Technical Note: Temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from MOPITT

It has become possible to retrieve the global, long-term trends of trace gases that are important to atmospheric chemistry, climate, and air quality from satellite data records that span more than a decade. However, many of the satellite remote sensing techniques produce measurements that have varia...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: J. Yoon, A. Pozzer, P. Hoor, D. Y. Chang, S. Beirle, T. Wagner, S. Schloegl, J. Lelieveld, H. M. Worden
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2013-11-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/11307/2013/acp-13-11307-2013.pdf
_version_ 1818930550787801088
author J. Yoon
A. Pozzer
P. Hoor
D. Y. Chang
S. Beirle
T. Wagner
S. Schloegl
J. Lelieveld
H. M. Worden
author_facet J. Yoon
A. Pozzer
P. Hoor
D. Y. Chang
S. Beirle
T. Wagner
S. Schloegl
J. Lelieveld
H. M. Worden
author_sort J. Yoon
collection DOAJ
description It has become possible to retrieve the global, long-term trends of trace gases that are important to atmospheric chemistry, climate, and air quality from satellite data records that span more than a decade. However, many of the satellite remote sensing techniques produce measurements that have variable sensitivity to the vertical profiles of atmospheric gases. In the case of constrained retrievals like optimal estimation, this leads to a varying amount of a priori information in the retrieval and is represented by an averaging kernel (AK). In this study, we investigate to what extent the estimation of trends from retrieved data can be biased by temporal changes of averaging kernels used in the retrieval algorithm. In particular, the surface carbon monoxide data retrieved from the Measurements Of Pollution In The Troposphere (MOPITT) instrument from 2001 to 2010 were analyzed. As a practical example based on the MOPITT data, we show that if the true atmospheric mixing ratio is continuously 50% higher or lower than the a priori state, the temporal change of the averaging kernel at the surface level gives rise to an artificial trend in retrieved surface carbon monoxide, ranging from −10.71 to +13.21 ppbv yr<sup>−1</sup> (−5.68 to +8.84 % yr<sup>−1</sup>) depending on location. Therefore, in the case of surface (or near-surface level) CO derived from MOPITT, the AKs trends multiplied by the difference between true and a priori states must be quantified in order to estimate trend biases.
first_indexed 2024-12-20T04:02:29Z
format Article
id doaj.art-841faf704c994722954b52197fb76951
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1680-7316
1680-7324
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-20T04:02:29Z
publishDate 2013-11-01
publisher Copernicus Publications
record_format Article
series Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
spelling doaj.art-841faf704c994722954b52197fb769512022-12-21T19:54:07ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242013-11-011322113071131610.5194/acp-13-11307-2013Technical Note: Temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from MOPITTJ. Yoon0A. Pozzer1P. Hoor2D. Y. Chang3S. Beirle4T. Wagner5S. Schloegl6J. Lelieveld7H. M. Worden8Atmospheric Chemistry Department, Max-Planck Institute of Chemistry, P.O. Box 3060, 55020 Mainz, GermanyAtmospheric Chemistry Department, Max-Planck Institute of Chemistry, P.O. Box 3060, 55020 Mainz, GermanyInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Johannes Gutenberg University, 55099 Mainz, GermanyAtmospheric Chemistry Department, Max-Planck Institute of Chemistry, P.O. Box 3060, 55020 Mainz, GermanyAtmospheric Chemistry Department, Max-Planck Institute of Chemistry, P.O. Box 3060, 55020 Mainz, GermanyAtmospheric Chemistry Department, Max-Planck Institute of Chemistry, P.O. Box 3060, 55020 Mainz, GermanyInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Johannes Gutenberg University, 55099 Mainz, GermanyAtmospheric Chemistry Department, Max-Planck Institute of Chemistry, P.O. Box 3060, 55020 Mainz, GermanyNational Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, CO, USAIt has become possible to retrieve the global, long-term trends of trace gases that are important to atmospheric chemistry, climate, and air quality from satellite data records that span more than a decade. However, many of the satellite remote sensing techniques produce measurements that have variable sensitivity to the vertical profiles of atmospheric gases. In the case of constrained retrievals like optimal estimation, this leads to a varying amount of a priori information in the retrieval and is represented by an averaging kernel (AK). In this study, we investigate to what extent the estimation of trends from retrieved data can be biased by temporal changes of averaging kernels used in the retrieval algorithm. In particular, the surface carbon monoxide data retrieved from the Measurements Of Pollution In The Troposphere (MOPITT) instrument from 2001 to 2010 were analyzed. As a practical example based on the MOPITT data, we show that if the true atmospheric mixing ratio is continuously 50% higher or lower than the a priori state, the temporal change of the averaging kernel at the surface level gives rise to an artificial trend in retrieved surface carbon monoxide, ranging from −10.71 to +13.21 ppbv yr<sup>−1</sup> (−5.68 to +8.84 % yr<sup>−1</sup>) depending on location. Therefore, in the case of surface (or near-surface level) CO derived from MOPITT, the AKs trends multiplied by the difference between true and a priori states must be quantified in order to estimate trend biases.http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/11307/2013/acp-13-11307-2013.pdf
spellingShingle J. Yoon
A. Pozzer
P. Hoor
D. Y. Chang
S. Beirle
T. Wagner
S. Schloegl
J. Lelieveld
H. M. Worden
Technical Note: Temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from MOPITT
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
title Technical Note: Temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from MOPITT
title_full Technical Note: Temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from MOPITT
title_fullStr Technical Note: Temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from MOPITT
title_full_unstemmed Technical Note: Temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from MOPITT
title_short Technical Note: Temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from MOPITT
title_sort technical note temporal change in averaging kernels as a source of uncertainty in trend estimates of carbon monoxide retrieved from mopitt
url http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/11307/2013/acp-13-11307-2013.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT jyoon technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt
AT apozzer technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt
AT phoor technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt
AT dychang technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt
AT sbeirle technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt
AT twagner technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt
AT sschloegl technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt
AT jlelieveld technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt
AT hmworden technicalnotetemporalchangeinaveragingkernelsasasourceofuncertaintyintrendestimatesofcarbonmonoxideretrievedfrommopitt