Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Changes Along an Open Sandy Coast: Case Study of Gulf of Taranto, Italy
The dynamics of the sandy coast between Castellaneta and Taranto (Southern Italy) has been influenced by many natural and anthropogenic factors, resulting in significant changes in the coastal system over the last century. The interactions between vertical components of sea-level changes and horizon...
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MDPI AG
2020-05-01
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author | Giovanni Scardino François Sabatier Giovanni Scicchitano Arcangelo Piscitelli Maurilio Milella Antonio Vecchio Marco Anzidei Giuseppe Mastronuzzi |
author_facet | Giovanni Scardino François Sabatier Giovanni Scicchitano Arcangelo Piscitelli Maurilio Milella Antonio Vecchio Marco Anzidei Giuseppe Mastronuzzi |
author_sort | Giovanni Scardino |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The dynamics of the sandy coast between Castellaneta and Taranto (Southern Italy) has been influenced by many natural and anthropogenic factors, resulting in significant changes in the coastal system over the last century. The interactions between vertical components of sea-level changes and horizontal components of the sedimentary budget, in combination with anthropogenic impact, have resulted in different erosion and accretion phases in the past years. Local isostatic, eustatic, and vertical tectonic movements, together with sedimentary budget changes, must be considered in order to predict the shoreline evolution and future marine submersion. In this study, all morpho-topographic data available for the Gulf of Taranto, in combination with Vertical Land Movements and sea-level rise trends, were considered by assessing the local evolution of the coastal trend as well as the future marine submersion. Based on the predicted spatial and temporal coastal changes, a new predictive model of submersion was developed to support coastal management in sea-level rise conditions over the next decades. After that, a multi-temporal mathematical model of coastal submersion was implemented in a Matlab environment. Finally, the effects of the relative sea-level rise on the coastal surface prone to submersion, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports (AR) 5 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6 and RCP 8.5 scenarios, were evaluated up to 2100. |
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issn | 2073-4441 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-10T19:48:43Z |
publishDate | 2020-05-01 |
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series | Water |
spelling | doaj.art-8485bd5505a14fd7a9207cfa41d7cd172023-11-20T00:37:30ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412020-05-01125141410.3390/w12051414Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Changes Along an Open Sandy Coast: Case Study of Gulf of Taranto, ItalyGiovanni Scardino0François Sabatier1Giovanni Scicchitano2Arcangelo Piscitelli3Maurilio Milella4Antonio Vecchio5Marco Anzidei6Giuseppe Mastronuzzi7Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, 70121 Bari, ItalyAix-Marseille Univ, CNRS, IRD, Coll de France, CEREGE, 13545 Aix en Provence, FranceStudio Geologi Associati TST, 95045 Misterbianco Catania, ItalyEnvironmental Surveys s.r.l. Spin Off c/o Università degli Studi di Bari, 74121 Taranto, ItalyEnvironmental Surveys s.r.l. Spin Off c/o Università degli Studi di Bari, 74121 Taranto, ItalyRadboud Radio Lab, Department of Astrophysics/IMAPP, Radboud University, 6500GL Nijmegen, The NetherlandsIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, 00143 Rome, ItalyDipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Università degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro, 70121 Bari, ItalyThe dynamics of the sandy coast between Castellaneta and Taranto (Southern Italy) has been influenced by many natural and anthropogenic factors, resulting in significant changes in the coastal system over the last century. The interactions between vertical components of sea-level changes and horizontal components of the sedimentary budget, in combination with anthropogenic impact, have resulted in different erosion and accretion phases in the past years. Local isostatic, eustatic, and vertical tectonic movements, together with sedimentary budget changes, must be considered in order to predict the shoreline evolution and future marine submersion. In this study, all morpho-topographic data available for the Gulf of Taranto, in combination with Vertical Land Movements and sea-level rise trends, were considered by assessing the local evolution of the coastal trend as well as the future marine submersion. Based on the predicted spatial and temporal coastal changes, a new predictive model of submersion was developed to support coastal management in sea-level rise conditions over the next decades. After that, a multi-temporal mathematical model of coastal submersion was implemented in a Matlab environment. Finally, the effects of the relative sea-level rise on the coastal surface prone to submersion, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports (AR) 5 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6 and RCP 8.5 scenarios, were evaluated up to 2100.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/5/1414sea-level risecoastal dynamicserosionaccretionsubmersion |
spellingShingle | Giovanni Scardino François Sabatier Giovanni Scicchitano Arcangelo Piscitelli Maurilio Milella Antonio Vecchio Marco Anzidei Giuseppe Mastronuzzi Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Changes Along an Open Sandy Coast: Case Study of Gulf of Taranto, Italy Water sea-level rise coastal dynamics erosion accretion submersion |
title | Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Changes Along an Open Sandy Coast: Case Study of Gulf of Taranto, Italy |
title_full | Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Changes Along an Open Sandy Coast: Case Study of Gulf of Taranto, Italy |
title_fullStr | Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Changes Along an Open Sandy Coast: Case Study of Gulf of Taranto, Italy |
title_full_unstemmed | Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Changes Along an Open Sandy Coast: Case Study of Gulf of Taranto, Italy |
title_short | Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Changes Along an Open Sandy Coast: Case Study of Gulf of Taranto, Italy |
title_sort | sea level rise and shoreline changes along an open sandy coast case study of gulf of taranto italy |
topic | sea-level rise coastal dynamics erosion accretion submersion |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/5/1414 |
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