The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease
Understanding the spread of pathogens through the environment is critical to a fuller comprehension of disease dynamics. However, many mathematical models of disease dynamics ignore spatial effects. We seek to expand knowledge around the interaction between the bare-nosed wombat (Vombatus ursinus) a...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2022-12-01
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| Series: | Journal of Biological Dynamics |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17513758.2022.2061614 |
| _version_ | 1811275143869104128 |
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| author | Ivy J. Hindle Lawrence K. Forbes Scott Carver |
| author_facet | Ivy J. Hindle Lawrence K. Forbes Scott Carver |
| author_sort | Ivy J. Hindle |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Understanding the spread of pathogens through the environment is critical to a fuller comprehension of disease dynamics. However, many mathematical models of disease dynamics ignore spatial effects. We seek to expand knowledge around the interaction between the bare-nosed wombat (Vombatus ursinus) and sarcoptic mange (etiologic agent Sarcoptes scabiei), by extending an aspatial mathematical model to include spatial variation. S. scabiei was found to move through our modelled region as a spatio-temporal travelling wave, leaving behind pockets of localized host extinction, consistent with field observations. The speed of infection spread was also comparable with field research. Our model predicts that the inclusion of spatial dynamics leads to the survival and recovery of affected wombat populations when an aspatial model predicts extinction. Collectively, this research demonstrates how environmentally transmitted S. scabiei can result in travelling wave dynamics, and that inclusion of spatial variation reveals a more resilient host population than aspatial modelling approaches. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T23:32:50Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-84796c34411a4ca7b3b28377a5b1cbf1 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1751-3758 1751-3766 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T23:32:50Z |
| publishDate | 2022-12-01 |
| publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Biological Dynamics |
| spelling | doaj.art-84796c34411a4ca7b3b28377a5b1cbf12022-12-22T03:12:15ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Biological Dynamics1751-37581751-37662022-12-0116114415910.1080/17513758.2022.2061614The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted diseaseIvy J. Hindle0Lawrence K. Forbes1Scott Carver2School of Physical Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, AustraliaSchool of Physical Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, AustraliaDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, AustraliaUnderstanding the spread of pathogens through the environment is critical to a fuller comprehension of disease dynamics. However, many mathematical models of disease dynamics ignore spatial effects. We seek to expand knowledge around the interaction between the bare-nosed wombat (Vombatus ursinus) and sarcoptic mange (etiologic agent Sarcoptes scabiei), by extending an aspatial mathematical model to include spatial variation. S. scabiei was found to move through our modelled region as a spatio-temporal travelling wave, leaving behind pockets of localized host extinction, consistent with field observations. The speed of infection spread was also comparable with field research. Our model predicts that the inclusion of spatial dynamics leads to the survival and recovery of affected wombat populations when an aspatial model predicts extinction. Collectively, this research demonstrates how environmentally transmitted S. scabiei can result in travelling wave dynamics, and that inclusion of spatial variation reveals a more resilient host population than aspatial modelling approaches.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17513758.2022.2061614Scabiespathogen spreadcommon wombatlandscape epidemiologyenvironmental transmission |
| spellingShingle | Ivy J. Hindle Lawrence K. Forbes Scott Carver The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease Journal of Biological Dynamics Scabies pathogen spread common wombat landscape epidemiology environmental transmission |
| title | The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease |
| title_full | The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease |
| title_fullStr | The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease |
| title_full_unstemmed | The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease |
| title_short | The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease |
| title_sort | effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease |
| topic | Scabies pathogen spread common wombat landscape epidemiology environmental transmission |
| url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17513758.2022.2061614 |
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