Why Every Clinician Should Know Bayes’ Rule
We argue that knowledge about the rationale for Bayes' rule and about its proper application is a crucial tool for every clinician. We explain why such probabilistic reasoning is so important. We then acknowledge that the rule is quite abstract and may be difficult to use, and we offer a guidel...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences
2020-09-01
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| Series: | Health Professions Education |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452301120300468 |
| _version_ | 1828078407449051136 |
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| author | Bea Tiemens Renée Wagenvoorde Cilia Witteman |
| author_facet | Bea Tiemens Renée Wagenvoorde Cilia Witteman |
| author_sort | Bea Tiemens |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We argue that knowledge about the rationale for Bayes' rule and about its proper application is a crucial tool for every clinician. We explain why such probabilistic reasoning is so important. We then acknowledge that the rule is quite abstract and may be difficult to use, and we offer a guideline to overcome this difficulty. We illustrate our text with an example from the mental health domain, but indicate that the same reasoning applies to every clinical area. Finally, we give a five-step recipe for interpreting test results properly. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T02:46:41Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-845422ff98ae414ca1763b9287c23973 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2452-3011 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T02:46:41Z |
| publishDate | 2020-09-01 |
| publisher | King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Health Professions Education |
| spelling | doaj.art-845422ff98ae414ca1763b9287c239732023-01-02T17:46:51ZengKing Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health SciencesHealth Professions Education2452-30112020-09-0163320324Why Every Clinician Should Know Bayes’ RuleBea Tiemens0Renée Wagenvoorde1Cilia Witteman2Behavioural Science Institute, Radboud University Nijmegen, the Netherlands; Pro Persona Research, Renkum, the Netherlands; Indigo Service Organization, Utrecht, the NetherlandsFaculty of Philosophy, Theology and Religious Studies, Radboud University Nijmegen, the NetherlandsBehavioural Science Institute, Radboud University Nijmegen, the Netherlands; Corresponding author. Behavioural Science Institute, Radboud University, P.O.Box 9104, 6500 HE Nijmegen, the Netherlands.We argue that knowledge about the rationale for Bayes' rule and about its proper application is a crucial tool for every clinician. We explain why such probabilistic reasoning is so important. We then acknowledge that the rule is quite abstract and may be difficult to use, and we offer a guideline to overcome this difficulty. We illustrate our text with an example from the mental health domain, but indicate that the same reasoning applies to every clinical area. Finally, we give a five-step recipe for interpreting test results properly.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452301120300468Probabilistic reasoningBayesSensitivity and specificityInterpreting test results |
| spellingShingle | Bea Tiemens Renée Wagenvoorde Cilia Witteman Why Every Clinician Should Know Bayes’ Rule Health Professions Education Probabilistic reasoning Bayes Sensitivity and specificity Interpreting test results |
| title | Why Every Clinician Should Know Bayes’ Rule |
| title_full | Why Every Clinician Should Know Bayes’ Rule |
| title_fullStr | Why Every Clinician Should Know Bayes’ Rule |
| title_full_unstemmed | Why Every Clinician Should Know Bayes’ Rule |
| title_short | Why Every Clinician Should Know Bayes’ Rule |
| title_sort | why every clinician should know bayes rule |
| topic | Probabilistic reasoning Bayes Sensitivity and specificity Interpreting test results |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452301120300468 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT beatiemens whyeveryclinicianshouldknowbayesrule AT reneewagenvoorde whyeveryclinicianshouldknowbayesrule AT ciliawitteman whyeveryclinicianshouldknowbayesrule |