sort expected rates of renewable energy sources in meeting of energy demands
topic Renewable Energy Sources
Energy Demands
maximum rate of renewables
maximum fossil rate
maximum rate of renewables
url http://actamont.tuke.sk/pdf/2007/n4/10kovacs.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT ferenckovacs expectedratesofrenewableenergysourcesinmeetingofenergydemands